NewThe CS2OBSERVER Discord is open. Live finals, daily picks, news and upsets, all in one place.Join
Matches / Upcoming / WW vs NOVAQ

WW vs NOVAQ: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier

WW
World #82 · 44-33
VS
2026-09-08 17:30 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
NOVAQ
World #92 · 18-14
65%
Win probability
35%
66%
1.412.73Market · 2 booksBookmakerWWNOVGGBet1.412.73Sweatbet 1.412.73
34%
The call

WW are favoured: our model gives them 65% against NOVAQ. Bookmakers lean WW at 66%. Strength slightly favours WW, form slightly favours NOVAQ.

Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Mirage

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Firepower

roster ratings

WW · avg 1.1 · top +0.2

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
deko1681.3885.974.3%42%1.3
ct0m1921.1183.571.1%58%1.19
m3wsu1751.0574.473.2%57%1.12
kelieN1900.8567.168.2%51%0.99
StRoGo1650.7860.767.8%50%0.9

NOVAQ · avg 0.91 · top +0.24

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
tasman781.0578.572.2%59%1.15
Pump79171.370.5%59%1.05
neaLaN790.8467.368.7%57%0.92
AdreN180.7361.368.8%65%0.89
nyx20.4545.155%38%0.54

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, WW vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapWWNOV
AncientWW ban0%0-367%14-7
AnubisNOV ban35%6-110%0-1
Dust2WW pick63%39-2347%9-10
InfernoNOV pick39%7-1157%4-3
CacheWW ban33%1-2n/a0g
NukeNOV ban52%16-1525%2-6
Miragedecider70%30-1347%7-8
Each team's usual first ban: WW Ancient · NOVAQ Anubis.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

WW61%to win the seriesiMap edgesDust2: WW 65% · Inferno: NOVAQ 65% clear · Mirage: WW 71% clearWhyWW hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesWW 61%: 2-1 39%, 2-0 23%  ·  NOVAQ 39%: 2-0 23%, 2-1 16%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
WW 61%WW are the clearer side here: the most likely result is WW 2-1.39% NOVAQ
Dust2
WW65%
NOVAQ35%
39-23record9-10
63%win47%
52%CT win47%
55%T win47%
48%pistol53%
78%convert85%
Inferno
WW35%
NOVAQ65%
7-11record4-3
39%win57%
47%CT win48%
47%T win49%
50%pistol64%
83%convert67%
Mirage
WW71%
NOVAQ29%
30-13record7-8
70%win47%
60%CT win55%
53%T win50%
59%pistol57%
86%convert94%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
WWct
WWt
NOVct
NOVt
WWpistol
WWconv
WWeco
NOVpistol
NOVconv
NOVeco
Dust2pool
52%294/570
55%381/689
47%82/175
47%94/201
48%59/124
78%46/59
18%12/65
53%20/38
85%17/20
24%4/17
Infernopool
47%101/216
47%83/176
48%39/82
49%39/79
50%18/36
83%15/18
11%2/18
64%9/14
67%6/9
20%1/5
Miragepool
60%230/382
53%231/439
55%86/157
50%68/137
59%51/86
86%44/51
17%6/35
57%17/30
94%16/17
23%3/13
Ancientban
42%15/36
49%17/35
49%108/220
55%122/223
17%1/6
0%0/1
0%0/5
50%21/42
71%15/21
29%6/21
Anubisban
49%95/192
44%80/180
8%1/12
0%0/2
53%18/34
83%15/18
6%1/16
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
Cacheban
64%23/36
33%8/24
n/a
n/a
50%3/6
67%2/3
0%0/3
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
57%202/354
45%132/295
47%44/94
38%26/69
52%32/62
90%28/31
23%7/30
31%5/16
40%2/5
18%2/11
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
NOVAQ wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 52%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (82% vs 85%). Lose the pistol → NOVAQ fight back to win the next round more often (23% vs 17%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

WW

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/108 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 108 maps they won, 31 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs beznegativaDust2from 10 downvs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 8 downvs K27Miragefrom 8 downvs HOTUNukefrom 7 downvs LeoAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/85 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 85 maps they lost, 27 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ENCE AcademyAnubisled 8 · lost 13-16vs KOLESIENukeled 7 · lost 13-16vs HOTUDust2led 7 · lost 11-13vs ECSTATICInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs G2 AresDust2led 6 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs beznegativaDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ENCE AcademyAnubisled 8 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 27Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 27 went to overtime.vs ARCREDNuke14-16vs ex-RUBYDust216-14vs Lazer CatsInferno16-14vs ENCE AcademyAnubis13-16vs LeoNuke19-17

NOVAQ

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/40 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 40 maps they won, 13 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 downvs HOTUOverpassfrom 6 downvs OmegaAncientfrom 6 downvs WATERMELONAncientfrom 5 downvs ALTAYInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/39 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 39 maps they lost, 10 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The HunsAncientled 7 · lost 6-13vs illwillDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs Rune EatersAncientled 5 · lost 7-13vs mix52Dust2led 4 · lost 11-13vs Rune EatersAncientled 4 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The HunsAncientled 7 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs HOTUOverpass16-13vs ALTAYInferno19-17vs OmegaMirage16-19vs Lazer CatsDust216-12vs ex-Zero TenacityNuke14-16

WW vs NOVAQ FAQ

Who is favored to win WW vs NOVAQ?

WW are favored with a 65% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for WW vs NOVAQ?

Bookmakers price WW at 1.41 and NOVAQ at 2.73 (implied 66% vs 34%).

When do WW and NOVAQ play?

WW vs NOVAQ is scheduled for 2026-09-08 17:30 UTC at 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier.

WW vs NOVAQ Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER