Matches / Upcoming / SPARTA vs BAKS
SPARTA vs BAKS: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · NODWIN Clutch Series 12
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
58%42%
58%
1.592.23Market · 2 books
42%The call
SPARTA are favoured: our model gives them 58% against BAKS. Bookmakers lean SPARTA at 58%. Record slightly favours BAKS.
Likely mapsMirage · Cache · Inferno
Firepower
roster ratingsSPARTA · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRAVIS★ | 1.09 | 74.3 | 73.4% | 58% | 1.15 |
| El1an | 1.24 | 77 | 72.1% | 29% | 1.14 |
| glowiing | 1.07 | 82.5 | 74.6% | 56% | 1.14 |
| sugaR | 0.94 | 71.3 | 69.3% | 59% | 1.04 |
| NickelBack | 0.82 | 67.3 | 69.9% | 50% | 0.96 |
BAKS · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| whisper★ | 1.16 | 77.7 | 73% | 63% | 1.2 |
| turbo | 1.08 | 76 | 73.8% | 63% | 1.18 |
| Norwi | 0.96 | 73.2 | 69.6% | 48% | 1.07 |
| danistzz | 1.14 | 69.8 | 75.6% | 39% | 1.06 |
| xdENiSZERA | 1.04 | 71.2 | 74% | 55% | 1.04 |
Recent form
SPARTA
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsCOLColor#574-40-1
OG#631-22-0
SPARTA vs OG
Aug 20LDust213-16Nuke13-3Mirage1-13BAKS vs OG
Aug 14WMirage13-6Inferno13-11
BET-M#774-42-0
CYBERSHOKE#870-20-2
SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 5LAncient8-13Mirage10-13BAKS vs CYBERSHOKE
Sep 15LCache11-13Dust211-13EX-ex-RUBY#1041-22-1
SPARTA vs ex-RUBY
May 8LMirage7-13Overpass13-8Dust29-13BAKS vs ex-RUBY
Sep 13WCache13-6Mirage5-13Ancient13-5
MOUZ NXT#1368-32-0
SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT
Aug 19WCache13-9Dust213-6Aug 18WAncient7-13Dust213-10Nuke13-7Jul 13WCache14-16Dust213-1Mirage13-4+1 earlier meeting
BAKS vs MOUZ NXT
Aug 30WNuke13-11Dust213-5
TDK2-52-1
Oxuji2-31-2
BAKS vs Oxuji
May 23LInferno9-13Nuke13-9Dust23-13Map lab
BAKS62%to win the Bo3 · most likely BAKS 2-0
If the veto goes
SPARTA 38%how the series ends62% BAKS
15%2-035%
23%2-126%
SPARTA49%21-22vsBAKS51%3-3
49%Win50%
57%CT55%
41%T44%
41%Pistol58%
80%Conv71%
SPARTA31%7-6vsBAKS69%9-3
54%Win75%
51%CT59%
48%T54%
65%Pistol54%
88%Conv92%
SPARTA47%11-10vsBAKS53%4-3
52%Win57%
52%CT49%
48%T50%
57%Pistol50%
71%Conv71%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
SPARTAMirageBAKS
57%CT side55%
41%T side44%
41%Pistol58%
80%After win71%
22%After loss20%
SPARTACacheBAKS
51%CT side59%
48%T side54%
65%Pistol54%
88%After win92%
0%After loss18%
SPARTAInfernoBAKS
52%CT side49%
48%T side50%
57%Pistol50%
71%After win71%
22%After loss14%
Pistol rounds49% · 54% · BAKS win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol79% · 81% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol19% · 17% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, SPARTA vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSPABAK
AnubisSPA ban40%2-3n/a0g
SPARTA on Anubis
L
Atreides7–132mo agoL
Bushido Wildcats9–132mo agoWAtreides13–112mo agoLTDK8–137mo agoW
TNT13–107mo agoBAKS on Anubis
no recent maps
Dust2BAK ban64%46-2655%6-5
MirageSPA pick49%21-2250%3-3
CacheBAK pick54%7-675%9-3
AncientSPA ban36%14-2580%4-1
NukeBAK ban47%17-1950%5-5
Infernodecider52%11-1057%4-3
Each team's usual first ban: SPARTA Anubis · BAKS Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
SPARTA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i46/129 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 129 maps they won, 46 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs GenOneDust2from 7 downvs Bushido WildcatsAncientfrom 7 downvs ColorDust2from 7 downvs LavkedInfernofrom 6 downvs ex-RUBYOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i34/118 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 118 maps they lost, 34 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsAnubisled 9 · lost 9-13vs INOX DivisionOverpassled 8 · lost 10-13vs ex-Young NinjasDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs TDKDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedAncientled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GenOneDust2from 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsAnubisled 9 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs MOUZ NXTNuke19-17vs TDKDust217-19vs TDKOverpass16-14vs TDKDust213-16vs BIGAncient17-19
BAKS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/31 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 31 maps they won, 7 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs K28Dust2from 9 downvs eternal premiumMiragefrom 5 downvs XcityInfernofrom 4 downvs MisaDust2from 4 downvs MOUZ NXTDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/21 (19%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 21 maps they lost, 4 (19%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsDust2led 4 · lost 7-13vs CYBERSHOKECacheled 4 · lost 11-13vs TDKDust2led 3 · lost 8-13vs WBTNukeled 3 · lost 5-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs K28Dust2from 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsDust2led 4 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs XcityInferno16-13vs ReThinkMirage26-28vs MisaNuke12-16vs FORZE ReloadNuke19-17
SPARTA vs BAKS FAQ
Who is favored to win SPARTA vs BAKS?
SPARTA are favored with a 58% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for SPARTA vs BAKS?
Bookmakers price SPARTA at 1.59 and BAKS at 2.23 (implied 58% vs 42%).
When do SPARTA and BAKS play?
SPARTA vs BAKS is scheduled for 2026-09-16 08:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 12.