Matches / Upcoming / ex-RUSTEC vs Drama

ex-RUSTEC vs Drama: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · NODWIN Clutch Series 12

ex-RUSTEC
World #67 · 32-20
VS
2026-09-22 14:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
Drama
World #127 · 7-13
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
65%
Win probability
35%
The call

ex-RUSTEC are favoured: our model gives them 65% against Drama. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, record slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, form clearly favours ex-RUSTEC.

Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Mirage

Firepower

roster ratings

ex-RUSTEC · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
yiksrezo1.1480.473.2%68%1.21
youka1.267472.1%36%1.2
shalfey1.176.374.1%61%1.15
Brilliance0.8771.469.4%56%1
jakekeS0.9168.173.3%55%1

Drama · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Goody1.1485.873.2%55%1.23
DEPRESHN1.1780.373.9%37%1.22
VLDN0.947274.5%42%1.13
Chill0.9379.866%64%1.05
miwo0.9171.672.3%57%1.05
d0jca1.1273.272.2%45%1.04

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
INOX Division#590-41-2
QUAZAR#1020-20-2

Map lab

Drama54%to win the Bo3 · most likely Drama 2-1
If the veto goes
ex-RUSTEC 46%how the series ends54% Drama
25%2-012%
21%2-142%
Map 1Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
ex-RUSTEC83%21-13vsDrama17%1-5
62%Win17%
57%CT43%
50%T40%
49%Pistol25%
79%Conv100%
Map 2NukeDrama pick
ex-RUSTEC30%12-14vsDrama70%4-1
46%Win80%
54%CT70%
44%T43%
52%Pistol70%
81%Conv71%
Map 3Miragedecider
ex-RUSTEC34%7-8vsDrama66%6-3
47%Win67%
53%CT60%
47%T50%
37%Pistol78%
82%Conv93%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

ex-RUSTECDust2Drama
57%CT side43%
50%T side40%
49%Pistol25%
79%After win100%
17%After loss11%
ex-RUSTECNukeDrama
54%CT side70%
44%T side43%
52%Pistol70%
81%After win71%
8%After loss33%
ex-RUSTECMirageDrama
53%CT side60%
47%T side50%
37%Pistol78%
82%After win93%
21%After loss0%
Pistol rounds47% · 60% · Drama win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol80% · 88% · Drama keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol15% · 13% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ex-RUSTEC vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Drama habitually bans Anubis, ex-RUSTEC's strongest maps (Dust2, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 15/20), not an opponent read, so expect ex-RUSTEC to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapEX-DRA
AncientEX- bann/a0g42%5-7
AnubisDRA ban70%16-70%0-2
Dust2EX- pick62%21-1317%1-5
NukeDRA pick46%12-1480%4-1
CacheEX- ban46%6-7100%1-0
InfernoDRA ban46%6-722%2-7
Miragedecider47%7-867%6-3
Each team's usual first ban: ex-RUSTEC Ancient · Drama Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

ex-RUSTEC

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/68 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 68 maps they won, 21 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 downvs FortressNukefrom 8 downvs NexusDust2from 6 downvs ex-MANANukefrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/56 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Noir VerseCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs MisaInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs ButterflyNuke16-14vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16

Drama

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/19 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 19 maps they won, 5 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs mellrenNukefrom 6 downvs ENCEMiragefrom 6 downvs ZOTIXNukefrom 5 downvs HYPERSPIRITMiragefrom 3 downvs fnaticAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/27 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 27 maps they lost, 10 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs yngodsAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs Eternal FireInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs FaZeNukeled 6 · lost 9-13vs INOX DivisionAncientled 5 · lost 8-13vs HYPERSPIRITAncientled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs mellrenNukefrom 6 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs yngodsAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs ZOTIXDust213-16vs fnaticAncient16-14vs SINQUInferno16-19vs INOX DivisionInferno12-16

ex-RUSTEC vs Drama FAQ

Who is favored to win ex-RUSTEC vs Drama?

ex-RUSTEC are favored with a 65% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for ex-RUSTEC vs Drama?

Match odds for ex-RUSTEC vs Drama aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do ex-RUSTEC and Drama play?

ex-RUSTEC vs Drama is scheduled for 2026-09-22 14:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 12.

ex-RUSTEC vs Drama Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER