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Matches / Upcoming / ShindeN vs Fluxo

ShindeN vs Fluxo: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier

ShindeN
World #85 · 48-24
VS
2026-09-09 14:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Fluxo
World #58 · 35-32
58%
Win probability
42%
51%
1.811.91Market · 2 booksBookmakerSHIFLUGGBet1.811.91Sweatbet 1.811.91
49%
The call

ShindeN are favoured: our model gives them 58% against Fluxo. Bookmakers lean ShindeN at 51%. Strength slightly favours ShindeN, record slightly favours ShindeN, firepower clearly favours Fluxo.

Likely mapsNuke · Dust2 · Mirage

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
9z#133-21-2
paiN#231-40-2
MIBR#284-30-2
Imperial#6110-88-6
Galorys#882-40-6
BESTIA#891-60-6
Bounty Hunters#1092-67-4
Isurus#1144-31-2

Firepower

roster ratings

ShindeN · avg 1.16 · top +0.03

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
guty1201.0874.873.5%63%1.19
naz1621.0276.273.2%65%1.18
tom1jed1621.0579.172.1%67%1.16
abizz1620.9973.472.6%59%1.13
ivz1621.1371.373%35%1.13

Fluxo · avg 1.14 · top +0.06

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
decenty191.1282.273.8%48%1.2
dav1deuS741.1182.974%58%1.19
exit1511.173.176.3%53%1.14
Ltz74173.972.5%58%1.1
kye1431.0673.473.6%61%1.1
zevy1511.1369.773.3%36%1.09

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ShindeN vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSHIFLU
AnubisSHI bann/a0g50%8-8
AncientFLU ban64%9-518%2-9
NukeSHI pick66%29-1553%24-21
Dust2FLU pick61%19-1257%17-13
CacheSHI ban40%2-350%3-3
InfernoFLU ban73%22-855%12-10
Miragedecider58%14-1057%12-9
Each team's usual first ban: ShindeN Anubis · Fluxo Overpass.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

ShindeN59%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: ShindeN 62% · Dust2: ShindeN 54% toss-up · Mirage: ShindeN 51% toss-upWhyShindeN hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesShindeN 59%: 2-0 34%, 2-1 25%  ·  Fluxo 41%: 2-1 24%, 2-0 17%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
ShindeN 59%It’s nearly a coin-flip. ShindeN only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.41% Fluxo
Nuke
ShindeN62%
Fluxo38%
29-15record24-21
66%win53%
58%CT win57%
54%T win49%
45%pistol56%
88%convert80%
Dust2
ShindeN54%
Fluxo46%
19-12record17-13
61%win57%
53%CT win50%
54%T win53%
60%pistol38%
76%convert91%
Mirage
ShindeN51%
Fluxo49%
14-10record12-9
58%win57%
52%CT win60%
52%T win45%
56%pistol48%
70%convert68%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
SHIct
SHIt
FLUct
FLUt
SHIpistol
SHIconv
SHIeco
FLUpistol
FLUconv
FLUeco
Nukepool
58%232/398
54%267/498
57%254/445
49%224/455
45%40/88
88%35/40
35%17/48
56%50/90
80%40/50
15%6/40
Dust2pool
53%186/350
54%146/272
50%146/290
53%174/329
60%37/62
76%28/37
32%8/25
38%23/60
91%21/23
22%8/37
Miragepool
52%121/232
52%138/264
60%134/225
45%72/159
56%27/48
70%19/27
33%7/21
48%20/42
68%13/19
18%4/22
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
45%72/160
53%89/169
n/a
n/a
n/a
34%11/32
91%10/11
5%1/21
Ancientban
57%93/162
47%63/134
52%61/117
38%45/120
54%15/28
73%11/15
38%5/13
45%10/22
80%8/10
0%0/12
Cacheban
47%27/57
46%24/52
54%37/69
45%24/53
20%2/10
100%2/2
13%1/8
75%9/12
89%8/9
33%1/3
Infernoban
61%191/312
53%157/295
55%123/223
47%102/217
57%34/60
82%28/34
31%8/26
43%19/44
95%18/19
24%6/25
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
ShindeN wins more pistol rounds: 53% vs 48%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (79% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → ShindeN fight back to win the next round more often (34% vs 18%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

ShindeN

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/103 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 103 maps they won, 26 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs ex-KRÜDust2from 9 downvs ALKADust2from 8 downvs SharksMiragefrom 7 downvs IsurusNukefrom 7 downvs Fake do BiruNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/59 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 59 maps they lost, 21 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ImperialInfernoled 10 · lost 4-13vs paiNMirageled 8 · lost 11-13vs ImperialCacheled 6 · lost 16-19vs 9zNukeled 5 · lost 10-13vs ProcyonDust2led 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-KRÜDust2from 9 down · won 19-16
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ImperialInfernoled 10 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs FluxoAncient16-14vs ImperialNuke16-13vs ImperialOverpass19-17vs BESTIANuke17-19vs RED CanidsMirage16-12

Fluxo

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/78 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 78 maps they won, 21 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs Back to BackNukefrom 9 downvs Keyd StarsNukefrom 8 downvs paiN AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs MarsborneAncientfrom 5 downvs ODDIKDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/73 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 73 maps they lost, 20 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13vs LPInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs GalorysNukeled 6 · lost 7-13vs GameHuntersMirageled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Back to BackNukefrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs ShindeNAncient14-16vs ODDIKAncient18-22vs ODDIKDust222-18vs SAWAnubis22-20vs Keyd StarsNuke13-16

ShindeN vs Fluxo FAQ

Who is favored to win ShindeN vs Fluxo?

ShindeN are favored with a 58% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for ShindeN vs Fluxo?

Bookmakers price ShindeN at 1.81 and Fluxo at 1.91 (implied 51% vs 49%).

When do ShindeN and Fluxo play?

ShindeN vs Fluxo is scheduled for 2026-09-09 14:00 UTC at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier.

ShindeN vs Fluxo Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER