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Matches / Upcoming / paiN vs Back to Back

paiN vs Back to Back: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier

paiN
World #23 · 26-28
VS
2026-09-09 23:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Back to Back
World #– · 6-4
54%
Win probability
46%
84%
1.15.75Market · 12 booksBookmakerPAIBACGranaWin1.085.61red1.15.81xBit1.15.751xbet1.15.75ColdBet1.15.75Epicbet1.15.8Spinbet1.15.75Stake1.15.8Thunderpick Row1.15.8Vivatbet1.15.75betlabel1.15.75duelbits1.15.8
16%
The call

paiN are favoured: our model gives them 54% against Back to Back. Bookmakers lean paiN at 84%. Record slightly favours Back to Back, form clearly favours Back to Back, firepower clearly favours Back to Back.

Likely mapsAnubis · Dust2 · Mirage

Recent form

paiN

BIGPistolsPist3/46d ago0-2HOTU6d ago0-2Natus VincerePistolsPist3/4Blew leadBL811d ago0-2FURIAStompStomp2-1313d ago0-2The MongolZ23d ago0-2WildcardOvertimeOT24d ago2-19z27d ago3-13AstralisOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2Ninjas in PyjamasUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT1mo ago2-0Gentle Mates2mo ago2-03DMAX2mo ago0-2PhantomUpsetUpset2mo ago1-2Sharks2mo ago0-2LPStompStomp13-22mo ago2-1METANOIA Wolves2mo ago2-0

Back to Back

Bounty HuntersStompStomp13-21d ago2-0METANOIA Wolves2d ago2-0Fluxo4d ago0-2DASHOvertimeOT6mo ago0-2Keyd StarsPistolsPist4/46mo ago2-0YawaraPistolsPist3/46mo ago2-0CrashersPistolsPist4/46mo ago2-0METANOIA Wolves6mo ago2-1DASHPistolsPist4/4OvertimeOT6mo ago0-2Bounty HuntersPistolsPist3/47mo ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Fluxo#582-00-2
paiN vs Fluxo
Apr 4WMirage13-5Nuke13-2
Back to Back vs Fluxo
Sep 4LNuke4-13Mirage5-13
Bounty Hunters#1092-12-2
paiN vs Bounty Hunters
Mar 27WMirage11-13Nuke13-4Dust213-8
Back to Back vs Bounty Hunters
Sep 7WNuke13-2Dust213-10Feb 18LNuke7-13Dust210-13
METANOIA Wolves#2152-04-1
paiN vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 9WInferno13-4Dust213-4
Back to Back vs METANOIA Wolves
Sep 6WMirage13-4Dust213-7Mar 18WInferno10-13Dust213-6Ancient13-6
DASH2-00-4
paiN vs DASH
Mar 28WInferno13-11Nuke16-13
Back to Back vs DASH
Mar 25LInferno14-16Overpass6-13Mar 16LInferno17-19Dust211-13

Firepower

roster ratings

paiN · avg 1.05 · top +0.04

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
snow1241.0173.571.1%51%1.09
piriajr1241.0272.970.5%56%1.08
vsm1240.9770.970.2%59%1.05
biguzera1240.969.869.5%55%1.01
saffee60166.868.2%32%1

Back to Back · avg 1.17 · top +0.12

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
stormzyn61.176.271.3%65%1.29
leo_drk41.277577.8%56%1.18
fokiu211.0583.175.7%53%1.16
reNTU41.6266.479.9%34%1.13
felps61.1587.166.9%48%1.11

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, paiN vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Back to Back habitually bans Nuke & Anubis, two of paiN's strongest maps (Nuke, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 5/10, Anubis 6/10), not an opponent read, so expect paiN to fight the veto for Nuke.
MapPAIBAC
AncientPAI bann/a0g100%1-0
paiN on Ancient
no recent maps
Back to Back on Ancient
WMETANOIA Wolves13–66mo ago
NukeBAC ban66%23-1233%1-2
paiN on Nuke
LHOTU4–136d agoLNatus Vincere9–1311d agoLThe MongolZ10–1323d agoWWildcard13–324d agoWAstralis13–101mo agoWNinjas in Pyjamas13–61mo agoWGentle Mates13–62mo agoLPhantom5–132mo ago
Back to Back on Nuke
WBounty Hunters13–21d agoLFluxo4–134d agoLBounty Hunters7–137mo ago
AnubisPAI pick63%5-3100%1-0
paiN on Anubis
LPhantom5–132mo agoWFlyQuest13–103mo agoWBC.Game13–44mo agoLBetBoom5–134mo agoWFaZe13–84mo agoWGaimin Gladiators13–45mo agoWALKA13–75mo agoLAurora7–137mo ago
Back to Back on Anubis
WYawara13–96mo ago
Dust2BAC pick38%8-1367%4-2
paiN on Dust2
LBIG6–136d agoWPhantom13–82mo agoLLP6–132mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–42mo agoLMonte11–133mo agoWBC.Game13–84mo agoLBetBoom11–134mo agoWFUT13–114mo ago
Back to Back on Dust2
WBounty Hunters13–101d agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–72d agoWKeyd Stars13–36mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–66mo agoLDASH11–136mo agoLBounty Hunters10–137mo ago
CachePAI ban0%0-6n/a0g
paiN on Cache
LBIG8–136d agoLHOTU11–136d agoLFURIA6–1313d agoL9z3–1327d agoL3DMAX10–132mo agoLSharks11–132mo ago
Back to Back on Cache
no recent maps
InfernoBAC ban47%8-925%1-3
paiN on Inferno
LThe MongolZ4–1323d agoLWildcard12–1624d agoLAstralis17–191mo agoWGentle Mates13–112mo agoL3DMAX4–132mo agoWLP13–22mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–42mo agoLGamerLegion8–134mo ago
Back to Back on Inferno
LDASH14–166mo agoWCrashers13–116mo agoLMETANOIA Wolves10–136mo agoLDASH17–196mo ago
Miragedecider50%12-1267%2-1
paiN on Mirage
LNatus Vincere11–1311d agoLFURIA2–1313d agoWWildcard13–724d agoLAstralis14–161mo agoWNinjas in Pyjamas16–141mo agoLTYLOO9–133mo agoWTYLOO13–54mo agoLM808–134mo ago
Back to Back on Mirage
WMETANOIA Wolves13–42d agoLFluxo5–134d agoWCrashers13–46mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: paiN Ancient · Back to Back Nuke.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Back to Back64%to win the seriesiMap edgesAnubis: Back to Back 51% toss-up · Dust2: Back to Back 72% clear · Mirage: Back to Back 55% toss-upWhyBack to Back hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomespaiN 36%: 2-1 22%, 2-0 14%  ·  Back to Back 64%: 2-0 37%, 2-1 27%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
paiN 36%Back to Back are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Back to Back 2-0.64% Back to Back
Anubis
paiN49%
Back to Back51%
5-3record1-0
63%win100%
48%CT win50%
61%T win70%
44%pistol50%
86%convert100%
Dust2
paiN28%
Back to Back72%
8-13record4-2
38%win67%
50%CT win64%
44%T win53%
43%pistol67%
89%convert88%
Mirage
paiN45%
Back to Back55%
12-12record2-1
50%win67%
58%CT win75%
43%T win53%
50%pistol50%
88%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
PAIct
PAIt
BACct
BACt
PAIpistol
PAIconv
PAIeco
BACpistol
BACconv
BACeco
Anubispool
48%42/88
61%40/66
50%6/12
70%7/10
44%7/16
86%6/7
11%1/9
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Dust2pool
50%108/215
44%98/223
64%39/61
53%34/64
43%18/42
89%16/18
21%5/24
67%8/12
88%7/8
25%1/4
Miragepool
58%157/272
43%100/235
75%12/16
53%19/36
50%24/48
88%21/24
25%6/24
50%3/6
100%3/3
100%3/3
Ancientban
n/a
n/a
75%9/12
57%4/7
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Nukeban
57%165/291
53%216/409
50%18/36
38%6/16
44%31/70
71%22/31
23%9/39
50%3/6
100%3/3
33%1/3
Cacheban
36%25/69
41%24/58
n/a
n/a
33%4/12
100%4/4
13%1/8
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
50%91/182
47%80/169
42%20/48
57%27/47
47%16/34
75%12/16
28%5/18
75%6/8
67%4/6
0%0/2
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Back to Back wins more pistol rounds: 60% vs 46%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Back to Back usually win the next round too (92% vs 88%). Lose the pistol → Back to Back fight back to win the next round more often (50% vs 21%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

paiN

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/60 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 60 maps they won, 13 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs ShindeNMiragefrom 8 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasMiragefrom 5 downvs G2Miragefrom 4 downvs DASHInfernofrom 4 downvs DASHNukefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/64 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 64 maps they lost, 21 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Natus VincereMirageled 8 · lost 11-13vs FaZeDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs Bounty HuntersMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs Gaimin GladiatorsOverpassled 5 · lost 11-13vs WildcardInfernoled 5 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ShindeNMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Natus VincereMirageled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs HEROICMirage14-16vs B8Dust216-12vs 3DMAXInferno16-14vs PARIVISIONMirage15-19vs G2Inferno16-14

Back to Back

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/12 (8%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 12 maps they won, 1 (8%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 8% of their wins were comebacks, not 8% of all games.vs Bounty HuntersDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/9 (56%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 9 maps they lost, 5 (56%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FluxoNukeled 9 · lost 4-13vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 4 · lost 7-13vs DASHInfernoled 3 · lost 17-19vs DASHDust2led 3 · lost 11-13vs DASHInfernoled 3 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Bounty HuntersDust2from 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FluxoNukeled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs DASHInferno17-19vs DASHInferno14-16

paiN vs Back to Back FAQ

Who is favored to win paiN vs Back to Back?

paiN are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for paiN vs Back to Back?

Bookmakers price paiN at 1.1 and Back to Back at 5.75 (implied 84% vs 16%).

When do paiN and Back to Back play?

paiN vs Back to Back is scheduled for 2026-09-09 23:00 UTC at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier.