Matches / Upcoming / Liquid vs antivalue
Liquid vs antivalue: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier
Liquid
World #21 · 22-26
VS
2026-09-10 02:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
antivalue
World #– · 1-0
72%28%
92%
112Market · 3 books
8%The call
Liquid are favoured: our model gives them 72% against antivalue. Bookmakers lean Liquid at 92%. Strength slightly favours Liquid, record slightly favours antivalue, form slightly favours Liquid, firepower clearly favours antivalue.
Likely mapsMirage · Anubis · Inferno
Recent form
antivalue
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Firepower
roster ratingsLiquid · avg 1.11 · top +0.02
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Liquid vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapLIQANT
Dust2LIQ ban33%6-12100%1-0
CacheANT ban60%3-2n/a0g
Liquid on Cache
L
1win7–131mo agoW
Metizport13–91mo agoW
Betclic13–111mo agoW
9INE13–41mo agoLBetclic12–161mo agoantivalue on Cache
no recent maps
MirageLIQ pick53%8-7n/a0g
Liquid on Mirage
W
G213–52mo agoL
MIBR10–133mo agoW
The MongolZ13–114mo agoL
GamerLegion9–134mo agoW
HAVU13–85mo agoW
Inner Circle16–135mo agoLThe MongolZ10–136mo agoW
Ninjas in Pyjamas19–176mo agoantivalue on Mirage
no recent maps
AnubisANT pick58%7-50%0-1
AncientLIQ ban31%5-11n/a0g
Liquid on Ancient
W
M8013–54mo agoL
Astralis11–134mo agoL
3DMAX5–135mo agoL
Spirit2–135mo agoLM807–135mo agoWInner Circle13–25mo agoLThe MongolZ3–136mo agoLThe MongolZ14–166mo agoantivalue on Ancient
no recent maps
NukeANT ban48%11-12n/a0g
Liquid on Nuke
W
Dhala13–21mo agoLBetclic7–131mo agoWBetclic13–111mo agoW
Vitality13–92mo agoW
HEROIC13–53mo agoW
BIG13–103mo agoLThe MongolZ9–134mo agoW3DMAX13–114mo agoantivalue on Nuke
no recent maps
Infernodecider53%8-7100%1-0
Each team's usual first ban: Liquid Overpass · antivalue Cache.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Liquid51%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: Liquid 50% toss-up · Anubis: Liquid 54% toss-up · Inferno: antivalue 52% toss-upWhyLiquid hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesLiquid 51%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 24% · antivalue 49%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Liquid 51%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Liquid only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.49% antivalue
Mirage
Liquid50%antivalue50%
thin sample, read with caution
8-7record0-0
53%win–
58%CT win–
41%T win–
50%pistol–
73%convert–
Anubis
Liquid54%antivalue46%
7-5record0-1
58%win0%
48%CT win64%
61%T win25%
38%pistol100%
78%convert0%
Inferno
Liquid48%antivalue52%
8-7record1-0
53%win100%
51%CT win33%
49%T win67%
53%pistol50%
81%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
LIQct
LIQt
ANTct
ANTt
LIQpistol
LIQconv
LIQeco
ANTpistol
ANTconv
ANTeco
Miragepool
58%91/157
41%70/172
n/a
n/a
50%15/30
73%11/15
7%1/15
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubispool
48%59/122
61%71/116
64%7/11
25%3/12
38%9/24
78%7/9
13%2/15
100%2/2
0%0/2
n/a
Infernopool
51%90/175
49%72/147
33%4/12
67%8/12
53%16/30
81%13/16
14%2/14
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Dust2ban
46%89/193
46%81/178
100%12/12
25%1/4
58%21/36
100%21/21
13%2/15
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Cacheban
53%31/58
55%27/49
n/a
n/a
60%6/10
83%5/6
0%0/4
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
57%93/164
33%52/157
n/a
n/a
31%10/32
80%8/10
14%3/22
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
57%144/251
44%100/229
n/a
n/a
57%26/46
81%21/26
30%6/20
n/a
n/a
n/a
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
antivalue wins more pistol rounds: 75% vs 48%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Liquid usually win the next round too (78% vs 33%). Lose the pistol → Liquid fight back to win the next round more often (11% vs 0%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Liquid
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/48 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 48 maps they won, 13 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs The MongolZMiragefrom 6 downvs M80Miragefrom 5 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasMiragefrom 4 downvs Inner CircleMiragefrom 4 downvs VitalityAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/56 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 15 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs 3DMAXNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SashiNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs PARIVISIONDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs G2Mirageled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The MongolZMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncient16-13vs FalconsNuke14-16vs G2Anubis14-16vs Passion UANuke15-19vs M80Mirage16-13
antivalue
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/2 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/1 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 1 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni1 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi67% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT67% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs CelestialInferno16-13
Liquid vs antivalue FAQ
Who is favored to win Liquid vs antivalue?
Liquid are favored with a 72% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Liquid vs antivalue?
Bookmakers price Liquid at 1 and antivalue at 12 (implied 92% vs 8%).
When do Liquid and antivalue play?
Liquid vs antivalue is scheduled for 2026-09-10 02:00 UTC at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier.