Matches / Upcoming / mellren vs ex-Sashi Academy
mellren vs ex-Sashi Academy: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier
mellren
World #118 · 11-5
VS
2026-09-09 11:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
ex-Sashi Academy
World #– · 2-3
76%24%
The call · high confidence
mellren are favoured: our model gives them 76% against ex-Sashi Academy. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours mellren, record clearly favours mellren, firepower clearly favours mellren.
Likely mapsMirage · Inferno · Anubis
Recent form
mellren
ex-Sashi Academy
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Noir Verse#1482-00-4
mellren vs Noir Verse
Aug 17WAnubis13-8Ancient13-3Firepower
roster ratingsmellren · avg 1.14 · top +0.14
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lollipop21k | 30 | 1.2 | 95.4 | 77.8% | 55% | 1.28 |
| shootic | 36 | 1.07 | 77.8 | 74.2% | 60% | 1.19 |
| menddel | 34 | 1.06 | 70.4 | 70.8% | 51% | 1.1 |
| mdl | 36 | 0.98 | 68 | 72.8% | 45% | 1.07 |
| Maksilvl | 36 | 0.93 | 69.1 | 73.7% | 57% | 1.04 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, mellren vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMELEX-
NukeMEL ban0%0-250%1-1
CacheEX- bann/a0g0%0-1
mellren on Cache
no recent maps
ex-Sashi Academy on Cache
LNoir Verse3–1324d agoMirageMEL pick80%8-250%1-1
InfernoEX- pick67%4-250%1-1
Dust2MEL ban50%4-4n/a0g
mellren on Dust2
W
BASEMENT BOYS13–31d agoL
WBT11–1316d agoW
Bushido Wildcats13–1119d agoW
Honvéd13–1123d agoL
Spirit Academy7–131mo agoW
LPH13–62mo agoLLPH9–132mo agoL
AM14–166mo agoex-Sashi Academy on Dust2
no recent maps
AncientEX- ban57%4-30%0-2
Anubisdecider100%3-050%1-1
Each team's usual first ban: mellren Cache · ex-Sashi Academy Dust2.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
mellren61%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: mellren 58% · Inferno: mellren 54% toss-up · Anubis: mellren 60%Whymellren hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).Outcomesmellren 61%: 2-0 32%, 2-1 30% · ex-Sashi Academy 39%: 2-1 20%, 2-0 19%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
mellren 61%mellren are the clearer side here: the most likely result is mellren 2-0.39% ex-Sashi Academy
Mirage
mellren58%ex-Sashi Academy42%
8-2record1-1
80%win50%
52%CT win56%
52%T win38%
50%pistol75%
70%convert33%
Inferno
mellren54%ex-Sashi Academy46%
4-2record1-1
67%win50%
51%CT win57%
52%T win50%
42%pistol50%
80%convert100%
Anubis
mellren60%ex-Sashi Academy40%
3-0record1-1
100%win50%
67%CT win58%
54%T win55%
33%pistol50%
100%convert50%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MELct
MELt
EX-ct
EX-t
MELpistol
MELconv
MELeco
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
Miragepool
52%55/105
52%61/117
56%10/18
38%9/24
50%10/20
70%7/10
10%1/10
75%3/4
33%1/3
0%0/1
Infernopool
51%32/63
52%32/62
57%13/23
50%12/24
42%5/12
80%4/5
0%0/7
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
Anubispool
67%24/36
54%15/28
58%14/24
55%11/20
33%2/6
100%2/2
75%3/4
50%2/4
50%1/2
0%0/2
Nukeban
44%8/18
27%6/22
73%8/11
29%7/24
50%2/4
50%1/2
0%0/2
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
Cacheban
n/a
n/a
25%3/12
0%0/4
n/a
n/a
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
Dust2ban
55%47/85
50%44/88
n/a
n/a
25%4/16
100%4/4
25%3/12
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
44%31/71
59%43/73
6%1/16
54%13/24
29%4/14
100%4/4
0%0/10
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
ex-Sashi Academy wins more pistol rounds: 58% vs 45%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → mellren usually win the next round too (76% vs 57%). Lose the pistol → mellren fight back to win the next round more often (19% vs 0%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
mellren
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i11/23 (48%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 23 maps they won, 11 (48%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 48% of their wins were comebacks, not 48% of all games.vs BASEMENT BOYSDust2from 10 downvs TrickstersMiragefrom 6 downvs Bushido WildcatsDust2from 6 downvs BERGMiragefrom 5 downvs LPHInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/13 (23%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 13 maps they lost, 3 (23%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AMAncientled 4 · lost 7-13vs PUREAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs HAVUNukeled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BASEMENT BOYSDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AMAncientled 4 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs AMDust214-16vs TrickstersMirage19-16vs TrickstersAncient16-14vs Bushido WildcatsMirage16-12vs BERGMirage16-14
ex-Sashi Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/4 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 4 maps they won, 2 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs MisaInfernofrom 6 downvs MisaMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/7 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 7 maps they lost, 2 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Noir VerseAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs SAW YoungstersInfernoled 3 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MisaInfernofrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Noir VerseAncientled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi45% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT45% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs SAW YoungstersInferno14-16vs MisaAnubis23-25
mellren vs ex-Sashi Academy FAQ
Who is favored to win mellren vs ex-Sashi Academy?
mellren are favored with a 76% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for mellren vs ex-Sashi Academy?
Match odds for mellren vs ex-Sashi Academy aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do mellren and ex-Sashi Academy play?
mellren vs ex-Sashi Academy is scheduled for 2026-09-09 11:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier.