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Nexus vs Spirit Academy: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9

Nexus
World #142 · 15-20
VS
2026-09-17 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
Spirit Academy
World #109 · 13-9
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
48%
Win probability
52%
44%
2.071.62Market · 2 booksBookmakerNEXSPIGGBet2.071.62Sweatbet 2.071.62
56%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 48–52. Bookmakers lean Spirit Academy at 56%. Strength slightly favours Spirit Academy, record slightly favours Spirit Academy, form clearly favours Spirit Academy.

Likely mapsAnubis · Ancient · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

Nexus · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
shield★1.369.574.7%37%1.18
HOLY1.0573.571.9%67%1.13
s0und1.0375.269.2%66%1.13
Nexius0.9576.269.8%58%1.1
fNk0.8774.368.2%51%1.01

Spirit Academy · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Kiryasoo★1.1979.569.5%35%1.19
s1nside1.0373.472.9%68%1.14
k0gaSs0.9976.867.8%61%1.11
Netrix0.9164.372.2%59%1.01
VILBy0.9373.469.9%52%1.01

Recent form

Nexus

ex-RUSTECBlew leadBL61d ago1-2G2 AresPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT1mo ago0-2Bushido Wildcats1mo ago0-2UNiTYPistolsPist5/6OvertimeOT1mo ago1-2LPHPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-11mo ago2-0BRUTEPistolsPist4/41mo ago2-0Jam1mo ago0-2GamersLabPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0AllianceStompStomp1-133mo ago1-2Noir VersePistolsPist3/43mo ago2-0MetizportStompStomp0-133mo ago0-2Alliance3mo ago2-1PUREBlew leadBL7OvertimeOT3mo ago2-1Inner CirclePistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT6mo ago0-2BASEMENT BOYS6mo ago8-13

Spirit Academy

BAKS2d ago0-2benched gods3d ago2-1Saint Sinners4d ago2-0Permitta7d ago0-2Saint SinnersOvertimeOT8d ago2-0Noir VerseOvertimeOT8d ago1-2Mai TaiComebackCB8OvertimeOT10d ago2-1Bushido Wildcats12d ago0-2ex-RUSTECOvertimeOT18d ago0-2DONSTUComebackCB619d ago2-0Just PlayersPistolsPist5/619d ago2-1Nuclear TigeRESBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT24d ago13-16aimclubComebackCB72mo ago2-0Young TigeRESPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT2mo ago2-0mellrenPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Inner Circle#240-20-2
Nexus vs Inner Circle
Mar 29LMirage11-13Ancient14-16
Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle
Jun 18LNuke7-13Dust21-13
Betclic#481-22-1
Nexus vs Betclic
Feb 26LOverpass13-8Anubis11-13Ancient11-13
Spirit Academy vs Betclic
Jun 7WMirage8-13Nuke19-17Overpass13-6
ex-RUSTEC#671-20-2
Nexus vs ex-RUSTEC
Sep 16LDust29-13Mirage13-8Cache8-13
Spirit Academy vs ex-RUSTEC
Aug 30LCache6-13Dust213-16
Bushido Wildcats#763-50-2
Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 16LDust29-13Anubis7-13Feb 6WOverpass10-13Inferno13-5Dust213-4Feb 4LAnubis7-13Dust213-11Inferno7-13
Spirit Academy vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 5LNuke4-13Dust27-13
Noir Verse#1462-01-2
Nexus vs Noir Verse
Jun 14WMirage13-3Overpass13-6
Spirit Academy vs Noir Verse
Sep 9LCache12-16Ancient13-10Dust213-16
aimclub#1731-24-0
Nexus vs aimclub
Mar 24LDust211-13Inferno16-14Ancient4-13
Spirit Academy vs aimclub
Aug 2WDust213-11Ancient13-10Jul 30WAncient13-11

Map lab

Spirit Academy77%to win the Bo3 · most likely Spirit Academy 2-0
If the veto goes
Nexus 23%how the series ends77% Spirit Academy
6%2-056%
17%2-121%
Map 1AnubisNexus pick
Nexus33%6-8vsSpirit Academy67%3-0
43%Win100%
49%CT67%
55%T45%
46%Pistol50%
100%Conv100%
Map 2AncientSpirit Academy pick
Nexus17%5-8vsSpirit Academy83%9-2
38%Win82%
49%CT63%
48%T49%
54%Pistol45%
71%Conv90%
Map 3Cachedecider
Nexus45%1-2vsSpirit Academy55%4-4
33%Win50%
50%CT57%
52%T47%
83%Pistol50%
80%Conv88%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

NexusAnubisSpirit Academy
49%CT side67%
55%T side45%
46%Pistol50%
100%After win100%
27%After loss0%
NexusAncientSpirit Academy
49%CT side63%
48%T side49%
54%Pistol45%
71%After win90%
8%After loss33%
NexusCacheSpirit Academy
50%CT side57%
52%T side47%
83%Pistol50%
80%After win88%
0%After loss13%
Pistol rounds53% · 48% · Nexus win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 90% · Spirit Academy keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol18% · 22% · Spirit Academy fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nexus vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Spirit Academy habitually bans Inferno, Nexus's strongest maps (Inferno all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 20/22), not an opponent read, so expect Nexus to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapNEXSPI
NukeNEX ban0%0-133%3-6
Nexus on Nuke
LJam10–131mo ago
Spirit Academy on Nuke
LPermitta10–137d agoWSaint Sinners16–148d agoLMai Tai4–1310d agoLBushido Wildcats4–1312d agoLJust Players10–1319d agoWYoung TigeRES13–62mo agoLPsychoFace3–132mo agoLInner Circle7–133mo ago
InfernoSPI ban62%8-5n/a0g
Nexus on Inferno
LG2 Ares15–191mo agoWGamersLab13–51mo agoLMetizport3–133mo agoLAlliance9–133mo agoWPURE13–113mo agoWaimclub16–146mo agoWAlliance16–146mo agoWLazer Cats13–77mo ago
Spirit Academy on Inferno
no recent maps
AnubisNEX pick43%6-8100%3-0
Nexus on Anubis
LG2 Ares11–131mo agoLBushido Wildcats7–131mo agoWLPH13–11mo agoWBRUTE13–91mo agoLJam8–131mo agoWAlliance13–93mo agoWPURE13–43mo agoLBASEMENT BOYS8–136mo ago
Spirit Academy on Anubis
WMai Tai13–1110d agoWDONSTU13–1119d agoWQUAZAR13–82mo ago
AncientSPI pick38%5-882%9-2
Nexus on Ancient
WUNiTY13–61mo agoWLPH13–21mo agoLAlliance1–133mo agoLInner Circle14–166mo agoLaimclub4–136mo agoWBC.Game13–106mo agoLOG4–136mo agoLBetclic11–137mo ago
Spirit Academy on Ancient
Lbenched gods7–133d agoWSaint Sinners13–74d agoLPermitta3–137d agoWNoir Verse13–108d agoWDONSTU13–819d agoWJust Players13–1119d agoWaimclub13–102mo agoWmellren13–62mo ago
Dust2NEX ban31%4-945%5-6
Nexus on Dust2
Lex-RUSTEC9–131d agoLBushido Wildcats9–131mo agoWGamersLab13–61mo agoLAlliance3–133mo agoLaimclub11–136mo agoLMOUZ NXT8–136mo agoLkONO11–137mo agoLex-RUBY3–137mo ago
Spirit Academy on Dust2
LNoir Verse13–168d agoLBushido Wildcats7–1312d agoLex-RUSTEC13–1618d agoWaimclub13–112mo agoWYoung TigeRES25–222mo agoWmellren13–72mo agoWsleepers13–112mo agoLJust Players13–162mo ago
MirageSPI ban56%5-450%3-3
Nexus on Mirage
Wex-RUSTEC13–81d agoLUNiTY11–131mo agoWNoir Verse13–33mo agoLPURE12–163mo agoLInner Circle11–136mo agoLFlyQuest6–137mo agoWex-RUBY13–47mo agoWLazer Cats13–37mo ago
Spirit Academy on Mirage
LBAKS11–132d agoWbenched gods13–103d agoWSaint Sinners13–74d agoWJust Players13–619d agoLJust Players1–132mo agoLBetclic8–133mo ago
Cachedecider33%1-250%4-4
Nexus on Cache
Lex-RUSTEC8–131d agoLUNiTY14–161mo agoWBRUTE13–71mo ago
Spirit Academy on Cache
LBAKS9–132d agoWbenched gods13–93d agoWSaint Sinners13–48d agoLNoir Verse12–168d agoWMai Tai16–1210d agoLex-RUSTEC6–1318d agoLNuclear TigeRES13–1624d agoWPsychoFace13–92mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Nexus Nuke · Spirit Academy Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Nexus

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/33 (18%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 33 maps they won, 6 (18%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 18% of their wins were comebacks, not 18% of all games.vs PUREInfernofrom 5 downvs AllianceAnubisfrom 5 downvs PUREAnubisfrom 4 downvs GamersLabDust2from 4 downvs AllianceInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/41 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 41 maps they lost, 14 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PUREMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs kONODust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs ex-RUSTECDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs Inner CircleAncientled 5 · lost 14-16vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PUREInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PUREMirageled 7 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAncient15-19vs AllianceInferno16-14vs aimclubInferno16-14vs Inner CircleAncient14-16vs PUREMirage12-16

Spirit Academy

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/28 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 28 maps they won, 14 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs Mai TaiAnubisfrom 8 downvs aimclubDust2from 7 downvs DONSTUAnubisfrom 6 downvs Saint SinnersNukefrom 5 downvs Saint SinnersMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/21 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 21 maps they lost, 8 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Nuclear TigeRESCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs Noir VerseCacheled 5 · lost 12-16vs Just PlayersDust2led 4 · lost 13-16vs PermittaNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs Just PlayersNukeled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Mai TaiAnubisfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Nuclear TigeRESCacheled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs BetclicNuke19-17vs Just PlayersDust213-16vs Young TigeRESDust225-22vs Nuclear TigeRESCache13-16vs ex-RUSTECDust213-16

Nexus vs Spirit Academy FAQ

Who is favored to win Nexus vs Spirit Academy?

Spirit Academy are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Nexus vs Spirit Academy?

Bookmakers price Nexus at 2.07 and Spirit Academy at 1.62 (implied 44% vs 56%).

When do Nexus and Spirit Academy play?

Nexus vs Spirit Academy is scheduled for 2026-09-17 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 9.

Nexus vs Spirit Academy Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER