Matches / Upcoming / BAKS vs ex-RUSTEC
BAKS vs ex-RUSTEC: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9
BAKS
World #83 · 12-10
VS
2026-09-18 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
ex-RUSTEC
World #67 · 29-18
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
50%50%
47%
1.971.72Market · 2 books
53%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 50–50. Bookmakers lean ex-RUSTEC at 53%. Form slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, firepower clearly favours ex-RUSTEC.
Likely mapsCache · Dust2 · Nuke
Firepower
roster ratingsBAKS · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| whisper★ | 1.13 | 76.7 | 72.4% | 62% | 1.18 |
| turbo | 1.07 | 75.7 | 73.2% | 62% | 1.17 |
| Norwi | 0.95 | 73.2 | 69.2% | 47% | 1.07 |
| danistzz | 1.12 | 69.7 | 74.6% | 38% | 1.05 |
| xdENiSZERA | 1.01 | 70.2 | 73.4% | 55% | 1.02 |
ex-RUSTEC · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yiksrezo★ | 1.19 | 82.2 | 74.1% | 68% | 1.23 |
| youka | 1.27 | 73.9 | 72.6% | 36% | 1.21 |
| shalfey | 1.11 | 75.6 | 74.5% | 60% | 1.15 |
| jakekeS | 0.93 | 69.8 | 72.9% | 56% | 1.02 |
| Brilliance | 0.85 | 70.2 | 69.5% | 56% | 0.99 |
Recent form
BAKS
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FORZE Reload#752-00-4
BAKS vs FORZE Reload
Sep 13WCache13-8Nuke19-17
BET-M#772-00-2
BAKS vs BET-M
Jul 28WAncient13-8Inferno13-6ex-RUSTEC vs BET-M
Aug 7LNuke14-16Anubis3-13EX-ex-RUBY#1042-10-2
BAKS vs ex-RUBY
Sep 13WCache13-6Mirage5-13Ancient13-5ex-RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY
Jul 27LCache9-13Nuke12-16
Spirit Academy#1092-02-0
BAKS vs Spirit Academy
Sep 15WMirage13-11Cache13-9ex-RUSTEC vs Spirit Academy
Aug 30WCache13-6Dust216-13
Misa#1103-32-1
ex-RUSTEC vs Misa
Sep 13WInferno13-16Anubis13-8Dust213-8
SPARTA1-20-2
BAKS vs SPARTA
Sep 16LAncient19-16Dust25-13Inferno3-13ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA
Aug 1LDust28-13Cache11-13Map lab
BAKS59%to win the Bo3 · most likely BAKS 2-1
If the veto goes
BAKS 59%how the series ends41% ex-RUSTEC
28%2-017%
31%2-124%
BAKS71%9-3vsex-RUSTEC29%6-6
75%Win50%
59%CT55%
54%T53%
54%Pistol54%
92%Conv92%
BAKS39%6-6vsex-RUSTEC61%19-12
50%Win61%
42%CT56%
60%T50%
50%Pistol48%
83%Conv77%
BAKS57%5-5vsex-RUSTEC43%9-12
50%Win43%
57%CT54%
39%T44%
55%Pistol52%
82%Conv86%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
BAKSCacheex-RUSTEC
59%CT side55%
54%T side53%
54%Pistol54%
92%After win92%
18%After loss27%
BAKSDust2ex-RUSTEC
42%CT side56%
60%T side50%
50%Pistol48%
83%After win77%
8%After loss19%
BAKSNukeex-RUSTEC
57%CT side54%
39%T side44%
55%Pistol52%
82%After win86%
22%After loss5%
Pistol rounds53% · 51% · level, no edge
After a won pistol86% · 83% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol16% · 16% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BAKS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
ex-RUSTEC habitually bans Ancient, BAKS's strongest maps (Ancient, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 41/47), not an opponent read, so expect BAKS to fight the veto for Cache.
MapBAKEX-
AnubisBAK bann/a0g67%14-7
BAKS on Anubis
no recent maps
AncientEX- ban83%5-1n/a0g
BAKS on Ancient
WSPARTA19–161d agoWex-RUBY13–54d agoL
WBT7–1317d agoWBET-M13–82mo agoW
TDK13–82mo agoW
ReThink13–63mo agoex-RUSTEC on Ancient
no recent maps
CacheBAK pick75%9-350%6-6
Dust2EX- pick50%6-661%19-12
MirageBAK ban50%3-354%7-6
InfernoEX- ban50%4-442%5-7
Each team's usual first ban: BAKS Anubis · ex-RUSTEC Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BAKS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/32 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 32 maps they won, 8 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs K28Dust2from 9 downvs SPARTAAncientfrom 6 downvs eternal premiumMiragefrom 5 downvs XcityInfernofrom 4 downvs MisaDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/23 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 23 maps they lost, 5 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13vs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsDust2led 4 · lost 7-13vs CYBERSHOKECacheled 4 · lost 11-13vs TDKDust2led 3 · lost 8-13vs WBTNukeled 3 · lost 5-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs K28Dust2from 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs XcityInferno16-13vs ReThinkMirage26-28vs MisaNuke12-16vs SPARTAAncient19-16vs FORZE ReloadNuke19-17
ex-RUSTEC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/60 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 60 maps they won, 17 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs FortressNukefrom 8 downvs NexusDust2from 6 downvs ex-MANANukefrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersAnubisfrom 5 downvs EntropyDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/50 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 15 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Noir VerseCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs MisaInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FortressNukefrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs ButterflyNuke16-14vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16
BAKS vs ex-RUSTEC FAQ
Who is favored to win BAKS vs ex-RUSTEC?
BAKS are favored with a 50% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for BAKS vs ex-RUSTEC?
Bookmakers price BAKS at 1.97 and ex-RUSTEC at 1.72 (implied 47% vs 53%).
When do BAKS and ex-RUSTEC play?
BAKS vs ex-RUSTEC is scheduled for 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 9.