Matches / Upcoming / Metizport vs Luminosity
Metizport vs Luminosity: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
Metizport
World #68 · 43-33
VS
2026-09-17 10:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
Luminosity
World #37 · 3-6
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
69%31%
39%
2.361.53Market · 2 books
61%The call · high confidence
Metizport are favoured: our model gives them 69% against Luminosity. Bookmakers lean Luminosity at 61%. Strength clearly favours Metizport, record slightly favours Metizport, firepower clearly favours Metizport.
Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Ancient
Firepower
roster ratingsMetizport · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Luminosity · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainwaker★ | 1 | 72.8 | 69.8% | 52% | 1.11 |
| afro | 1.11 | 68 | 72.2% | 28% | 1.09 |
| lux | 0.91 | 74.6 | 71.2% | 57% | 1.08 |
| yxngstxr | 1.03 | 69.1 | 75.9% | 57% | 1.05 |
| AZUWU | 0.93 | 68.4 | 70.9% | 61% | 1.04 |
Recent form
Metizport
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
GamerLegion#200-20-1
Metizport vs GamerLegion
Mar 23LInferno17-19Mirage10-13Luminosity vs GamerLegion
Aug 12LNuke3-13Map lab
Metizport53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Metizport 2-1
If the veto goes
Metizport 53%how the series ends47% Luminosity
23%2-027%
30%2-120%
Metizport44%24-17vsLuminosity56%3-1
59%Win75%
52%CT62%
50%T53%
41%Pistol25%
85%Conv50%
Metizport51%12-10vsLuminosity49%1-1
55%Win50%
54%CT46%
44%T56%
64%Pistol50%
79%Conv50%
Metizport60%13-9vsLuminosity40%0-2
59%Win0%
51%CT25%
53%T42%
52%Pistol50%
83%Conv50%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
MetizportNukeLuminosity
52%CT side62%
50%T side53%
41%Pistol25%
85%After win50%
27%After loss17%
MetizportMirageLuminosity
54%CT side46%
44%T side56%
64%Pistol50%
79%After win50%
19%After loss0%
MetizportAncientLuminosity
51%CT side25%
53%T side42%
52%Pistol50%
83%After win50%
24%After loss0%
Pistol rounds50% · 38% · Metizport win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol82% · 50% · Metizport keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol25% · 10% · Metizport fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Metizport vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Luminosity habitually bans Anubis & Cache, two of Metizport's strongest maps (Inferno, Anubis, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 5/9, Cache 7/9), not an opponent read, so expect Metizport to fight the veto for Nuke.
MapMETLUM
Dust2MET ban36%5-940%2-3
CacheLUM ban60%3-20%0-1
Metizport on Cache
W
ex-Zero Tenacity13–63d agoW
Sashi16–1312d agoL
ASTRAL9–1316d agoWColor13–1127d agoL
Liquid9–131mo agoLuminosity on Cache
L
M8010–133d agoNukeMET pick59%24-1775%3-1
MirageLUM pick55%12-1050%1-1
AnubisMET ban71%5-2n/a0g
Metizport on Anubis
W
Walczaki13–914d agoW
PCIFIC13–715d agoLASTRAL10–1316d agoW
Fire Flux13–728d agoW
DONSTU16–1429d agoL
fnatic8–131mo agoW
Alliance13–53mo agoLuminosity on Anubis
no recent maps
InfernoLUM ban62%21-1320%1-4
Ancientdecider59%13-90%0-2
Each team's usual first ban: Metizport Anubis · Luminosity Mirage.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Metizport
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/97 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 97 maps they won, 34 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs PrestigeAncientfrom 11 downvs OGInfernofrom 9 downvs SIXSEVENDust2from 7 downvs ALGOMiragefrom 7 downvs ENCE AcademyOverpassfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/74 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 74 maps they lost, 22 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NemigaMirageled 8 · lost 14-16vs ex-Zero TenacityNukeled 6 · lost 14-16vs FAVBETNukeled 5 · lost 17-19vs AcendDust2led 4 · lost 9-13vs FAVBETInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PrestigeAncientfrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NemigaMirageled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs BebopMirage20-22vs SIXSEVENDust216-14vs AllianceNuke17-19vs Lazer CatsInferno16-13vs AaBOverpass16-13
Luminosity
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/7 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 7 maps they won, 2 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukefrom 4 downvs LPNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/12 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 12 maps they lost, 4 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SpiritAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs SAWInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs M80Dust2led 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukefrom 4 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SpiritAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs SpiritDust215-19
Metizport vs Luminosity FAQ
Who is favored to win Metizport vs Luminosity?
Metizport are favored with a 69% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Metizport vs Luminosity?
Bookmakers price Metizport at 2.36 and Luminosity at 1.53 (implied 39% vs 61%).
When do Metizport and Luminosity play?
Metizport vs Luminosity is scheduled for 2026-09-17 10:00 UTC at Logitech G Play Connect 2026.