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Matches / Upcoming / Luminosity vs B8

Luminosity vs B8: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Logitech G Play Connect 2026

Luminosity
World #37 · 3-6
VS
2026-09-17 12:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
B8
World #16 · 38-33
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
28%
Win probability
72%
39%
2.361.53Market · 2 booksBookmakerLUMB8GGBet2.361.53Sweatbet 2.361.53
61%
The call · high confidence

B8 are favoured: our model gives them 72% against Luminosity. Bookmakers lean B8 at 61%. Strength clearly favours B8, record slightly favours B8, firepower clearly favours B8.

Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

Luminosity · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Rainwaker172.869.8%52%1.11
afro1.116872.2%28%1.09
lux0.9174.671.2%57%1.08
yxngstxr1.0369.175.9%57%1.05
AZUWU0.9368.470.9%61%1.04

B8 · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
npl1.0880.271.7%59%1.17
kensizor0.9977.272%59%1.11
esenthial1.0169.772.5%63%1.08
s1zzi1.0770.170.7%31%1.06
alex6660.96871.3%50%1.02

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Spirit#10-21-4
GamerLegion#200-12-1
Luminosity vs GamerLegion
Aug 12LNuke3-13
M80#262-32-1
Ninjas in Pyjamas#291-21-0
Luminosity vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 3LNuke13-7Inferno10-13Mirage7-13
B8 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 20WAncient13-9
Lynn Vision#340-12-0
Luminosity vs Lynn Vision
Jul 2LInferno8-13
Nemesis#440-10-1
Luminosity vs Nemesis
Jul 1LInferno10-13
B8 vs Nemesis
Jul 2LAncient10-13

Map lab

B862%to win the Bo3 · most likely B8 2-0
If the veto goes
Luminosity 38%how the series ends62% B8
18%2-031%
20%2-130%
Map 1Dust2Luminosity pick
Luminosity36%2-3vsB864%17-11
40%Win61%
61%CT56%
57%T48%
80%Pistol46%
88%Conv58%
Map 2MirageB8 pick
Luminosity51%1-1vsB849%20-22
50%Win48%
46%CT59%
56%T46%
50%Pistol58%
50%Conv88%
Map 3Ancientdecider
Luminosity40%0-2vsB860%21-14
0%Win60%
25%CT63%
42%T45%
50%Pistol43%
50%Conv83%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

LuminosityDust2B8
61%CT side56%
57%T side48%
80%Pistol46%
88%After win58%
0%After loss23%
LuminosityMirageB8
46%CT side59%
56%T side46%
50%Pistol58%
50%After win88%
0%After loss6%
LuminosityAncientB8
25%CT side63%
42%T side45%
50%Pistol43%
50%After win83%
0%After loss21%
Pistol rounds67% · 50% · Luminosity win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol75% · 79% · B8 keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 16% · B8 fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Luminosity vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapLUMB8
CacheLUM ban0%0-167%2-1
AnubisB8 bann/a0g0%0-2
Luminosity on Anubis
no recent maps
Dust2LUM pick40%2-361%17-11
MirageB8 pick50%1-148%20-22
InfernoLUM ban20%1-442%8-11
NukeB8 ban75%3-150%7-7
Ancientdecider0%0-260%21-14
Each team's usual first ban: Luminosity Mirage · B8 Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Luminosity

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/7 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 7 maps they won, 2 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukefrom 4 downvs LPNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/12 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 12 maps they lost, 4 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SpiritAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs SAWInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs M80Dust2led 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukefrom 4 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SpiritAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs SpiritDust215-19

B8

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i30/79 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 79 maps they won, 30 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs BESTIAMiragefrom 7 downvs GamerLegionNukefrom 7 downvs PhantomMiragefrom 6 downvs BIGDust2from 6 downvs VitalityInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/74 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 74 maps they lost, 27 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 3DMAXNukeled 9 · lost 11-13vs NemigaAncientled 6 · lost 17-19vs AuroraMirageled 5 · lost 13-16vs PhantomNukeled 5 · lost 14-16vs Natus VincereInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BESTIAMiragefrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 3DMAXNukeled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs paiNDust212-16vs The MongolZNuke17-19vs AuroraMirage13-16vs Natus VincereAncient19-17vs Natus VincereMirage14-16

Luminosity vs B8 FAQ

Who is favored to win Luminosity vs B8?

B8 are favored with a 72% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Luminosity vs B8?

Bookmakers price Luminosity at 2.36 and B8 at 1.53 (implied 39% vs 61%).

When do Luminosity and B8 play?

Luminosity vs B8 is scheduled for 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC at Logitech G Play Connect 2026.