Matches / Upcoming / Luminosity vs M80
Luminosity vs M80: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
Luminosity
World #37 · 3-6
VS
2026-09-17 14:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
M80
World #26 · 38-25
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
39%61%
48%
1.921.8Market · 2 books
52%The call
M80 are favoured: our model gives them 61% against Luminosity. Bookmakers lean M80 at 52%. Strength clearly favours M80, record clearly favours M80, head-to-head slightly favours M80.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Mirage
Firepower
roster ratingsLuminosity · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainwaker★ | 1 | 72.8 | 69.8% | 52% | 1.11 |
| afro | 1.11 | 68 | 72.2% | 28% | 1.09 |
| lux | 0.91 | 74.6 | 71.2% | 57% | 1.08 |
| yxngstxr | 1.03 | 69.1 | 75.9% | 57% | 1.05 |
| AZUWU | 0.93 | 68.4 | 70.9% | 61% | 1.04 |
M80 · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
GamerLegion#200-10-2
Luminosity vs GamerLegion
Aug 12LNuke3-13M80 vs GamerLegion
Jan 5LMirage9-13Inferno11-13
Ninjas in Pyjamas#291-22-3
Luminosity vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 3LNuke13-7Inferno10-13Mirage7-13
Lynn Vision#340-11-0
Luminosity vs Lynn Vision
Jul 2LInferno8-13M80 vs Lynn Vision
Jun 2WInferno13-8Map lab
M8069%to win the Bo3 · most likely M80 2-0
If the veto goes
Luminosity 31%how the series ends69% M80
11%2-044%
20%2-125%
Luminosity38%2-3vsM8062%15-11
40%Win58%
61%CT56%
57%T52%
80%Pistol56%
88%Conv90%
Luminosity28%1-4vsM8072%18-14
20%Win56%
50%CT50%
45%T56%
60%Pistol50%
100%Conv81%
Luminosity45%1-1vsM8055%21-11
50%Win66%
46%CT56%
56%T50%
50%Pistol44%
50%Conv82%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
LuminosityDust2M80
61%CT side56%
57%T side52%
80%Pistol56%
88%After win90%
0%After loss17%
LuminosityInfernoM80
50%CT side50%
45%T side56%
60%Pistol50%
100%After win81%
25%After loss25%
LuminosityMirageM80
46%CT side56%
56%T side50%
50%Pistol44%
50%After win82%
0%After loss14%
Pistol rounds67% · 49% · Luminosity win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol88% · 84% · Luminosity keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol13% · 19% · M80 fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Luminosity vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
M80 habitually bans Nuke, Luminosity's strongest maps (Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 59/63), not an opponent read, so expect Luminosity to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapLUMM80
CacheLUM ban0%0-183%5-1
NukeM80 ban75%3-1n/a0g
M80 on Nuke
no recent maps
Dust2LUM pick40%2-358%15-11
InfernoM80 pick20%1-456%18-14
AnubisLUM bann/a0g50%4-4
Luminosity on Anubis
no recent maps
AncientM80 ban0%0-250%10-10
Miragedecider50%1-166%21-11
Each team's usual first ban: Luminosity Mirage · M80 Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Luminosity
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/7 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 7 maps they won, 2 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukefrom 4 downvs LPNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/12 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 12 maps they lost, 4 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SpiritAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs SAWInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs M80Dust2led 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukefrom 4 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SpiritAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs SpiritDust215-19
M80
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/79 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 79 maps they won, 22 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs VocaAnubisfrom 6 downvs Passion UAMiragefrom 5 downvs AuroraAnubisfrom 5 downvs WildcardDust2from 5 downvs NRGInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/54 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 54 maps they lost, 18 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FalconsInfernoled 6 · lost 15-19vs VocaMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs LiquidMirageled 5 · lost 13-16vs FalconsAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncientled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs VocaAnubisfrom 6 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FalconsInfernoled 6 · lost 15-19
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs LiquidMirage13-16vs WildcardDust216-14vs FalconsInferno15-19vs B8Inferno20-22vs LegacyInferno13-16
Luminosity vs M80 FAQ
Who is favored to win Luminosity vs M80?
M80 are favored with a 61% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Luminosity vs M80?
Bookmakers price Luminosity at 1.92 and M80 at 1.8 (implied 48% vs 52%).
When do Luminosity and M80 play?
Luminosity vs M80 is scheduled for 2026-09-17 14:00 UTC at Logitech G Play Connect 2026.