Matches / Upcoming / B8 vs Luminosity
B8 vs Luminosity: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Ranked Episode 4
B8
World #16 · 38-33
VS
2026-10-01 10:00 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · Best of 3 · ★
Luminosity
World #37 · 3-6
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · Best of 3 · ★
77%23%
61%
1.532.36Market · 2 books
39%The call · high confidence
B8 are favoured: our model gives them 77% against Luminosity. Bookmakers lean B8 at 61%. Strength clearly favours B8, record slightly favours B8, firepower clearly favours B8.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Firepower
roster ratingsB8 · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Luminosity · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainwaker★ | 1 | 72.8 | 69.8% | 52% | 1.11 |
| afro | 1.11 | 68 | 72.2% | 28% | 1.09 |
| lux | 0.91 | 74.6 | 71.2% | 57% | 1.08 |
| yxngstxr | 1.03 | 69.1 | 75.9% | 57% | 1.05 |
| AZUWU | 0.93 | 68.4 | 70.9% | 61% | 1.04 |
Recent form
B8
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Spirit#11-40-2
Luminosity vs Spirit
Aug 13LAncient3-13Dust215-19
GamerLegion#202-10-1
B8 vs GamerLegion
Jun 7WInferno13-11Mirage8-13Nuke13-11Luminosity vs GamerLegion
Aug 12LNuke3-13
M80#262-12-3
Ninjas in Pyjamas#291-01-2
B8 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 20WAncient13-9Luminosity vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 3LNuke13-7Inferno10-13Mirage7-13
Lynn Vision#342-00-1
B8 vs Lynn Vision
Jul 4WDust216-14Ancient13-6Luminosity vs Lynn Vision
Jul 2LInferno8-13
Nemesis#440-10-1
B8 vs Nemesis
Jul 2LAncient10-13Luminosity vs Nemesis
Jul 1LInferno10-13Map lab
B862%to win the Bo3 · most likely B8 2-0
If the veto goes
B8 62%how the series ends38% Luminosity
31%2-018%
30%2-120%
B849%20-22vsLuminosity51%1-1
48%Win50%
59%CT46%
46%T56%
58%Pistol50%
88%Conv50%
B864%17-11vsLuminosity36%2-3
61%Win40%
56%CT61%
48%T57%
46%Pistol80%
58%Conv88%
B860%21-14vsLuminosity40%0-2
60%Win0%
63%CT25%
45%T42%
43%Pistol50%
83%Conv50%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
B8MirageLuminosity
59%CT side46%
46%T side56%
58%Pistol50%
88%After win50%
6%After loss0%
B8Dust2Luminosity
56%CT side61%
48%T side57%
46%Pistol80%
58%After win88%
23%After loss0%
B8AncientLuminosity
63%CT side25%
45%T side42%
43%Pistol50%
83%After win50%
21%After loss0%
Pistol rounds50% · 67% · Luminosity win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol79% · 75% · B8 keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol16% · 0% · B8 fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, B8 vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Luminosity habitually bans Cache, B8's strongest maps (Dust2, Ancient, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Cache 7/9), not an opponent read, so expect B8 to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapB8LUM
AnubisB8 ban0%0-2n/a0g
Luminosity on Anubis
no recent maps
CacheLUM ban67%2-10%0-1
Luminosity on Cache
LM8010–133d agoMirageB8 pick48%20-2250%1-1
Dust2LUM pick61%17-1140%2-3
NukeB8 ban50%7-775%3-1
InfernoLUM ban42%8-1120%1-4
Ancientdecider60%21-140%0-2
Each team's usual first ban: B8 Anubis · Luminosity Mirage.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
B8
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i30/79 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 79 maps they won, 30 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs BESTIAMiragefrom 7 downvs GamerLegionNukefrom 7 downvs PhantomMiragefrom 6 downvs BIGDust2from 6 downvs VitalityInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/74 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 74 maps they lost, 27 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 3DMAXNukeled 9 · lost 11-13vs NemigaAncientled 6 · lost 17-19vs AuroraMirageled 5 · lost 13-16vs PhantomNukeled 5 · lost 14-16vs Natus VincereInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BESTIAMiragefrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 3DMAXNukeled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs paiNDust212-16vs The MongolZNuke17-19vs AuroraMirage13-16vs Natus VincereAncient19-17vs Natus VincereMirage14-16
Luminosity
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/7 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 7 maps they won, 2 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukefrom 4 downvs LPNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/12 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 12 maps they lost, 4 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SpiritAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs SAWInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs M80Dust2led 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukefrom 4 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SpiritAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs SpiritDust215-19
B8 vs Luminosity FAQ
Who is favored to win B8 vs Luminosity?
B8 are favored with a 77% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for B8 vs Luminosity?
Bookmakers price B8 at 1.53 and Luminosity at 2.36 (implied 61% vs 39%).
When do B8 and Luminosity play?
B8 vs Luminosity is scheduled for 2026-10-01 10:00 UTC at Stake Ranked Episode 4.