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Matches / Upcoming / BIG vs fnatic

BIG vs fnatic: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Ranked Episode 4

BIG
World #25 · 50-25
VS
2026-10-01 12:30 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · Best of 3
fnatic
World #42 · 44-30
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · Best of 3
44%
Win probability
56%
62%
1.492.47Market · 2 booksBookmakerBIGFNAGGBet1.492.47Sweatbet 1.492.47
38%
The call

fnatic are favoured: our model gives them 56% against BIG. Bookmakers lean BIG at 62%. Form clearly favours fnatic, firepower clearly favours fnatic.

Likely mapsAncient · Anubis · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

BIG · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.13iStar gap: the best player rates 0.13 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
blameF★1.3486.378.7%44%1.28
gr1ks1.2875.175.1%31%1.18
JDC1.0678.174.5%53%1.15
faveN1.0469.374.3%60%1.09
tabseN0.9168.473.5%51%1.03

fnatic · avg 1.17 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
cairne★1.1780.676.9%56%1.28
jackasmo1.1482.674.9%61%1.22
jambo1.2176.573.8%40%1.2
mazay1.1478.574.8%56%1.18
fEAR0.8668.371.2%50%0.97

Recent form

BIG

G27d ago1-2BETBOOM8d ago0-2magicOvertimeOT13d ago0-2paiN14d ago2-0NemigaUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT14d ago1-2Spirit1mo ago1-2G2StompStomp1-13OvertimeOT1mo ago1-2AuroraUpsetUpsetPistolsPist0/21mo ago13-9Sashi1mo ago2-1GenOne1mo ago2-0Eternal Fire1mo ago2-0Fluxo1mo ago2-0z to forwardPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-11mo ago2-0PARIVISIONOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2B8PistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT2mo ago2-0

fnatic

DramaUpsetUpsetPistolsPist2/210d ago14-16Ninjas in PyjamasPistolsPist5/6Blew leadBL610d ago2-1BBL11d ago2-1ASTRALUpsetUpset12d ago8-13Virtus.proComebackCB7OvertimeOT13d ago2-1TeletubisieStompStomp13-217d ago2-1K27UpsetUpsetOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2HEROICUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0Fluxo1mo ago2-066661mo ago2-0FKOMARPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0Liquid1mo ago0-2EACPistolsPist3/4ComebackCB61mo ago2-0MetizportStompStomp2-131mo ago2-1LilmixPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
FaZe#132-12-0
BIG vs FaZe
Apr 5WDust23-13Overpass13-11Anubis13-3
fnatic vs FaZe
Mar 31WAnubis13-6Overpass13-5
Alliance#212-01-4
BIG vs Alliance
Jan 24WDust213-6Ancient13-11
fnatic vs Alliance
Jun 14LAnubis4-13Dust219-17Ancient6-13Mar 31LAnubis9-13Inferno13-16
Liquid#220-10-2
BIG vs Liquid
Jun 2LNuke10-13
fnatic vs Liquid
Aug 5LDust210-13Anubis5-13
HOTU#282-12-2
BIG vs HOTU
Mar 26WAncient13-8Dust29-13Overpass13-5
fnatic vs HOTU
Jul 14WAncient13-0Dust213-3Feb 22LAnubis11-13Dust21-13
Ninjas in Pyjamas#293-32-1
BIG vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 4WAnubis13-11Inferno9-13Ancient13-6Apr 25LAncient5-13Mirage13-11Anubis5-13
fnatic vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Sep 6WCache13-6Mirage10-13Inferno13-8
HEROIC#320-22-0
BIG vs HEROIC
Apr 24LDust29-13Overpass7-13
fnatic vs HEROIC
Aug 9WAncient13-9Inferno13-11
K27#413-33-3
BIG vs K27
Mar 20LNuke8-13Overpass13-11Anubis8-13Mar 7WNuke9-13Overpass13-7Ancient13-6
fnatic vs K27
Aug 9LAncient13-8Mirage13-16Cache10-13Feb 10WDust216-13Mirage0-13Overpass13-8
Nemesis#441-40-2
BIG vs Nemesis
Apr 10LInferno8-13Ancient5-13Mar 8LAncient11-13Inferno13-10Mirage14-16
fnatic vs Nemesis
Apr 29LInferno5-13Ancient8-13

Map lab

fnatic53%to win the Bo3 · most likely fnatic 2-1
If the veto goes
BIG 47%how the series ends53% fnatic
30%2-020%
17%2-133%
Map 1AncientBIG pick
BIG59%24-13vsfnatic41%20-16
65%Win56%
56%CT52%
51%T51%
54%Pistol51%
79%Conv92%
Map 2Anubisfnatic pick
BIG51%6-3vsfnatic49%21-12
67%Win64%
44%CT50%
60%T56%
56%Pistol52%
100%Conv94%
Map 3Cachedecider
BIG34%6-3vsfnatic66%9-2
67%Win82%
51%CT55%
56%T64%
44%Pistol59%
63%Conv85%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

BIGAncientfnatic
56%CT side52%
51%T side51%
54%Pistol51%
79%After win92%
12%After loss11%
BIGAnubisfnatic
44%CT side50%
60%T side56%
56%Pistol52%
100%After win94%
38%After loss19%
BIGCachefnatic
51%CT side55%
56%T side64%
44%Pistol59%
63%After win85%
0%After loss11%
Pistol rounds53% · 53% · level, no edge
After a won pistol81% · 92% · fnatic keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol13% · 14% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BIG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

fnatic habitually bans Nuke, BIG's strongest maps (Dust2, Ancient, Anubis, Overpass, Inferno, Nuke, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 74/74), not an opponent read, so expect BIG to fight the veto for Overpass.
MapBIGFNA
NukeBIG ban63%10-6n/a0g
BIG on Nuke
LBETBOOM9–138d agoWNemiga13–1114d agoWz to forward13–11mo agoLNRG12–163mo agoWGaimin Gladiators13–14mo agoLLiquid10–134mo agoWQWENTRY13–55mo agoLBebop9–135mo ago
fnatic on Nuke
no recent maps
MirageFNA ban52%13-1254%13-11
BIG on Mirage
LG27–137d agoLNemiga11–1314d agoLSpirit7–131mo agoWEternal Fire13–101mo agoWFluxo13–81mo agoLPARIVISION5–132mo agoLMIBR2–133mo agoLBetBoom11–133mo ago
fnatic on Mirage
LNinjas in Pyjamas10–1310d agoLTeletubisie10–1317d agoLK2713–161mo agoWMetizport13–41mo agoLMetizport6–133mo agoWaimclub13–113mo agoWMinkens finest13–33mo agoWLavked13–114mo ago
AncientBIG pick65%24-1356%20-16
BIG on Ancient
LG210–137d agoLmagic5–1313d agoLNemiga13–1614d agoWG216–131mo agoWSashi13–81mo agoWz to forward13–11mo agoLPARIVISION9–132mo agoWB813–112mo ago
fnatic on Ancient
LDrama14–1610d agoWBBL13–1111d agoLASTRAL8–1312d agoWK2713–81mo agoWHEROIC13–91mo agoWFKOMAR13–51mo agoWEAC13–51mo agoLMetizport2–131mo ago
AnubisFNA pick67%6-364%21-12
BIG on Anubis
WNinjas in Pyjamas13–112mo agoLNinjas in Pyjamas5–135mo agoWUrsa13–95mo agoWFaZe13–35mo agoLBetclic6–136mo agoLK278–136mo agoWCYBERSHOKE13–36mo agoWLeo16–147mo ago
fnatic on Anubis
WVirtus.pro16–1313d agoWTeletubisie13–217d agoWFluxo13–101mo agoW666613–51mo agoLLiquid5–131mo agoWMetizport13–81mo agoWBRUTE13–112mo agoWMisa13–82mo ago
Dust2BIG ban67%12-654%15-13
BIG on Dust2
WpaiN13–614d agoLSpirit10–131mo agoWGenOne13–111mo agoLB88–133mo agoWNRG13–53mo agoLHEROIC9–135mo agoW100 Thieves16–135mo agoWBebop13–45mo ago
fnatic on Dust2
LVirtus.pro11–1313d agoW666613–41mo agoLLiquid10–131mo agoWHOTU13–32mo agoLBRUTE5–132mo agoWSPARTA13–82mo agoWMisa13–112mo agoWAlliance19–173mo ago
InfernoFNA ban72%13-576%16-5
BIG on Inferno
LG21–131mo agoLSashi9–131mo agoWGenOne13–41mo agoWEternal Fire13–81mo agoWFluxo13–61mo agoWB816–132mo agoLNinjas in Pyjamas9–132mo agoLG23–133mo ago
fnatic on Inferno
WNinjas in Pyjamas13–810d agoLBBL9–1311d agoWHEROIC13–111mo agoWFluxo13–101mo agoWBASEMENT BOYS13–53mo agoWFOKUS13–74mo agoWRune Eaters13–104mo agoWALGO13–84mo ago
Cachedecider67%6-382%9-2
BIG on Cache
WG213–87d agoLBETBOOM8–138d agoLmagic17–1913d agoWpaiN13–814d agoWSpirit13–91mo agoLG25–131mo agoWAurora13–91mo agoWSashi13–51mo ago
fnatic on Cache
WNinjas in Pyjamas13–610d agoWBBL13–1111d agoWVirtus.pro13–313d agoWTeletubisie13–817d agoLK2710–131mo agoWFKOMAR13–31mo agoWEAC16–131mo agoWLilmix13–71mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: BIG Nuke · fnatic Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

BIG

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i30/102 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 102 maps they won, 30 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 downvs Gentle MatesAncientfrom 6 downvs magicOverpassfrom 6 downvs AMMiragefrom 5 downvs AMNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/57 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 15 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HEROICDust2led 9 · lost 9-13vs G2Cacheled 8 · lost 5-13vs B8Dust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs SpiritDust2led 5 · lost 10-13vs NemigaAncientled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HEROICDust2led 9 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITOverpass17-19vs HAVUOverpass16-14vs LeoAnubis16-14vs AMNuke16-12vs NemesisMirage14-16

fnatic

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i39/100 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 100 maps they won, 39 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs ENCEOverpassfrom 10 downvs MonteOverpassfrom 7 downvs BRUTEAnubisfrom 7 downvs Virtus.proAnubisfrom 7 downvs LavkedMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/68 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 68 maps they lost, 23 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AllianceInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs illwillDust2led 6 · lost 12-16vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs ENCEAncientled 5 · lost 17-19vs MOUZ NXTAnubisled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ENCEOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AllianceInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs AstralisMirage16-12vs K27Dust216-13vs ENCEAncient17-19vs MonteOverpass19-16

BIG vs fnatic FAQ

Who is favored to win BIG vs fnatic?

fnatic are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for BIG vs fnatic?

Bookmakers price BIG at 1.49 and fnatic at 2.47 (implied 62% vs 38%).

When do BIG and fnatic play?

BIG vs fnatic is scheduled for 2026-10-01 12:30 UTC at Stake Ranked Episode 4.

BIG vs fnatic Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER