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Matches / Upcoming / FaZe vs Nemiga

FaZe vs Nemiga: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Ranked Episode 4

FaZe
World #13 · 23-28
VS
2026-10-01 17:30 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · Best of 3 · ★
Nemiga
World #39 · 76-31
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · Best of 3 · ★
31%
Win probability
69%
70%
1.333.06Market · 2 booksBookmakerFAZNEMGGBet1.333.06Sweatbet 1.333.06
30%
The call · high confidence

Nemiga are favoured: our model gives them 69% against FaZe. Bookmakers lean FaZe at 70%. Strength clearly favours Nemiga, record slightly favours Nemiga, form clearly favours Nemiga, firepower clearly favours Nemiga.

Likely mapsNuke · Anubis · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

FaZe · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
frozen1.1279.775.2%51%1.23
Twistzz1.0676.273.4%64%1.18
JBOEN1.2672.472.8%39%1.17
jcobbb0.937071.1%64%1.04
Neityu0.8968.372.2%54%1.01

Nemiga · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
syph01.1378.974.3%55%1.22
KaiR0N-1.0680.572.9%58%1.17
khaN1.2273.873.6%36%1.16
Xant3r0.9971.972.2%59%1.09
robo0.9572.770.8%54%1.08

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

Nemiga69%to win the Bo3 · most likely Nemiga 2-0
If the veto goes
FaZe 31%how the series ends69% Nemiga
6%2-044%
25%2-125%
Map 1NukeFaZe pick
FaZe50%11-7vsNemiga50%23-15
61%Win61%
62%CT54%
47%T48%
56%Pistol53%
74%Conv78%
Map 2AnubisNemiga pick
FaZe12%2-7vsNemiga88%31-11
22%Win74%
30%CT62%
58%T54%
56%Pistol58%
90%Conv81%
Map 3Cachedecider
FaZe50%6-2vsNemiga50%6-2
75%Win75%
61%CT57%
61%T55%
50%Pistol56%
88%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

FaZeNukeNemiga
62%CT side54%
47%T side48%
56%Pistol53%
74%After win78%
6%After loss17%
FaZeAnubisNemiga
30%CT side62%
58%T side54%
56%Pistol58%
90%After win81%
38%After loss14%
FaZeCacheNemiga
61%CT side57%
61%T side55%
50%Pistol56%
88%After win100%
25%After loss0%
Pistol rounds54% · 56% · level, no edge
After a won pistol81% · 81% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol19% · 14% · FaZe fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FaZe vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFAZNEM
InfernoFAZ ban0%0-6100%2-0
MirageNEM ban59%13-967%24-12
NukeFAZ pick61%11-761%23-15
AnubisNEM pick22%2-774%31-11
AncientFAZ ban44%11-1460%33-22
Dust2NEM ban55%12-1057%26-20
Cachedecider75%6-275%6-2
Each team's usual first ban: FaZe Inferno · Nemiga Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

FaZe

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/58 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 58 maps they won, 19 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs The MongolZNukefrom 9 downvs paiNDust2from 6 downvs aimclubOverpassfrom 6 downvs DramaNukefrom 6 downvs FalconsDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/60 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 20 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PARIVISIONAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs Inner CircleMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs Passion UADust2led 5 · lost 14-16vs Natus VincereAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs 9zOverpassled 5 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The MongolZNukefrom 9 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PARIVISIONAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs paiNNuke13-16vs paiNDust216-13vs AstralisInferno14-16vs Passion UANuke16-12vs Passion UADust214-16

Nemiga

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i50/166 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 166 maps they won, 50 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs OramondOverpassfrom 10 downvs HOTUCachefrom 9 downvs MetizportMiragefrom 8 downvs BET-MAnubisfrom 7 downvs ex-RUBYAncientfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/88 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 88 maps they lost, 24 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HOTUCacheled 8 · lost 9-13vs 1winMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs HOTUAncientled 6 · lost 14-16vs ARCREDAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs WWDust2led 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OramondOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HOTUCacheled 8 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 32Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 32 went to overtime.vs KOLESIEDust216-14vs ARCREDAncient12-16vs K27Anubis12-16vs mix52Nuke20-22vs GoodGame ClubOverpass16-14

FaZe vs Nemiga FAQ

Who is favored to win FaZe vs Nemiga?

Nemiga are favored with a 69% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for FaZe vs Nemiga?

Bookmakers price FaZe at 1.33 and Nemiga at 3.06 (implied 70% vs 30%).

When do FaZe and Nemiga play?

FaZe vs Nemiga is scheduled for 2026-10-01 17:30 UTC at Stake Ranked Episode 4.