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Matches / Upcoming / HEROIC vs Johnny Speeds

HEROIC vs Johnny Speeds: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Pulse Beat II

HEROIC
World #32 · 40-31
VS
2026-09-22 10:00 UTC
Stake Pulse Beat II · Best of 3
Johnny Speeds
World #60 · 47-42
Stake Pulse Beat II · Best of 3
72%
Win probability
28%
77%
1.213.96Market · 2 booksBookmakerHERJOHGGBet1.213.96Sweatbet 1.213.96
23%
The call · high confidence

HEROIC are favoured: our model gives them 72% against Johnny Speeds. Bookmakers lean HEROIC at 77%. Strength clearly favours HEROIC, firepower clearly favours HEROIC.

Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

HEROIC · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
nilo1.1977.975%58%1.21
MartinezSa1.297075.6%39%1.2
Brollan1.0875.574.6%59%1.18
susp0.9370.173.7%56%1.07
Chr1zN0.9271.271.4%56%1.06

Johnny Speeds · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
hampus1.0884.771.7%44%1.23
draken1.2577.574.8%35%1.15
Svedjehed0.9364.472.6%56%1.05
bsover0.9768.273.8%54%1.03
Rack0.9169.769.4%58%0.94

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

HEROIC60%to win the Bo3 · most likely HEROIC 2-0
If the veto goes
HEROIC 60%how the series ends40% Johnny Speeds
35%2-014%
25%2-125%
Map 1Dust2HEROIC pick
HEROIC72%22-14vsJohnny Speeds28%14-24
61%Win37%
60%CT49%
49%T45%
46%Pistol49%
85%Conv81%
Map 2InfernoJohnny Speeds pick
HEROIC49%15-13vsJohnny Speeds51%17-14
54%Win55%
53%CT52%
55%T54%
55%Pistol48%
94%Conv90%
Map 3Cachedecider
HEROIC50%4-4thinJohnny Speeds50%0-0
50%Win
40%CT
59%T
50%Pistol
75%Conv

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

HEROICDust2Johnny Speeds
60%CT side49%
49%T side45%
46%Pistol49%
85%After win81%
15%After loss21%
HEROICInfernoJohnny Speeds
53%CT side52%
55%T side54%
55%Pistol48%
94%After win90%
36%After loss31%
HEROICCacheJohnny Speeds
40%CT side
59%T side
50%Pistol
75%After win
0%After loss
Pistol rounds50% · 49% · level, no edge
After a won pistol88% · 85% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol21% · 25% · Johnny Speeds fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, HEROIC vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapHERJOH
AnubisHER bann/a0g33%4-8
NukeJOH ban59%19-1350%6-6
Dust2HER pick61%22-1437%14-24
InfernoJOH pick54%15-1355%17-14
AncientHER ban57%13-1067%10-5
MirageJOH ban58%15-1148%16-17
Cachedecider50%4-4n/a0g
Each team's usual first ban: HEROIC Anubis · Johnny Speeds Ancient.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

HEROIC

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/92 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 92 maps they won, 32 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs BIGDust2from 9 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasMiragefrom 8 downvs Nuclear TigeRESDust2from 6 downvs 1winAncientfrom 6 downvs ASTRALCachefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/70 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 70 maps they lost, 20 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PhantomNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs AcendInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs MonteDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs Lynn VisionDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs Virtus.proMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BIGDust2from 9 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PhantomNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs paiNMirage16-14vs CYBERSHOKEDust216-13vs AstralisDust213-16vs MonteDust213-16vs MonteNuke20-22

Johnny Speeds

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/101 (21%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 101 maps they won, 21 (21%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 21% of their wins were comebacks, not 21% of all games.vs PrestigeMiragefrom 6 downvs MTXDust2from 6 downvs K27Dust2from 5 downvs The Last ResortOverpassfrom 5 downvs LilmixAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/87 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 87 maps they lost, 18 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ReThinkOverpassled 9 · lost 11-13vs STATETrainled 7 · lost 14-16vs illwillDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs MOUZ NXTAnubisled 6 · lost 12-16vs MetizportNukeled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PrestigeMiragefrom 6 down · won 22-19
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ReThinkOverpassled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs PrestigeMirage22-19vs STATETrain14-16vs TrickedTrain14-16vs ex-RUBYOverpass17-19vs UrsaDust214-16

HEROIC vs Johnny Speeds FAQ

Who is favored to win HEROIC vs Johnny Speeds?

HEROIC are favored with a 72% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for HEROIC vs Johnny Speeds?

Bookmakers price HEROIC at 1.21 and Johnny Speeds at 3.96 (implied 77% vs 23%).

When do HEROIC and Johnny Speeds play?

HEROIC vs Johnny Speeds is scheduled for 2026-09-22 10:00 UTC at Stake Pulse Beat II.