Matches / Upcoming / Drama vs mellren
Drama vs mellren: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · European Pro League Series 9
Drama
World #127 · 7-11
VS
2026-09-16 10:30 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
mellren
World #130 · 12-7
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
46%54%
43%
2.141.61Market · 2 books
57%The call
mellren are favoured: our model gives them 54% against Drama. Bookmakers lean mellren at 57%. Strength slightly favours mellren, record slightly favours mellren, firepower slightly favours mellren.
Likely mapsMirage · Inferno · Ancient
Firepower
roster ratingsDrama · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.2iStar gap: the best player rates 0.2 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
mellren · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lollipop21k★ | 1.17 | 94.9 | 77.5% | 56% | 1.28 |
| shootic | 1.06 | 78.7 | 73.9% | 61% | 1.2 |
| menddel | 1.06 | 70.1 | 70.2% | 50% | 1.09 |
| mdl | 0.99 | 68.6 | 72.1% | 48% | 1.07 |
| Maksilvl | 0.93 | 68.2 | 74% | 56% | 1.03 |
Recent form
Drama
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Map lab
mellren66%to win the Bo3 · most likely mellren 2-0
If the veto goes
Drama 34%how the series ends66% mellren
12%2-036%
22%2-130%
Drama54%6-2vsmellren46%9-4
75%Win69%
62%CT52%
53%T51%
75%Pistol50%
92%Conv69%
Drama22%2-5vsmellren78%6-3
29%Win67%
50%CT50%
56%T56%
50%Pistol44%
100%Conv88%
Drama43%5-7vsmellren57%4-4
42%Win50%
45%CT46%
47%T55%
29%Pistol31%
86%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
DramaMiragemellren
62%CT side52%
53%T side51%
75%Pistol50%
92%After win69%
0%After loss15%
DramaInfernomellren
50%CT side50%
56%T side56%
50%Pistol44%
100%After win88%
29%After loss10%
DramaAncientmellren
45%CT side46%
47%T side55%
29%Pistol31%
86%After win100%
6%After loss0%
Pistol rounds48% · 43% · Drama win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol92% · 81% · Drama keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol11% · 9% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Drama vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
mellren habitually bans Nuke, Drama's strongest maps (Mirage, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 14/19), not an opponent read, so expect Drama to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapDRAMEL
AnubisDRA ban0%0-1100%3-0
Drama on Anubis
L
Fire Flux7–137d agoCacheMEL ban100%1-0n/a0g
Drama on Cache
W
SINQU13–106d agomellren on Cache
no recent maps
MirageDRA pick75%6-269%9-4
InfernoMEL pick29%2-567%6-3
Dust2DRA ban17%1-550%4-4
NukeMEL ban75%3-10%0-3
Ancientdecider42%5-750%4-4
Each team's usual first ban: Drama Anubis · mellren Cache.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Drama
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/18 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 18 maps they won, 4 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs ENCEMiragefrom 6 downvs ZOTIXNukefrom 5 downvs HYPERSPIRITMiragefrom 3 downvs fnaticAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/23 (43%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 23 maps they lost, 10 (43%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs yngodsAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs Eternal FireInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs FaZeNukeled 6 · lost 9-13vs INOX DivisionAncientled 5 · lost 8-13vs HYPERSPIRITAncientled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ENCEMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs yngodsAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs ZOTIXDust213-16vs fnaticAncient16-14vs SINQUInferno16-19vs INOX DivisionInferno12-16
mellren
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/26 (46%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 26 maps they won, 12 (46%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 46% of their wins were comebacks, not 46% of all games.vs BASEMENT BOYSDust2from 10 downvs TrickstersMiragefrom 6 downvs Bushido WildcatsDust2from 6 downvs BERGMiragefrom 5 downvs LPHInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/18 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 18 maps they lost, 5 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AMAncientled 4 · lost 7-13vs PUREAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs EnjoyAncientled 4 · lost 11-13vs HAVUNukeled 3 · lost 9-13vs Falcons ForceInfernoled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BASEMENT BOYSDust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AMAncientled 4 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini4.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs AMDust214-16vs TrickstersMirage19-16vs TrickstersAncient16-14vs Bushido WildcatsMirage16-12vs BERGMirage16-14
Drama vs mellren FAQ
Who is favored to win Drama vs mellren?
mellren are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Drama vs mellren?
Bookmakers price Drama at 2.14 and mellren at 1.61 (implied 43% vs 57%).
When do Drama and mellren play?
Drama vs mellren is scheduled for 2026-09-16 10:30 UTC at European Pro League Series 9.