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Matches / Upcoming / ex-RUSTEC vs NAVI Junior

ex-RUSTEC vs NAVI Junior: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · European Pro League Series 9

ex-RUSTEC
World #67 · 28-17
VS
2026-09-18 10:30 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
NAVI Junior
World #114 · 14-15
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
70%
Win probability
30%
74%
1.253.49Market · 3 booksBookmakerEX-NAVGGBet1.253.49Sweatbet 1.253.49Thunderpick Row1.253.49
26%
The call

ex-RUSTEC are favoured: our model gives them 70% against NAVI Junior. Bookmakers lean ex-RUSTEC at 74%. Strength slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, record slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, firepower clearly favours ex-RUSTEC.

Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

ex-RUSTEC · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
yiksrezo1.2182.774.6%68%1.24
youka1.2773.872.8%36%1.21
KIRO1.0776.679%60%1.18
jakekeS0.9369.973%56%1.03
Brilliance0.8570.269.5%56%0.99

NAVI Junior · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
MahaR1.1480.872.1%61%1.25
FAZERY1.0778.172.7%61%1.19
yoki1.0570.370.9%37%1.04
skizzyee0.8271.470%68%1.02
kodak0.865.169.9%55%0.97

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

ex-RUSTEC56%to win the Bo3 · most likely ex-RUSTEC 2-1
If the veto goes
ex-RUSTEC 56%how the series ends44% NAVI Junior
24%2-019%
32%2-126%
Map 1Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
ex-RUSTEC72%18-12vsNAVI Junior28%3-6
60%Win33%
55%CT55%
51%T45%
48%Pistol39%
76%Conv71%
Map 2MirageNAVI Junior pick
ex-RUSTEC33%7-4vsNAVI Junior67%12-3
64%Win80%
57%CT66%
50%T50%
41%Pistol60%
78%Conv89%
Map 3Nukedecider
ex-RUSTEC56%9-11vsNAVI Junior44%3-5
45%Win38%
53%CT42%
44%T46%
50%Pistol44%
85%Conv57%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

ex-RUSTECDust2NAVI Junior
55%CT side55%
51%T side45%
48%Pistol39%
76%After win71%
19%After loss36%
ex-RUSTECMirageNAVI Junior
57%CT side66%
50%T side50%
41%Pistol60%
78%After win89%
31%After loss33%
ex-RUSTECNukeNAVI Junior
53%CT side42%
44%T side46%
50%Pistol44%
85%After win57%
5%After loss0%
Pistol rounds48% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol79% · 78% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol17% · 25% · NAVI Junior fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ex-RUSTEC vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapEX-NAV
AncientEX- bann/a0g30%3-7
CacheNAV ban45%5-60%0-2
Dust2EX- pick60%18-1233%3-6
MirageNAV pick64%7-480%12-3
InfernoEX- ban42%5-729%2-5
AnubisNAV ban67%14-744%4-5
Nukedecider45%9-1138%3-5
Each team's usual first ban: ex-RUSTEC Ancient · NAVI Junior Cache.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

ex-RUSTEC

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/58 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 58 maps they won, 16 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs FortressNukefrom 8 downvs ex-MANANukefrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersAnubisfrom 5 downvs EntropyDust2from 5 downvs WalczakiCachefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/47 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 47 maps they lost, 14 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Noir VerseCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs MisaInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FortressNukefrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs ButterflyNuke16-14vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16

NAVI Junior

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i11/27 (41%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 27 maps they won, 11 (41%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 41% of their wins were comebacks, not 41% of all games.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 downvs LPHInfernofrom 5 downvs GamersLabNukefrom 5 downvs Falcons ForceNukefrom 5 downvs PrestigeMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/35 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 35 maps they lost, 7 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 6 · lost 19-22vs JamAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs JamNukeled 4 · lost 14-16vs UNiTYAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs GamersLabDust2led 3 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 6 · lost 19-22
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs ASTRALNuke15-19vs GamersLabDust212-16vs GamersLabMirage16-12vs eSubaInferno14-16vs JamNuke14-16

ex-RUSTEC vs NAVI Junior FAQ

Who is favored to win ex-RUSTEC vs NAVI Junior?

ex-RUSTEC are favored with a 70% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for ex-RUSTEC vs NAVI Junior?

Bookmakers price ex-RUSTEC at 1.25 and NAVI Junior at 3.49 (implied 74% vs 26%).

When do ex-RUSTEC and NAVI Junior play?

ex-RUSTEC vs NAVI Junior is scheduled for 2026-09-18 10:30 UTC at European Pro League Series 9.