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Matches / Upcoming / Nexus vs Entropy

Nexus vs Entropy: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · European Pro League Series 9

Nexus
World #142 · 15-19
VS
2026-09-19 10:30 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
Entropy
World #158 · 32-31
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
55%
Win probability
45%
The call

Nexus are favoured: our model gives them 55% against Entropy. No odds yet. Form slightly favours Entropy, firepower clearly favours Nexus.

Likely mapsAnubis · Mirage · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

Nexus · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
shield1.3470.675.5%37%1.21
XELLOW1.1274.271%43%1.13
s0und1.0375.369.4%66%1.13
Nexius0.9474.869.6%59%1.09
Blytz0.9368.172%53%1.06
fnl0.9667.471.6%56%1.04

Entropy · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
dottie1.0585.270%65%1.21
flaw0.8971.268%54%1.01
Sapec0.9373.169.8%60%1
Toshas0.963.470.5%56%1
tevsii0.9266.768.4%47%0.98

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Bushido Wildcats#763-51-2
UNiTY#921-22-0
BASEMENT BOYS#930-11-2
Nexus vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 29LAnubis8-13
Omega#992-02-1
G2 Ares#1030-20-2
MOUZ NXT#1360-12-1
Nexus vs MOUZ NXT
Mar 24LDust28-13
Noir Verse#1462-01-2

Map lab

Entropy53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Entropy 2-0
If the veto goes
Nexus 47%how the series ends53% Entropy
23%2-027%
24%2-126%
Map 1AnubisNexus pick
Nexus50%6-8vsEntropy50%9-12
43%Win43%
49%CT55%
55%T43%
46%Pistol40%
100%Conv82%
Map 2MirageEntropy pick
Nexus47%4-4vsEntropy53%22-19
50%Win54%
71%CT58%
41%T43%
69%Pistol50%
73%Conv88%
Map 3Cachedecider
Nexus47%1-1vsEntropy53%10-7
50%Win59%
54%CT54%
60%T50%
100%Pistol32%
75%Conv91%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

NexusAnubisEntropy
49%CT side55%
55%T side43%
46%Pistol40%
100%After win82%
27%After loss28%
NexusMirageEntropy
71%CT side58%
41%T side43%
69%Pistol50%
73%After win88%
20%After loss17%
NexusCacheEntropy
54%CT side54%
60%T side50%
100%Pistol32%
75%After win91%
After loss13%
Pistol rounds58% · 44% · Nexus win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol86% · 87% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol25% · 19% · Nexus fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nexus vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNEXENT
NukeNEX ban0%0-160%3-2
Dust2ENT ban33%4-829%5-12
AnubisNEX pick43%6-843%9-12
MirageENT pick50%4-454%22-19
AncientNEX ban38%5-858%14-10
InfernoENT ban62%8-546%6-7
Cachedecider50%1-159%10-7
Each team's usual first ban: Nexus Nuke · Entropy Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Nexus

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/32 (19%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 32 maps they won, 6 (19%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 19% of their wins were comebacks, not 19% of all games.vs PUREInfernofrom 5 downvs AllianceAnubisfrom 5 downvs PUREAnubisfrom 4 downvs GamersLabDust2from 4 downvs AllianceInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/39 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 39 maps they lost, 13 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PUREMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs kONODust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs Inner CircleAncientled 5 · lost 14-16vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs kONOOverpassled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PUREInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PUREMirageled 7 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAncient15-19vs AllianceInferno16-14vs aimclubInferno16-14vs Inner CircleAncient14-16vs PUREMirage12-16

Entropy

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/71 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 71 maps they won, 22 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs HonvédMiragefrom 10 downvs MisaCachefrom 9 downvs MisaCachefrom 8 downvs WAZABIAncientfrom 6 downvs Endless JourneyInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/73 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 73 maps they lost, 22 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ENCEAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs HOTUDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs Sashi AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 8-13vs OramondMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs Project 91Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HonvédMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ENCEAncientled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs Sashi AcademyInferno16-14vs WAZABIAncient16-14vs ENCEInferno13-16vs ENCEMirage16-12vs ENCEAncient14-16

Nexus vs Entropy FAQ

Who is favored to win Nexus vs Entropy?

Nexus are favored with a 55% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Nexus vs Entropy?

Match odds for Nexus vs Entropy aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Nexus and Entropy play?

Nexus vs Entropy is scheduled for 2026-09-19 10:30 UTC at European Pro League Series 9.