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Matches / Upcoming / Alliance vs SINNERS

Alliance vs SINNERS: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · 1win Private Club Season 1

Alliance
World #21 · 56-25
VS
2026-09-25 09:00 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 · Best of 3 · ★
SINNERS
World #45 · 45-35
1win Private Club Season 1 · Best of 3 · ★
56%
Win probability
44%
56%
1.652.1Market · 1 booksBookmakerALLSIN1red1.652.1
44%
The call

Alliance are favoured: our model gives them 56% against SINNERS. Bookmakers lean Alliance at 56%. Strength slightly favours Alliance, record slightly favours Alliance, form slightly favours Alliance, firepower clearly favours SINNERS.

Likely mapsInferno · Dust2 · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

Alliance · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
eraa★1.3279.474.9%33%1.2
bobeksde1.0682.272.1%61%1.18
avid1.0576.974.8%54%1.15
twist0.9571.673.7%52%1.07
upE0.9265.872.3%62%1.02

SINNERS · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
MoDo★1.2771.174.7%33%1.15
stressarN1.1477.574.6%53%1.15
kisserek1.0278.172.8%56%1.12
SHOCK1.0168.973.6%57%1.08
beastik0.917271.9%56%1.03

Recent form

Alliance

MIBR5d ago0-2magicUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/46d ago2-0TYLOOPistolsPist0/4ComebackCB86d ago2-0Legacy7d ago0-2FaZeUpsetUpsetPistolsPist4/48d ago2-0Wildcard2mo ago0-29zOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2Nemesis2mo ago2-19zUpsetUpsetComebackCB62mo ago2-0B8UpsetUpsetPistolsPist2/23mo ago13-6Ninjas in PyjamasPistolsPist2/23mo ago13-3PARIVISION3mo ago4-13MetizportOvertimeOT3mo ago2-1fnaticOvertimeOT3mo ago2-1NexusStompStomp13-13mo ago2-1

SINNERS

NemigaPistolsPist3/43d ago0-2Nuclear TigeRES5d ago0-2The Last ResortPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-25d ago2-0NemigaStompStomp2-13OvertimeOT6d ago1-2Nuclear TigeRESOvertimeOT6d ago2-1Ninjas in PyjamasPistolsPist5/6Blew leadBL67d ago2-1NemesisPistolsPist5/67d ago2-1PhantomPistolsPist3/49d ago2-0K27UpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/410d ago2-0BBLPistolsPist4/410d ago2-0CYBERSHOKEOvertimeOT10d ago19-16QUAZARUpsetUpset12d ago1-2FOKUSBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT13d ago0-2EAC14d ago2-1ex-Zero Tenacity18d ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
7mo ago Alliance2 : 0 SINNERS!
⚠ Different lineup
Alliance
outMaiL09
inbobeksde
7mo ago Alliance0 : 2 SINNERS!
⚠ Different lineup
Alliance
outMaiL09
inbobeksde
FaZe#132-20-2
Alliance vs FaZe
Sep 8WAncient13-9Nuke13-11May 27LAnubis8-13Nuke6-13
SINNERS vs FaZe
Jul 3LMirage7-13Ancient2-13
9z#143-20-1
Alliance vs 9z
Jul 11LNuke10-13Inferno19-17Ancient7-13Jul 4WDust216-14Inferno13-7
SINNERS vs 9z
Jul 2LDust25-13
magic#172-01-2
Alliance vs magic
Sep 10WAncient16-13Inferno13-7
SINNERS vs magic
Feb 3LAncient10-13Mirage13-7Dust28-13
GamerLegion#202-02-4
Alliance vs GamerLegion
Mar 27WAnubis16-14Inferno13-7
SINNERS vs GamerLegion
May 12LMirage13-10Inferno9-13Nuke8-13Feb 24LNuke7-13Inferno14-16Feb 22WMirage19-16
BIG#250-22-2
Alliance vs BIG
Jan 24LDust26-13Ancient11-13
SINNERS vs BIG
Mar 29LOverpass12-16Mar 26WNuke11-13Ancient13-2Overpass13-11
Ninjas in Pyjamas#291-22-1
Alliance vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 2WAncient13-3Mar 15LOverpass6-13Nuke4-13
SINNERS vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Sep 9WDust213-3Nuke11-13Ancient13-7
TYLOO#312-00-2
Alliance vs TYLOO
Sep 10WInferno13-11Ancient13-11
SINNERS vs TYLOO
Jun 3LAncient14-16Inferno10-13
fnatic#424-12-0
Alliance vs fnatic
Jun 14WAnubis13-4Dust217-19Ancient13-6Mar 31WAnubis13-9Inferno16-13
SINNERS vs fnatic
Feb 12WDust213-10Overpass13-3

Map lab

Alliance68%to win the Bo3 · most likely Alliance 2-0
If the veto goes
Alliance 68%how the series ends32% SINNERS
42%2-011%
26%2-121%
Map 1InfernoAlliance pick
Alliance76%30-12vsSINNERS24%9-12
71%Win43%
55%CT54%
56%T45%
54%Pistol50%
78%Conv70%
Map 2Dust2SINNERS pick
Alliance56%13-7vsSINNERS44%21-15
65%Win58%
53%CT51%
53%T54%
65%Pistol50%
88%Conv78%
Map 3Ancientdecider
Alliance55%15-10vsSINNERS45%17-14
60%Win55%
57%CT50%
47%T52%
48%Pistol56%
88%Conv69%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

AllianceInfernoSINNERS
55%CT side54%
56%T side45%
54%Pistol50%
78%After win70%
23%After loss14%
AllianceDust2SINNERS
53%CT side51%
53%T side54%
65%Pistol50%
88%After win78%
14%After loss20%
AllianceAncientSINNERS
57%CT side50%
47%T side52%
48%Pistol56%
88%After win69%
31%After loss15%
Pistol rounds55% · 52% · Alliance win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 73% · Alliance keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol24% · 17% · Alliance fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Alliance vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

SINNERS habitually bans Anubis, Alliance's strongest maps (Ancient, Dust2, Inferno, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 78/80), not an opponent read, so expect Alliance to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapALLSIN
MirageALL ban0%0-260%21-14
Alliance on Mirage
LENCE5–137mo agoLSINNERS10–137mo ago
SINNERS on Mirage
LNemiga10–133d agoWNemesis13–87d agoWPhantom13–79d agoLQUAZAR5–1312d agoLex-Zero Tenacity7–1318d agoWBushido Wildcats13–319d agoWEYEBALLERS19–171mo agoWSPARTA13–82mo ago
AnubisSIN ban66%19-10n/a0g
Alliance on Anubis
LMetizport5–133mo agoWfnatic13–43mo agoLNexus9–133mo agoLSharks13–164mo agoW3DMAX13–84mo agoLFaZe8–134mo agoLNuclear TigeRES7–134mo agoWOxuji13–75mo ago
SINNERS on Anubis
no recent maps
InfernoALL pick71%30-1243%9-12
Alliance on Inferno
LMIBR4–135d agoWmagic13–76d agoWTYLOO13–116d agoLLegacy4–137d agoLWildcard3–132mo agoW9z19–172mo agoWNemesis13–72mo agoW9z13–72mo ago
SINNERS on Inferno
LNuclear TigeRES10–135d agoWThe Last Resort13–65d agoLNuclear TigeRES6–136d agoLEAC3–1314d agoWBushido Wildcats13–919d agoLEYEBALLERS6–131mo agoWMANGANESE13–01mo agoLSashi11–132mo ago
Dust2SIN pick65%13-758%21-15
Alliance on Dust2
LLegacy6–137d agoLWildcard7–132mo agoW9z16–142mo agoLfnatic17–193mo agoWNexus13–33mo agoL3DMAX9–134mo agoLEYEBALLERS5–134mo agoWWalczaki13–104mo ago
SINNERS on Dust2
LNuclear TigeRES7–135d agoWThe Last Resort13–25d agoWNemiga13–116d agoWNuclear TigeRES13–86d agoWNinjas in Pyjamas13–37d agoWCYBERSHOKE19–1610d agoWQUAZAR13–512d agoLBushido Wildcats10–1319d ago
CacheALL ban0%0-142%5-7
Alliance on Cache
LMIBR9–135d ago
SINNERS on Cache
LNemiga10–133d agoWNuclear TigeRES16–136d agoLNemesis10–137d agoWK2713–1110d agoLQUAZAR3–1312d agoWEAC13–1014d agoLex-Zero Tenacity9–1318d agoWDark Tigre13–21mo ago
NukeSIN ban53%16-1439%9-14
Alliance on Nuke
WFaZe13–118d agoL9z10–132mo agoLNemesis8–132mo agoWMetizport19–153mo agoWBASEMENT BOYS13–43mo agoWEAC13–53mo agoWSAAB13–13mo agoLSharks11–134mo ago
SINNERS on Nuke
LNemiga17–196d agoLNinjas in Pyjamas11–137d agoWBBL13–310d agoLFOKUS6–1313d agoLNRG6–134mo agoLGamerLegion8–134mo agoWGentle Mates13–105mo agoWInner Circle Academy13–55mo ago
Ancientdecider60%15-1055%17-14
Alliance on Ancient
Wmagic16–136d agoWTYLOO13–116d agoWFaZe13–98d agoL9z7–132mo agoWNemesis13–72mo agoWB813–63mo agoWNinjas in Pyjamas13–33mo agoLPARIVISION4–133mo ago
SINNERS on Ancient
LNemiga2–136d agoWNinjas in Pyjamas13–77d agoWNemesis13–97d agoWPhantom13–49d agoWK2713–910d agoLFOKUS13–1613d agoWEAC13–1114d agoLEYEBALLERS7–131mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Alliance Mirage · SINNERS Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Alliance

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/106 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 106 maps they won, 28 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs TYLOOAncientfrom 8 downvs UNiTYOverpassfrom 6 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 6 downvs 3DMAXInfernofrom 6 downvs 9zDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/66 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 66 maps they lost, 21 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 9INEAnubisled 8 · lost 15-19vs UNiTYAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs VP.ProdigyAnubisled 5 · lost 14-16vs EYEBALLERSInfernoled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs TYLOOAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 9INEAnubisled 8 · lost 15-19
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs MetizportNuke19-17vs PhantomOverpass19-17vs WHITEBIRDInferno13-16vs VP.ProdigyAnubis14-16vs kONOAnubis16-13

SINNERS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/93 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 93 maps they won, 29 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs The Last ResortDust2from 11 downvs 1winDust2from 6 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersDust2from 6 downvs Johnny SpeedsMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/79 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 79 maps they lost, 23 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19vs TrickedMirageled 6 · lost 13-16vs FOKUSAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs SpiritMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The Last ResortDust2from 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs GenOneNuke14-16vs AcendAncient16-14vs GamerLegionMirage19-16vs GamerLegionInferno14-16vs ECSTATICAncient22-20

Alliance vs SINNERS FAQ

Who is favored to win Alliance vs SINNERS?

Alliance are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Alliance vs SINNERS?

Bookmakers price Alliance at 1.65 and SINNERS at 2.1 (implied 56% vs 44%).

When do Alliance and SINNERS play?

Alliance vs SINNERS is scheduled for 2026-09-25 09:00 UTC at 1win Private Club Season 1.