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Matches / Upcoming / BERG vs Famalicão

BERG vs Famalicão: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · HyperX Retake Season 12

BERG
World #216 · 8-14
VS
2026-09-18 14:00 UTC
HyperX Retake Season 12 · Best of 3
Famalicão
World #– · 8-26
HyperX Retake Season 12 · Best of 3
74%
Win probability
26%
The call · high confidence

BERG are favoured: our model gives them 74% against Famalicão. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours BERG, record slightly favours BERG, form slightly favours BERG, firepower clearly favours BERG.

Likely mapsAncient · Anubis · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

BERG · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
KiMaRR★1.018272.7%56%1.09
Rezst0.9773.369.8%53%1.08
nopzy0.9373.567.5%65%1.07
Askan0.9871.668.7%42%1.06
kdaN0.8465.567.6%53%0.94

Famalicão · avg 0.92 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
seabraez★0.7868.966.1%61%0.96
h0t0.9769.566.5%35%0.95
P3R3IIRA0.8272.668.8%51%0.94
M1KA0.776067.3%61%0.88
Sprayy0.8160.966.8%60%0.88

Recent form

BERG

NEXORA2d ago2-0Falcons Force7d ago0-2mellrenPistolsPist4/49d ago0-2PrivateerOvertimeOT10d ago2-0mellrenOvertimeOT10d ago0-2XIPistolsPist5/6Blew leadBL711d ago2-1AzuolasPistolsPist6/617d ago1-2WBT17d ago1-2ENCE1mo ago0-2Mai TaiStompStomp1-131mo ago0-2HAVU1mo ago0-2los kogutosStompStomp2-13OvertimeOT1mo ago1-2SINQU REHTIPistolsPist3/43mo ago2-0Leo3mo ago0-2AimhausPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-23mo ago2-0

Famalicão

Falcons ForceStompStomp1-134mo ago0-2BRUTE4mo ago0-2Falcons ForceOvertimeOT4mo ago2-0HAVU4mo ago0-2TDKStompStomp1-134mo ago0-2WalczakiStompStomp2-135mo ago0-2LilmixPistolsPist0/45mo ago2-1Dripmen5mo ago2-1PsychoFace5mo ago0-2EC BANGAPistolsPist5/65mo ago2-1Eternal Fire5mo ago0-2The Last ResortOvertimeOT5mo ago0-2Atreides5mo ago0-2bankaPEPSI5mo ago0-2UNiTY5mo ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
HAVU#1250-20-2
BERG vs HAVU
Aug 16LMirage6-13Ancient11-13
Famalicão vs HAVU
May 7LDust25-13Mirage8-13
Falcons Force#1310-22-2
BERG vs Falcons Force
Sep 9LInferno9-13Nuke11-13
Famalicão vs Falcons Force
May 16LDust23-13Mirage1-13May 14WDust216-12Ancient13-10

Map lab

BERG61%to win the Bo3 · most likely BERG 2-0
If the veto goes
BERG 61%how the series ends39% Famalicão
36%2-015%
25%2-125%
Map 1AncientBERG pick
BERG69%5-5vsFamalicão31%3-8
50%Win27%
54%CT34%
47%T40%
65%Pistol45%
77%Conv80%
Map 2AnubisFamalicão pick
BERG53%1-3vsFamalicão47%2-6
25%Win25%
46%CT34%
28%T48%
13%Pistol31%
100%Conv40%
Map 3Cachedecider
BERG50%1-0thinFamalicão50%0-0
100%Win–
92%CT–
25%T–
50%Pistol–
100%Conv–

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

BERGAncientFamalicão
54%CT side34%
47%T side40%
65%Pistol45%
77%After win80%
0%After loss0%
BERGAnubisFamalicão
46%CT side34%
28%T side48%
13%Pistol31%
100%After win40%
14%After loss27%
BERGCacheFamalicão
92%CT side–
25%T side–
50%Pistol–
100%After win–
0%After loss–
Pistol rounds50% · 39% · BERG win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol80% · 67% · BERG keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol7% · 13% · Famalicão fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BERG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBERFAM
Dust2BER bann/a0g25%5-15
BERG on Dust2
no recent maps
Famalicão on Dust2
LFalcons Force3–134mo agoWFalcons Force16–124mo agoLHAVU5–134mo agoLTDK1–134mo agoLWalczaki2–135mo agoWLilmix13–75mo agoWDripmen13–105mo agoLEternal Fire7–135mo ago
MirageFAM ban38%3-514%1-6
BERG on Mirage
Lmellren8–139d agoLmellren14–1610d agoWAzuolas13–617d agoLMai Tai9–131mo agoLHAVU6–131mo agoLlos kogutos7–131mo agoWSINQU REHTI13–73mo agoWAimhaus13–53mo ago
Famalicão on Mirage
LFalcons Force1–134mo agoLHAVU8–134mo agoLTDK4–134mo agoWEC BANGA13–95mo agoLAtreides3–135mo agoLCSDIILIT8–137mo agoLMOUZ NXT10–138mo ago
AncientBER pick50%5-527%3-8
BERG on Ancient
WNEXORA13–82d agoWPrivateer13–410d agoLmellren7–1310d agoWXI13–311d agoLAzuolas10–1317d agoWWBT13–1117d agoLMai Tai1–131mo agoLHAVU11–131mo ago
Famalicão on Ancient
WFalcons Force13–104mo agoLWalczaki3–135mo agoLPsychoFace4–135mo agoLThe Last Resort4–135mo agoLBESTIA4–136mo agoLHEROIC Academy9–137mo agoLFuzos7–137mo agoLALLINNERS4–137mo ago
AnubisFAM pick25%1-325%2-6
BERG on Anubis
LWBT6–1317d agoWSINQU REHTI13–53mo agoLASTRAL5–133mo agoLBIG Academy5–133mo ago
Famalicão on Anubis
LPsychoFace4–135mo agoLEternal Fire3–135mo agoLThe Last Resort12–165mo agoLbankaPEPSI11–135mo agoWMANA16–135mo agoLBetclic5–137mo agoLGenOne9–137mo agoWALLINNERS13–97mo ago
NukeBER ban27%3-8n/a0g
BERG on Nuke
LFalcons Force11–137d agoWPrivateer16–1210d agoLXI9–1311d agoLAzuolas9–1317d agoLWBT4–1317d agoLENCE5–131mo agoLlos kogutos2–131mo agoLLeo5–133mo ago
Famalicão on Nuke
no recent maps
InfernoFAM ban50%3-39%1-10
BERG on Inferno
LFalcons Force9–137d agoLmellren9–139d agoWXI13–411d agoW666613–113mo agoWExilium13–26mo agoLAaB13–166mo ago
Famalicão on Inferno
LBRUTE7–134mo agoLDripmen10–135mo agoLEC BANGA10–135mo agoLUNiTY8–135mo agoLMANA7–135mo agoLJohnny Speeds10–136mo agoWLiquid16–136mo agoLCSDIILIT10–137mo ago
Cachedecider100%1-0n/a0g
BERG on Cache
WNEXORA13–72d ago
Famalicão on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: BERG Dust2 · Famalicão Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

BERG

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/16 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 16 maps they won, 4 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs PrivateerNukefrom 5 downvs WBTAncientfrom 4 downvs SINQU REHTIAnubisfrom 3 downvs PrivateerAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/25 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 25 maps they lost, 9 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs XINukeled 7 · lost 9-13vs Mai TaiMirageled 5 · lost 9-13vs mellrenMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs Falcons ForceInfernoled 4 · lost 9-13vs mellrenMirageled 4 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PrivateerNukefrom 5 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs XINukeled 7 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi22% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT22% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs AaBInferno13-16vs los kogutosAncient16-13vs mellrenMirage14-16vs PrivateerNuke16-12

Famalicão

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/16 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 16 maps they won, 6 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs MANAAnubisfrom 7 downvs Falcons ForceDust2from 5 downvs EXSADAncientfrom 4 downvs HYPERSPIRITTrainfrom 3 downvs ALLINNERSAnubisfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/51 (18%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 51 maps they lost, 9 (18%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EC BANGAInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13vs The Last ResortAnubisled 4 · lost 12-16vs HAVUMirageled 4 · lost 8-13vs MOUZ NXTMirageled 3 · lost 10-13vs MANAInfernoled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MANAAnubisfrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EC BANGAInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini6.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi22% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT22% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs LiquidInferno16-13vs MANAAnubis16-13vs The Last ResortAnubis12-16vs Falcons ForceDust216-12

BERG vs Famalicão FAQ

Who is favored to win BERG vs Famalicão?

BERG are favored with a 74% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for BERG vs Famalicão?

Match odds for BERG vs Famalicão aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do BERG and Famalicão play?

BERG vs Famalicão is scheduled for 2026-09-18 14:00 UTC at HyperX Retake Season 12.

BERG vs Famalicão Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER