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Matches / Upcoming / Bounty Hunters vs Yawara

Bounty Hunters vs Yawara: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Circuit X Curitiba Fall 2026

Bounty Hunters
World #138 · 50-44
VS
2026-09-16 20:00 UTC
Circuit X Curitiba Fall 2026 · Best of 3
Yawara
World #176 · 29-32
Circuit X Curitiba Fall 2026 · Best of 3
68%
Win probability
32%
64%
1.442.55Market · 2 booksBookmakerBOUYAWGGBet1.442.55Sweatbet 1.442.55
36%
The call

Bounty Hunters are favoured: our model gives them 68% against Yawara. Bookmakers lean Bounty Hunters at 64%. Strength slightly favours Bounty Hunters, form slightly favours Bounty Hunters, firepower slightly favours Bounty Hunters, head-to-head clearly favours Bounty Hunters.

Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Dust2

Firepower

roster ratings

Bounty Hunters · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
pepe1.0677.473.4%58%1.15
zock1.0476.172.2%50%1.11
KAISER1.1169.273.6%40%1.1
ponter0.9871.171.4%57%1.07
urban00.8974.570.8%62%0.99

Yawara · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
tele0.9578.470.2%55%1.1
deemO0.9970.872.2%57%1.09
pancc173.769.3%63%1.07
j0w0.9272.968.3%55%1.04
brn$1.0964.171%38%1.02

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
MIBR#180-40-2
Fluxo#614-72-1
Imperial#6210-124-11
BESTIA#901-22-0
Bounty Hunters vs BESTIA
May 29LDust213-5Nuke2-13Mirage4-13
LP#1015-52-4
ODDIK#1132-82-5
Isurus#1175-34-3
Turma do Pagode#1242-63-3

Map lab

Yawara53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Yawara 2-1
If the veto goes
Bounty Hunters 47%how the series ends53% Yawara
31%2-019%
16%2-133%
Map 1AncientBounty Hunters pick
Bounty Hunters60%23-20vsYawara40%11-15
53%Win42%
55%CT53%
47%T46%
55%Pistol48%
83%Conv83%
Map 2MirageYawara pick
Bounty Hunters51%27-21vsYawara49%21-17
56%Win55%
58%CT53%
47%T48%
50%Pistol49%
77%Conv78%
Map 3Dust2decider
Bounty Hunters33%20-27vsYawara67%22-14
43%Win61%
49%CT56%
46%T49%
51%Pistol39%
73%Conv79%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Bounty HuntersAncientYawara
55%CT side53%
47%T side46%
55%Pistol48%
83%After win83%
13%After loss19%
Bounty HuntersMirageYawara
58%CT side53%
47%T side48%
50%Pistol49%
77%After win78%
15%After loss5%
Bounty HuntersDust2Yawara
49%CT side56%
46%T side49%
51%Pistol39%
73%After win79%
13%After loss20%
Pistol rounds52% · 45% · Bounty Hunters win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol78% · 80% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol14% · 15% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Bounty Hunters vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Yawara habitually bans Nuke, Bounty Hunters's strongest maps (Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 42/61), not an opponent read, so expect Bounty Hunters to fight the veto for Ancient.
MapBOUYAW
InfernoBOU bann/a0g55%6-5
NukeYAW ban63%30-1820%2-8
AncientBOU pick53%23-2042%11-15
MirageYAW pick56%27-2155%21-17
AnubisBOU ban42%5-738%5-8
CacheYAW ban54%7-60%0-3
Dust2decider43%20-2761%22-14
Each team's usual first ban: Bounty Hunters Inferno · Yawara Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Bounty Hunters

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i35/115 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 115 maps they won, 35 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 downvs MIBR AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs paiNMiragefrom 5 downvs Keyd StarsMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i32/104 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 104 maps they lost, 32 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13vs LPCacheled 7 · lost 10-13vs MIBRAnubisled 6 · lost 16-19vs MIBR AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs Keyd StarsAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs VascoMirage13-16vs ImperialNuke19-17vs R2Nuke14-16vs YawaraMirage14-16vs CrashersAncient16-14

Yawara

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i18/70 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 70 maps they won, 18 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs Prison BreakersDust2from 6 downvs Keyd StarsDust2from 6 downvs UNO MILLEMiragefrom 6 downvs IsurusInfernofrom 6 downvs BESTIAMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/75 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 75 maps they lost, 15 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs paiN AcademyDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs ImperialDust2led 5 · lost 10-13vs LegacyMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs Bounty HuntersAncientled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Prison BreakersDust2from 6 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs Prison BreakersDust216-14vs Bounty HuntersMirage16-14vs ImperialMirage14-16vs ImperialNuke17-19vs LPAncient14-16

Bounty Hunters vs Yawara FAQ

Who is favored to win Bounty Hunters vs Yawara?

Bounty Hunters are favored with a 68% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Bounty Hunters vs Yawara?

Bookmakers price Bounty Hunters at 1.44 and Yawara at 2.55 (implied 64% vs 36%).

When do Bounty Hunters and Yawara play?

Bounty Hunters vs Yawara is scheduled for 2026-09-16 20:00 UTC at Circuit X Curitiba Fall 2026.

Bounty Hunters vs Yawara Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER