Matches / Upcoming / Villainous vs Overtake Sector

Villainous vs Overtake Sector: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CROSSFIRE Season 6

Villainous
World #208 · 7-11
VS
2026-09-20 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
Overtake Sector
World #147 · 15-12
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
32%
Win probability
68%
31%
2.951.34Market · 2 booksBookmakerVILOVEGGBet2.951.34Sweatbet 2.951.34
69%
The call

Overtake Sector are favoured: our model gives them 68% against Villainous. Bookmakers lean Overtake Sector at 69%. Strength slightly favours Overtake Sector, record slightly favours Overtake Sector, form slightly favours Overtake Sector, firepower clearly favours Overtake Sector, head-to-head slightly favours Overtake Sector.

Likely mapsAnubis · Mirage · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

Villainous · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
DYLAN1.0475.872.1%57%1.13
Burglar0.9980.872.1%64%1.12
Sunk1.1977.370.2%40%1.12
bright0.9871.473.6%46%1.01
Jolts0.8969.772.7%55%0.99

Overtake Sector · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Umar1.1276.473.3%37%1.2
intra1.0183.473.4%57%1.16
jason1.0376.374%47%1.12
corim0.9774.673%56%1.08
LEARSI0.8863.871.3%58%0.96

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

Overtake Sector67%to win the Bo3 · most likely Overtake Sector 2-0
If the veto goes
Villainous 33%how the series ends67% Overtake Sector
12%2-042%
21%2-126%
Map 1AnubisVillainous pick
Villainous42%5-4vsOvertake Sector58%3-1
56%Win75%
48%CT42%
62%T57%
50%Pistol50%
100%Conv25%
Map 2MirageOvertake Sect… pick
Villainous29%3-4vsOvertake Sector71%13-6
43%Win68%
53%CT66%
49%T47%
64%Pistol53%
100%Conv75%
Map 3Cachedecider
Villainous44%1-1vsOvertake Sector56%3-1
50%Win75%
64%CT48%
33%T56%
75%Pistol25%
100%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

VillainousAnubisOvertake Sector
48%CT side42%
62%T side57%
50%Pistol50%
100%After win25%
44%After loss25%
VillainousMirageOvertake Sector
53%CT side66%
49%T side47%
64%Pistol53%
100%After win75%
40%After loss22%
VillainousCacheOvertake Sector
64%CT side48%
33%T side56%
75%Pistol25%
100%After win100%
0%After loss17%
Pistol rounds58% · 48% · Villainous win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol100% · 69% · Villainous keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol40% · 21% · Villainous fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Villainous vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Overtake Sector habitually bans Nuke, Villainous's strongest maps (Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 27/27), not an opponent read, so expect Villainous to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapVILOVE
Dust2VIL ban33%1-245%5-6
NukeOVE ban100%2-0n/a0g
Overtake Sector on Nuke
no recent maps
AnubisVIL pick56%5-475%3-1
MirageOVE pick43%3-468%13-6
AncientVIL ban0%0-433%4-8
InfernoOVE ban45%5-646%6-7
Cachedecider50%1-175%3-1
Each team's usual first ban: Villainous Dust2 · Overtake Sector Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Villainous

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/17 (18%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 17 maps they won, 3 (18%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 18% of their wins were comebacks, not 18% of all games.vs BrahmasInfernofrom 5 downvs CelestialInfernofrom 4 downvs BrahmasNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/21 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 21 maps they lost, 6 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 6 · lost 14-16vs SportsBetExpertAnubisled 5 · lost 14-16vs Iowa StormboarAncientled 4 · lost 13-16vs Wanted GoonsAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BrahmasInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 6 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini6.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi18% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT18% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs SportsBetExpertAnubis14-16vs NuToriousInferno25-21vs Overtake SectorMirage14-16vs Iowa StormboarAncient13-16

Overtake Sector

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/35 (49%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 35 maps they won, 17 (49%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 49% of their wins were comebacks, not 49% of all games.vs NuToriousMiragefrom 10 downvs F5Miragefrom 7 downvs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 downvs VillainousMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIREMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/30 (47%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 30 maps they lost, 14 (47%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs Wanted GoonsAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs LAGMirageled 4 · lost 11-13vs NuToriousInfernoled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NuToriousMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs ex-AetherAncient12-16vs MarsborneMirage20-22vs BrahmasAnubis16-12vs VillainousMirage16-14vs Iowa StormboarAncient14-16

Villainous vs Overtake Sector FAQ

Who is favored to win Villainous vs Overtake Sector?

Overtake Sector are favored with a 68% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Villainous vs Overtake Sector?

Bookmakers price Villainous at 2.95 and Overtake Sector at 1.34 (implied 31% vs 69%).

When do Villainous and Overtake Sector play?

Villainous vs Overtake Sector is scheduled for 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC at CROSSFIRE Season 6.