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Permitta vs megoshort: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier

Permitta
World #100 · 12-16
VS
2026-09-22 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
megoshort
World #– · 27-32
CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
49%
Win probability
51%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 49–51. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours megoshort, form clearly favours megoshort.

Likely mapsCache · Ancient · Mirage

Firepower

roster ratings

Permitta · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
AdrieN★1.0280.168.9%60%1.13
Markoś1.1572.673.4%34%1.11
tomiko0.9977.269.8%56%1.11
maaryy0.8567.868.1%55%0.98
Showk0.7863.564.7%60%0.95

megoshort · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Siz★1.0883.370.1%55%1.21
jayzaR1.1875.568.8%38%1.14
zen0.9973.167.5%52%1.03
Twinkey0.8267.967.4%61%0.96
robiin0.866.468.4%53%0.92

Recent form

Permitta

Just Players1d ago0-2Saint SinnersPistolsPist3/43d ago0-2QUAZAR3d ago1-2Bebop4d ago2-0Illyrians4d ago0-2WBT AcademyPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT7d ago0-2Spirit AcademyPistolsPist3/48d ago2-0Mai TaiPistolsPist3/49d ago2-0MOUZ NXTPistolsPist3/4StompStomp2-1311d ago0-2A Great ChaosPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-212d ago2-0WBT AcademyOvertimeOT12d ago2-0Bushido WildcatsStompStomp0-1317d ago0-2AzuolasPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT18d ago0-2WBTOvertimeOT19d ago0-2AzuolasOvertimeOT19d ago2-0

megoshort

Bushido WildcatsBlew leadBL65d ago0-2benched godsUpsetUpset6d ago2-0Inner Circle AcademyUpsetUpset7d ago2-0MisaOvertimeOT8d ago1-2Noir VersePistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT11d ago2-0Strael BoraStompStomp13-112d ago2-1CYBERSHOKEStompStomp1-132mo ago1-2LavkedUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago2-0los kogutosUpsetUpsetComebackCB62mo ago2-0ex-MANAComebackCB82mo ago2-0ROUNDS2mo ago1-2PrivateerOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2G2 Ares2mo ago0-2SAW Youngsters2mo ago0-2Julie&CiePistolsPist4/42mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
EAC#660-22-1
Permitta vs EAC
Aug 19Lseries0-2
megoshort vs EAC
May 21WMirage13-10Overpass6-13Ancient16-14
Bushido Wildcats#760-40-2
Permitta vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 1LDust20-13Nuke10-13Aug 17LNuke7-13Mirage11-13
megoshort vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 13LDust26-13Cache11-13
G2 Ares#1034-10-2
Permitta vs G2 Ares
Aug 18WAnubis13-10Mirage13-10Aug 16WAncient3-13Cache13-8Mirage16-14
megoshort vs G2 Ares
Jul 19LAncient8-13Mirage11-13
Misa#1102-01-2
Permitta vs Misa
Aug 27WCache16-13Ancient13-3
megoshort vs Misa
Sep 10LMirage9-13Cache19-16Dust28-13
MOUZ NXT#1360-21-2
Permitta vs MOUZ NXT
Sep 7LAncient14-16Nuke2-13
megoshort vs MOUZ NXT
Mar 12LAncient8-13Anubis13-9Dust211-13

Map lab

Permitta53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Permitta 2-1
If the veto goes
Permitta 53%how the series ends47% megoshort
19%2-029%
34%2-118%
Map 1CachePermitta pick
Permitta57%5-1vsmegoshort43%3-1
83%Win75%
56%CT54%
56%T46%
67%Pistol50%
100%Conv75%
Map 2Ancientmegoshort pick
Permitta33%4-7vsmegoshort67%18-14
36%Win56%
49%CT53%
51%T51%
45%Pistol50%
80%Conv91%
Map 3Miragedecider
Permitta66%7-4vsmegoshort34%15-18
64%Win45%
55%CT56%
41%T39%
45%Pistol39%
70%Conv81%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

PermittaCachemegoshort
56%CT side54%
56%T side46%
67%Pistol50%
100%After win75%
75%After loss25%
PermittaAncientmegoshort
49%CT side53%
51%T side51%
45%Pistol50%
80%After win91%
33%After loss9%
PermittaMiragemegoshort
55%CT side56%
41%T side39%
45%Pistol39%
70%After win81%
42%After loss18%
Pistol rounds50% · 45% · Permitta win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol82% · 85% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol43% · 14% · Permitta fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Permitta vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPERMEG
InfernoPER bann/a0g44%8-10
Permitta on Inferno
no recent maps
megoshort on Inferno
Wex-MANA13–102mo agoLROUNDS5–132mo agoLPrivateer9–132mo agoLSAW Youngsters5–132mo agoLUrsa13–166mo agoLLeo3–136mo agoWOlyBet13–106mo agoWCSDIILIT13–106mo ago
NukeMEG ban44%8-10n/a0g
Permitta on Nuke
LSaint Sinners8–133d agoLQUAZAR10–133d agoWBebop13–44d agoLWBT Academy14–167d agoWSpirit Academy13–108d agoWMai Tai13–69d agoLMOUZ NXT2–1311d agoWA Great Chaos13–212d ago
megoshort on Nuke
no recent maps
CachePER pick83%5-175%3-1
Permitta on Cache
WMisa16–1322d agoLHYPERSPIRIT6–131mo agoWFortress13–51mo agoWUNiTY13–91mo agoWG2 Ares13–81mo agoWHAVU13–81mo ago
megoshort on Cache
LBushido Wildcats11–135d agoWMisa19–168d agoWNoir Verse13–1111d agoWLavked16–142mo ago
AncientMEG pick36%4-756%18-14
Permitta on Ancient
LJust Players10–131d agoWSpirit Academy13–38d agoLMOUZ NXT14–1611d agoWAzuolas13–1119d agoWMisa13–322d agoLVexar9–1328d agoLFalcons Force8–131mo agoLOG10–131mo ago
megoshort on Ancient
Wbenched gods13–116d agoWInner Circle Academy13–77d agoWNoir Verse16–1211d agoWStrael Bora13–612d agoWCYBERSHOKE13–112mo agoLROUNDS9–132mo agoLPrivateer8–132mo agoLG2 Ares8–132mo ago
Dust2PER ban17%1-528%8-21
Permitta on Dust2
LSaint Sinners9–133d agoWBebop13–104d agoLBushido Wildcats0–1317d agoLWBT17–1919d agoLHYPERSPIRIT11–131mo agoLOG11–131mo ago
megoshort on Dust2
LBushido Wildcats6–135d agoLMisa8–138d agoWStrael Bora13–112d agoLCYBERSHOKE1–132mo agoWlos kogutos13–102mo agoWex-MANA13–102mo agoWJulie&Cie13–62mo agoLHonvéd10–132mo ago
AnubisMEG ban44%4-557%4-3
Permitta on Anubis
LJust Players6–131d agoLQUAZAR3–133d agoLIllyrians8–134d agoLWBT Academy11–137d agoWWBT Academy16–1312d agoWFalcons Force13–61mo agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–91mo agoWG2 Ares13–101mo ago
megoshort on Anubis
Wbenched gods13–116d agoWInner Circle Academy13–117d agoLStrael Bora3–1312d agoWTNC13–115mo agoLMINLATE8–136mo agoWMOUZ NXT13–96mo agoLex-GANK16–196mo ago
Miragedecider64%7-445%15-18
Permitta on Mirage
WQUAZAR13–83d agoLIllyrians9–134d agoWMai Tai13–89d agoWA Great Chaos13–912d agoLAzuolas4–1318d agoWAzuolas16–1219d agoWMai Tai19–1521d agoLFalcons Force2–131mo ago
megoshort on Mirage
LMisa9–138d agoLCYBERSHOKE10–132mo agoWLavked16–142mo agoWlos kogutos13–92mo agoWROUNDS13–42mo agoWPrivateer16–142mo agoLG2 Ares11–132mo agoLSAW Youngsters7–132mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Permitta Inferno · megoshort Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Permitta

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/29 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 29 maps they won, 9 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs G2 AresCachefrom 6 downvs G2 AresAnubisfrom 6 downvs AzuolasMiragefrom 5 downvs UNiTYCachefrom 4 downvs Spirit AcademyNukefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/32 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 32 maps they lost, 9 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs UNiTYAnubisled 6 · lost 17-19vs UNiTYAncientled 5 · lost 16-19vs Saint SinnersNukeled 5 · lost 8-13vs HAVUNukeled 4 · lost 17-19vs Saint SinnersDust2led 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs G2 AresCachefrom 6 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs UNiTYAnubisled 6 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi43% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT43% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs HAVUNuke17-19vs UNiTYAncient16-19vs UNiTYAnubis17-19vs G2 AresMirage16-14vs MisaCache16-13

megoshort

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/62 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 62 maps they won, 21 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs TNCMiragefrom 8 downvs ex-MANADust2from 8 downvs QWENTRYMiragefrom 6 downvs los kogutosDust2from 6 downvs PrivateerMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/72 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 72 maps they lost, 20 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AMOverpassled 7 · lost 9-13vs Bushido WildcatsCacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs MOUZ NXTAncientled 4 · lost 8-13vs Aurora Young BludMirageled 4 · lost 9-13vs WaveDust2led 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs TNCMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AMOverpassled 7 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs PrestigeInferno16-13vs TrickedAncient13-16vs STATETrain19-17vs Eternal FireMirage13-16vs Aurora Young BludOverpass14-16

Permitta vs megoshort FAQ

Who is favored to win Permitta vs megoshort?

megoshort are favored with a 51% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Permitta vs megoshort?

Match odds for Permitta vs megoshort aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Permitta and megoshort play?

Permitta vs megoshort is scheduled for 2026-09-22 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier.