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paiN vs Turma do Pagode: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · FERJEE In House Season 2

paiN
World #27 · 28-31
VS
2026-09-23 13:00 UTC
FERJEE In House Season 2 · Best of 3
Turma do Pagode
World #124 · 14-9
FERJEE In House Season 2 · Best of 3
55%
Win probability
45%
The call

paiN are favoured: our model gives them 55% against Turma do Pagode. No odds yet. Record slightly favours Turma do Pagode, firepower clearly favours Turma do Pagode, head-to-head clearly favours paiN.

Likely mapsNuke · Cache · Dust2

Firepower

roster ratings

paiN · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Rkzinho★1.187273.7%55%1.12
snow173.271.5%52%1.08
biguzera0.970.369.5%55%1.01
saffee1.0167.268.3%31%1
Tatu1.016476.8%50%0.97

Turma do Pagode · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
ksloks★1.2678.374.6%53%1.21
Tuurtle1.173.674.1%55%1.16
danoco0.8474.771.2%49%0.98
pesadelo0.9568.871.3%49%0.97
WOOD71.0165.972.5%33%0.96

Recent form

paiN

Fluxo1d ago1-2Turma do PagodePistolsPist4/43d ago2-0ShindeN8d ago0-2Imperial8d ago1-2Back to BackOvertimeOT9d ago2-1BIGPistolsPist3/417d ago0-2HOTU17d ago0-2Natus VincerePistolsPist3/4Blew leadBL822d ago0-2FURIAStompStomp2-1324d ago0-2The MongolZ1mo ago0-2WildcardOvertimeOT1mo ago2-19z1mo ago3-13AstralisOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2Ninjas in PyjamasUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago2-0Gentle Mates2mo ago2-0

Turma do Pagode

ShindeNStompStomp1-13today1-2ALKAStompStomp13-1OvertimeOT3d ago2-0paiN3d ago0-2ALKA3d ago2-1ShindeNOvertimeOT9d ago1-2DENDELEOvertimeOT10d ago0-2IsurusPistolsPist3/4ComebackCB712d ago2-0YawaraOvertimeOT12d ago2-1your endPistolsPist5/614d ago2-1IsurusUpsetUpsetPistolsPist5/622d ago1-2Bounty HuntersComebackCB823d ago2-0ALKA24d ago2-1ex-MIBR AcademyUpsetUpset25d ago0-2Galorys4mo ago2-1YawaraStompStomp2-134mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
3d ago paiN2 : 0 Turma do Pagode!
⚠ Different lineup
Turma do Pagode
outnaitte
inpesadelo
ShindeN#804-32-4
paiN vs ShindeN
Sep 11LInferno6-13Dust210-13Apr 4WMirage13-8Inferno4-13Nuke13-8Mar 29WOverpass13-4Mirage13-11
Turma do Pagode vs ShindeN
Sep 19LAncient13-8Nuke11-13Dust21-13Sep 10LAncient9-13Dust216-13Nuke14-16
Galorys#952-12-1
paiN vs Galorys
Apr 1WNuke16-13Overpass6-13Mirage13-5
Turma do Pagode vs Galorys
May 11WDust213-9Nuke7-13Ancient13-7
LP#1012-12-0
paiN vs LP
Jul 10WInferno13-2Dust26-13Nuke13-9
Turma do Pagode vs LP
May 8WAncient13-4Dust213-5
ALKA#1232-06-2
paiN vs ALKA
Apr 1WAnubis13-7Nuke13-1
Turma do Pagode vs ALKA
Sep 16WDust213-1Ancient16-12Sep 16WAncient13-10Dust211-13Inferno13-5Aug 26WAncient13-5Inferno10-13Dust213-9
Bounty Hunters#1382-16-2
paiN vs Bounty Hunters
Mar 27WMirage11-13Nuke13-4Dust213-8
Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters
Aug 27WAncient13-11Mirage13-4May 9WNuke6-13Anubis13-9Dust213-9May 2WNuke7-13Dust213-10Overpass13-11
METANOIA Wolves#2252-00-1
paiN vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 9WInferno13-4Dust213-4
Turma do Pagode vs METANOIA Wolves
Apr 24LDust216-19

Map lab

paiN57%to win the Bo3 · most likely paiN 2-0
If the veto goes
paiN 57%how the series ends43% Turma do Pagode
36%2-09%
21%2-134%
Map 1NukepaiN pick
paiN84%23-13vsTurma do Pagode16%0-5
64%Win0%
56%CT43%
53%T36%
44%Pistol50%
72%Conv80%
Map 2CacheTurma do Pago… pick
paiN43%0-6vsTurma do Pagode57%1-0
0%Win100%
36%CT58%
41%T60%
33%Pistol0%
100%Conv–
Map 3Dust2decider
paiN39%11-14vsTurma do Pagode61%9-7
44%Win56%
50%CT57%
45%T48%
50%Pistol50%
88%Conv69%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

paiNNukeTurma do Pagode
56%CT side43%
53%T side36%
44%Pistol50%
72%After win80%
23%After loss0%
paiNCacheTurma do Pagode
36%CT side58%
41%T side60%
33%Pistol0%
100%After win–
13%After loss0%
paiNDust2Turma do Pagode
50%CT side57%
45%T side48%
50%Pistol50%
88%After win69%
20%After loss25%
Pistol rounds46% · 48% · level, no edge
After a won pistol80% · 71% · paiN keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol21% · 17% · paiN fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, paiN vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPAITUR
AncientPAI bann/a0g72%13-5
paiN on Ancient
no recent maps
Turma do Pagode on Ancient
WShindeN13–8todayWALKA16–123d agoWALKA13–103d agoLShindeN9–139d agoLDENDELE12–1610d agoWIsurus13–1112d agoLYawara14–1612d agoWyour end13–414d ago
MirageTUR ban52%14-1350%1-1
paiN on Mirage
WFluxo13–101d agoLImperial10–138d agoWBack to Back13–99d agoLNatus Vincere11–1322d agoLFURIA2–1324d agoWWildcard13–71mo agoLAstralis14–162mo agoWNinjas in Pyjamas16–142mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Mirage
LDENDELE10–1310d agoWBounty Hunters13–423d ago
NukePAI pick64%23-130%0-5
paiN on Nuke
LBack to Back13–169d agoLHOTU4–1317d agoLNatus Vincere9–1322d agoLThe MongolZ10–131mo agoWWildcard13–31mo agoWAstralis13–102mo agoWNinjas in Pyjamas13–62mo agoWGentle Mates13–62mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Nuke
LShindeN11–13todayLShindeN14–169d agoLGalorys7–134mo agoLBounty Hunters6–134mo agoLBounty Hunters7–135mo ago
CacheTUR pick0%0-6100%1-0
paiN on Cache
LBIG8–1317d agoLHOTU11–1317d agoLFURIA6–1324d agoL9z3–131mo agoL3DMAX10–132mo agoLSharks11–132mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Cache
WYawara13–912d ago
InfernoPAI ban40%8-1240%2-3
paiN on Inferno
LFluxo5–131d agoLShindeN6–138d agoLImperial9–138d agoLThe MongolZ4–131mo agoLWildcard12–161mo agoLAstralis17–192mo agoWGentle Mates13–112mo agoL3DMAX4–132mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Inferno
WALKA13–53d agoWIsurus16–1412d agoLIsurus9–1322d agoLALKA10–1324d agoLIsurus8–134mo ago
AnubisTUR ban60%6-450%2-2
paiN on Anubis
LFluxo10–131d agoWTurma do Pagode13–63d agoLPhantom5–132mo agoWFlyQuest13–103mo agoWBC.Game13–44mo agoLBetBoom5–134mo agoWFaZe13–84mo agoWGaimin Gladiators13–46mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Anubis
LpaiN6–133d agoLyour end8–1314d agoWBounty Hunters13–94mo agoWKeyd Stars13–115mo ago
Dust2decider44%11-1456%9-7
paiN on Dust2
WTurma do Pagode13–113d agoLShindeN10–138d agoWImperial13–98d agoWBack to Back16–139d agoLBIG6–1317d agoWPhantom13–82mo agoLLP6–132mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–42mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Dust2
LShindeN1–13todayWALKA13–13d agoLpaiN11–133d agoLALKA11–133d agoWShindeN16–139d agoWYawara13–712d agoWyour end13–614d agoLIsurus4–1322d ago
Each team's usual first ban: paiN Ancient · Turma do Pagode Mirage.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

paiN

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/66 (21%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 66 maps they won, 14 (21%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 21% of their wins were comebacks, not 21% of all games.vs ShindeNMiragefrom 8 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasMiragefrom 5 downvs G2Miragefrom 4 downvs DASHInfernofrom 4 downvs DASHNukefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/71 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 23 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Natus VincereMirageled 8 · lost 11-13vs FaZeDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs Bounty HuntersMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs Gaimin GladiatorsOverpassled 5 · lost 11-13vs WildcardInfernoled 5 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ShindeNMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Natus VincereMirageled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs HEROICMirage14-16vs B8Dust216-12vs 3DMAXInferno16-14vs PARIVISIONMirage15-19vs G2Inferno16-14

Turma do Pagode

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/30 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 30 maps they won, 8 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 downvs IsurusAncientfrom 7 downvs ALKAAncientfrom 5 downvs ALKAAncientfrom 5 downvs Bounty HuntersDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/24 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 24 maps they lost, 7 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKADust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs DENDELEAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 4 · lost 7-13vs ex-MIBR AcademyAncientled 4 · lost 8-13vs ShindeNNukeled 4 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKADust2led 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs METANOIA WolvesDust216-19vs YawaraAncient14-16vs IsurusInferno16-14vs DENDELEAncient12-16vs ShindeNDust216-13

paiN vs Turma do Pagode FAQ

Who is favored to win paiN vs Turma do Pagode?

paiN are favored with a 55% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for paiN vs Turma do Pagode?

Match odds for paiN vs Turma do Pagode aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do paiN and Turma do Pagode play?

paiN vs Turma do Pagode is scheduled for 2026-09-23 13:00 UTC at FERJEE In House Season 2.