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paiN vs Bounty Hunters: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · FERJEE In House Season 2

paiN
World #28 · 29-31
VS
2026-09-24 13:00 UTC
FERJEE In House Season 2 · Best of 3
Bounty Hunters
World #95 · 56-46
FERJEE In House Season 2 · Best of 3
48%
Win probability
52%
67%
1.382.86Market · 9 booksBookmakerPAIBOUGGBet1.33.24Sweatbet 1.33.24GranaWin1.352.81xBit1.382.861xbet1.382.86ColdBet1.382.86Spinbet1.382.86Vivatbet1.382.86betlabel1.382.86
33%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 48–52. Bookmakers lean paiN at 67%. Strength slightly favours Bounty Hunters, form slightly favours Bounty Hunters, firepower clearly favours Bounty Hunters, head-to-head slightly favours paiN.

Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Dust2

Firepower

roster ratings

paiN · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Rkzinho★1.2373.975.5%56%1.19
snow173.471.6%51%1.09
biguzera0.970.369.6%54%1.01
saffee166.668.4%31%0.99
Tatu0.9564.574.1%56%0.95

Bounty Hunters · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
pepe★1.0777.973.7%59%1.16
KAISER1.1369.274.1%40%1.11
zock1.0475.872.4%50%1.11
ponter0.9770.671.3%57%1.06
urban00.9675.271%60%1.03

Recent form

paiN

Turma do PagodePistolsPist3/4today2-0Fluxo5d ago1-2Turma do PagodePistolsPist4/47d ago2-0ShindeN12d ago0-2Imperial12d ago1-2Back to BackOvertimeOT13d ago2-1BIGPistolsPist3/421d ago0-2HOTU21d ago0-2Natus VincerePistolsPist3/4Blew leadBL826d ago0-2FURIAStompStomp2-1328d ago0-2The MongolZ1mo ago0-2WildcardOvertimeOT1mo ago2-19z1mo ago3-13AstralisOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2Ninjas in PyjamasUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago2-0

Bounty Hunters

Keyd Starstoday2-0DAMAJUANA1d ago2-0BESTIAOvertimeOT3d ago0-2FluxoUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT4d ago2-0GalorysPistolsPist3/45d ago2-1Yawara6d ago2-1Imperial6d ago1-2YawaraPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT6d ago2-0Back to BackStompStomp2-1316d ago0-2RED Canids AcademyPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-216d ago2-1GalorysStompStomp2-1317d ago0-2ImperialUpsetUpset17d ago2-1YawaraPistolsPist3/418d ago2-0Imperial18d ago0-2QUINTESSÊNCIAStompStomp2-1318d ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
6mo ago paiN2 : 1 Bounty Hunters!
⚠ Different lineup
paiN
outnqz, piriajr, vsm
inRkzinho, Tatu, saffee
Bounty Hunters
outfREQ
inurban0
9z#161-30-2
paiN vs 9z
Aug 12LCache3-13Mar 30LDust28-13Nuke13-6Inferno9-13
Bounty Hunters vs 9z
Feb 14LDust27-13Ancient10-13
Fluxo#593-26-7
paiN vs Fluxo
Sep 18LAnubis10-13Mirage13-10Inferno5-13Apr 4WMirage13-5Nuke13-2
Bounty Hunters vs Fluxo
Sep 19WAnubis13-9Cache16-14Jul 30LCache7-13Dust213-6Nuke4-13Jul 18LNuke4-13Dust213-16
+2 earlier meetings
Imperial#621-211-14
paiN vs Imperial
Sep 11LInferno9-13Dust213-9Mirage10-13
Bounty Hunters vs Imperial
Sep 17LMirage6-13Cache13-8Nuke4-13Sep 6WMirage10-13Nuke13-11Dust213-8Sep 5LCache6-13Dust210-13
+6 earlier meetings
ShindeN#684-36-2
paiN vs ShindeN
Sep 11LInferno6-13Dust210-13Apr 4WMirage13-8Inferno4-13Nuke13-8Mar 29WOverpass13-4Mirage13-11
Bounty Hunters vs ShindeN
Jul 16WNuke13-5Mirage13-10May 1WAncient6-13Mirage13-5Nuke13-6Apr 2WMirage10-13Nuke13-4Dust213-9
Galorys#882-19-9
paiN vs Galorys
Apr 1WNuke16-13Overpass6-13Mirage13-5
Bounty Hunters vs Galorys
Sep 18WCache10-13Ancient13-11Sep 6LNuke2-13Ancient4-13Aug 26LCache8-13Ancient10-13
+5 earlier meetings
LP#992-15-5
paiN vs LP
Jul 10WInferno13-2Dust26-13Nuke13-9
Bounty Hunters vs LP
Jul 28LNuke13-5Ancient10-13Cache10-13May 24WMirage13-6Overpass13-10Mar 4WDust26-13Ancient13-8Mirage13-9
+1 earlier meeting
Turma do Pagode#1054-02-6
paiN vs Turma do Pagode
Sep 23WAnubis13-10Dust213-10Sep 16WDust213-11Anubis13-6
Bounty Hunters vs Turma do Pagode
Aug 27LAncient11-13Mirage4-13May 9LNuke13-6Anubis9-13Dust29-13May 2LNuke13-7Dust210-13Overpass11-13
METANOIA Wolves#2262-02-4
paiN vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 9WInferno13-4Dust213-4
Bounty Hunters vs METANOIA Wolves
May 4WAnubis13-4Ancient13-7Mar 25LDust26-13Mirage11-13Mar 21LDust210-13Nuke17-19

Map lab

paiN51%to win the Bo3 · most likely paiN 2-1
If the veto goes
paiN 51%how the series ends49% Bounty Hunters
24%2-026%
27%2-123%
Map 1NukepaiN pick
paiN53%23-13vsBounty Hunters47%30-19
64%Win61%
56%CT60%
53%T46%
44%Pistol50%
72%Conv90%
Map 2MirageBounty Hunters pick
paiN45%14-13vsBounty Hunters55%30-23
52%Win57%
58%CT58%
43%T47%
50%Pistol50%
89%Conv75%
Map 3Dust2decider
paiN54%12-14vsBounty Hunters46%20-27
46%Win43%
51%CT49%
46%T46%
52%Pistol51%
89%Conv73%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

paiNNukeBounty Hunters
56%CT side60%
53%T side46%
44%Pistol50%
72%After win90%
23%After loss14%
paiNMirageBounty Hunters
58%CT side58%
43%T side47%
50%Pistol50%
89%After win75%
26%After loss15%
paiNDust2Bounty Hunters
51%CT side49%
46%T side46%
52%Pistol51%
89%After win73%
20%After loss13%
Pistol rounds48% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol83% · 79% · paiN keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol23% · 14% · paiN fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, paiN vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPAIBOU
AncientPAI bann/a0g56%25-20
paiN on Ancient
no recent maps
Bounty Hunters on Ancient
WKeyd Stars13–5todayWGalorys13–115d agoWRED Canids Academy13–216d agoLGalorys4–1317d agoLTurma do Pagode11–1327d agoLGalorys10–1328d agoLLP10–132mo agoLKeyd Stars7–132mo ago
InfernoBOU ban40%8-12n/a0g
paiN on Inferno
LFluxo5–135d agoLShindeN6–1312d agoLImperial9–1312d agoLThe MongolZ4–131mo agoLWildcard12–161mo agoLAstralis17–192mo agoWGentle Mates13–112mo agoL3DMAX4–132mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Inferno
no recent maps
NukePAI pick64%23-1361%30-19
paiN on Nuke
LBack to Back13–1613d agoLHOTU4–1321d agoLNatus Vincere9–1326d agoLThe MongolZ10–131mo agoWWildcard13–31mo agoWAstralis13–102mo agoWNinjas in Pyjamas13–62mo agoWGentle Mates13–62mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Nuke
LImperial4–136d agoLBack to Back2–1316d agoLGalorys2–1317d agoWImperial13–1117d agoLFluxo4–132mo agoWLP13–52mo agoLImperial4–132mo agoLFluxo4–132mo ago
MirageBOU pick52%14-1357%30-23
paiN on Mirage
WFluxo13–105d agoLImperial10–1312d agoWBack to Back13–913d agoLNatus Vincere11–1326d agoLFURIA2–1328d agoWWildcard13–71mo agoLAstralis14–162mo agoWNinjas in Pyjamas16–142mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Mirage
WKeyd Stars13–7todayWDAMAJUANA13–61d agoLBESTIA16–193d agoWYawara13–76d agoLImperial6–136d agoLImperial10–1317d agoWQUINTESSÊNCIA13–418d agoWMEIA NOITE13–820d ago
CachePAI ban0%0-660%12-8
paiN on Cache
LBIG8–1321d agoLHOTU11–1321d agoLFURIA6–1328d agoL9z3–131mo agoL3DMAX10–132mo agoLSharks11–132mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Cache
WDAMAJUANA13–101d agoLBESTIA14–163d agoWFluxo16–144d agoLGalorys10–135d agoWYawara13–106d agoWImperial13–86d agoWYawara16–136d agoLRED Canids Academy4–1316d ago
AnubisBOU ban64%7-447%7-8
paiN on Anubis
WTurma do Pagode13–10todayLFluxo10–135d agoWTurma do Pagode13–67d agoLPhantom5–132mo agoWFlyQuest13–104mo agoWBC.Game13–44mo agoLBetBoom5–134mo agoWFaZe13–85mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Anubis
WFluxo13–94d agoLYawara9–136d agoWYawara16–146d agoLImperial11–133mo agoWFluxo13–103mo agoWMIBR Academy13–93mo agoLVEXA9–134mo agoLTurma do Pagode9–135mo ago
Dust2decider46%12-1443%20-27
paiN on Dust2
WTurma do Pagode13–10todayWTurma do Pagode13–117d agoLShindeN10–1312d agoWImperial13–912d agoWBack to Back16–1313d agoLBIG6–1321d agoWPhantom13–82mo agoLLP6–133mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Dust2
LBack to Back10–1316d agoWImperial13–817d agoWYawara13–918d agoLImperial10–1318d agoLQUINTESSÊNCIA2–1318d agoWFluxo13–62mo agoLODDIK8–132mo agoLFluxo13–162mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: paiN Ancient · Bounty Hunters Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

paiN

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i15/68 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 68 maps they won, 15 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs ShindeNMiragefrom 8 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasMiragefrom 5 downvs Turma do PagodeAnubisfrom 5 downvs G2Miragefrom 4 downvs DASHInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/71 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 23 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Natus VincereMirageled 8 · lost 11-13vs FaZeDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs Bounty HuntersMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs Gaimin GladiatorsOverpassled 5 · lost 11-13vs WildcardInfernoled 5 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ShindeNMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Natus VincereMirageled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs HEROICMirage14-16vs B8Dust216-12vs 3DMAXInferno16-14vs PARIVISIONMirage15-19vs G2Inferno16-14

Bounty Hunters

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/127 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 127 maps they won, 40 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 downvs MIBR AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs paiNMiragefrom 5 downvs Keyd StarsMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i34/110 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 110 maps they lost, 34 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13vs LPCacheled 7 · lost 10-13vs MIBRAnubisled 6 · lost 16-19vs MIBR AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs Keyd StarsAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs VascoMirage13-16vs ImperialNuke19-17vs R2Nuke14-16vs YawaraMirage14-16vs CrashersAncient16-14

paiN vs Bounty Hunters FAQ

Who is favored to win paiN vs Bounty Hunters?

Bounty Hunters are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for paiN vs Bounty Hunters?

Bookmakers price paiN at 1.38 and Bounty Hunters at 2.86 (implied 67% vs 33%).

When do paiN and Bounty Hunters play?

paiN vs Bounty Hunters is scheduled for 2026-09-24 13:00 UTC at FERJEE In House Season 2.