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Matches / Upcoming / Turma do Pagode vs Keyd Stars

Turma do Pagode vs Keyd Stars: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · FERJEE In House Season 2

Turma do Pagode
World #105 · 15-10
VS
2026-09-24 16:30 UTC
FERJEE In House Season 2 · Best of 3
Keyd Stars
World #183 · 45-46
FERJEE In House Season 2 · Best of 3
65%
Win probability
35%
54%
1.722.02Market · 2 booksBookmakerTURKEYGGBet1.722.02Sweatbet 1.722.02
46%
The call

Turma do Pagode are favoured: our model gives them 65% against Keyd Stars. Bookmakers lean Turma do Pagode at 54%. Strength slightly favours Turma do Pagode, form slightly favours Turma do Pagode, firepower slightly favours Turma do Pagode, head-to-head slightly favours Turma do Pagode.

Likely mapsAncient · Dust2 · Anubis

Firepower

roster ratings

Turma do Pagode · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
matios★1.2778.177.8%55%1.25
ksloks1.2578.574.8%53%1.2
Tuurtle1.097374.2%55%1.14
WOOD71.0266.572.9%33%0.98
danoco0.8372.670.7%49%0.95

Keyd Stars · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
zede★1.057671.8%63%1.15
ckzao180.871.4%55%1.12
lash1.1672.673%37%1.12
drg0.8368.967.2%54%1.03
xureba0.8968.671%52%1.02

Recent form

Turma do Pagode

paiNtoday0-2MEIA NOITEPistolsPist0/41d ago2-0ShindeNStompStomp1-134d ago1-2ALKAStompStomp13-1OvertimeOT7d ago2-0paiN7d ago0-2ALKA7d ago2-1ShindeNOvertimeOT13d ago1-2DENDELEOvertimeOT14d ago0-2IsurusPistolsPist3/4ComebackCB716d ago2-0YawaraOvertimeOT16d ago2-1your endPistolsPist5/618d ago2-1IsurusUpsetUpsetPistolsPist5/626d ago1-2Bounty HuntersComebackCB827d ago2-0ALKA28d ago2-1ex-MIBR AcademyUpsetUpset29d ago0-2

Keyd Stars

Bounty Hunterstoday0-2Grêmio1d ago2-0ProcyonUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT19d ago0-2IsurusPistolsPist6/6StompStomp13-227d ago1-2FluxoBlew leadBL8OvertimeOT28d ago0-2Yawara29d ago2-1ImperialPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT1mo ago0-2GalorysPistolsPist6/61mo ago2-1Yawara1mo ago2-1paiN AcademyPistolsPist5/61mo ago2-1Galorys1mo ago0-2GrêmioPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0BORRACHEIROSUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL62mo ago1-2Fluxo2mo ago0-2ALKA2mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
5mo ago Turma do Pagode13 : 11 Keyd Stars!
⚠ Different lineup
Turma do Pagode
outfelps, naitte, pesadelo
inTuurtle, danoco, matios
Keyd Stars
outCutzMeretz, matios
inKinGui, ckzao, drg
ShindeN#682-40-2
Turma do Pagode vs ShindeN
Sep 19LAncient13-8Nuke11-13Dust21-13Sep 10LAncient9-13Dust216-13Nuke14-16
Keyd Stars vs ShindeN
Mar 24LDust210-13Overpass6-13
Galorys#882-14-7
Turma do Pagode vs Galorys
May 11WDust213-9Nuke7-13Ancient13-7
Keyd Stars vs Galorys
Aug 15WDust213-7Ancient11-13Anubis13-7Aug 10LDust210-13Ancient8-13May 17WDust213-11Ancient13-2
+2 earlier meetings
Bounty Hunters#956-26-17
Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters
Aug 27WAncient13-11Mirage13-4May 9WNuke6-13Anubis13-9Dust213-9May 2WNuke7-13Dust213-10Overpass13-11
Keyd Stars vs Bounty Hunters
Sep 23LAncient5-13Mirage7-13Jul 15LAncient13-7Nuke11-13Mirage14-16Jul 11WAncient13-11Nuke8-13Mirage13-7
+7 earlier meetings
LP#992-00-2
Turma do Pagode vs LP
May 8WAncient13-4Dust213-5
Keyd Stars vs LP
May 24LDust22-13Nuke4-13
ALKA#1226-24-0
Turma do Pagode vs ALKA
Sep 16WDust213-1Ancient16-12Sep 16WAncient13-10Dust211-13Inferno13-5Aug 26WAncient13-5Inferno10-13Dust213-9
Keyd Stars vs ALKA
Jul 24WAncient13-9Dust213-6Mar 30WAnubis13-11Nuke13-9
Isurus#1583-45-3
Turma do Pagode vs Isurus
Sep 7WAncient13-11Inferno16-14Aug 28LInferno9-13Ancient13-6Dust24-13May 10LAncient11-13Inferno8-13
Keyd Stars vs Isurus
Aug 27LAncient13-2Inferno10-13Dust26-13May 23WOverpass13-1Ancient4-13Dust213-6Mar 5WDust213-2Mirage13-11
Yawara#1683-312-7
Turma do Pagode vs Yawara
Sep 7WCache13-9Ancient14-16Dust213-7May 10LOverpass2-13Ancient13-10Dust211-13
Keyd Stars vs Yawara
Aug 25WDust211-13Ancient13-7Mirage13-8Aug 13WAncient13-11Dust210-13Mirage13-4Jul 9WMirage13-7Ancient4-13Anubis13-9
+4 earlier meetings
BESTIA Academy#2042-02-0
Turma do Pagode vs BESTIA Academy
May 7WAncient13-10Overpass13-7
Keyd Stars vs BESTIA Academy
Apr 29WDust213-11Mirage13-7

Map lab

Turma do Pagode53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Turma do Pagode 2-0
If the veto goes
Turma do Pagode 53%how the series ends47% Keyd Stars
35%2-016%
18%2-131%
Map 1AncientTurma do Pago… pick
Turma do Pagode65%13-5vsKeyd Stars35%19-15
72%Win56%
64%CT56%
48%T48%
64%Pistol49%
96%Conv79%
Map 2Dust2Keyd Stars pick
Turma do Pagode54%10-8vsKeyd Stars46%28-27
56%Win51%
54%CT52%
50%T50%
44%Pistol54%
69%Conv80%
Map 3Anubisdecider
Turma do Pagode36%2-3vsKeyd Stars64%8-5
40%Win62%
49%CT57%
42%T47%
60%Pistol58%
83%Conv87%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Turma do PagodeAncientKeyd Stars
64%CT side56%
48%T side48%
64%Pistol49%
96%After win79%
23%After loss20%
Turma do PagodeDust2Keyd Stars
54%CT side52%
50%T side50%
44%Pistol54%
69%After win80%
30%After loss24%
Turma do PagodeAnubisKeyd Stars
49%CT side57%
42%T side47%
60%Pistol58%
83%After win87%
25%After loss18%
Pistol rounds55% · 52% · Turma do Pagode win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 80% · Turma do Pagode keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol27% · 22% · Turma do Pagode fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Turma do Pagode vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapTURKEY
MirageTUR ban50%1-153%26-23
Turma do Pagode on Mirage
LDENDELE10–1314d agoWBounty Hunters13–427d ago
Keyd Stars on Mirage
LBounty Hunters7–13todayLFluxo4–1328d agoWYawara13–829d agoLImperial12–161mo agoWYawara13–41mo agoLpaiN Academy3–131mo agoWGrêmio13–102mo agoWBORRACHEIROS13–82mo ago
InfernoKEY ban40%2-329%2-5
Turma do Pagode on Inferno
WALKA13–57d agoWIsurus16–1416d agoLIsurus9–1326d agoLALKA10–1328d agoLIsurus8–135mo ago
Keyd Stars on Inferno
WGrêmio13–111d agoLProcyon14–1619d agoLIsurus10–1327d agoLImperial7–131mo agoWGrêmio13–42mo agoLImperial11–132mo agoLGameHunters5–133mo ago
AncientTUR pick72%13-556%19-15
Turma do Pagode on Ancient
WShindeN13–84d agoWALKA16–127d agoWALKA13–107d agoLShindeN9–1313d agoLDENDELE12–1614d agoWIsurus13–1116d agoLYawara14–1616d agoWyour end13–418d ago
Keyd Stars on Ancient
LBounty Hunters5–13todayLProcyon11–1319d agoWIsurus13–227d agoWYawara13–729d agoLGalorys11–131mo agoWYawara13–111mo agoLGalorys8–131mo agoLBORRACHEIROS14–162mo ago
Dust2KEY pick56%10-851%28-27
Turma do Pagode on Dust2
LpaiN10–13todayWMEIA NOITE13–111d agoLShindeN1–134d agoWALKA13–17d agoLpaiN11–137d agoLALKA11–137d agoWShindeN16–1313d agoWYawara13–716d ago
Keyd Stars on Dust2
WGrêmio13–111d agoLIsurus6–1327d agoLYawara11–1329d agoWGalorys13–71mo agoLYawara10–131mo agoLGalorys10–131mo agoWALKA13–62mo agoLBESTIA9–132mo ago
NukeTUR ban17%1-539%14-22
Turma do Pagode on Nuke
WMEIA NOITE13–111d agoLShindeN11–134d agoLShindeN14–1613d agoLGalorys7–135mo agoLBounty Hunters6–135mo agoLBounty Hunters7–135mo ago
Keyd Stars on Nuke
LFluxo12–1628d agoWpaiN Academy13–41mo agoLFluxo9–132mo agoLBounty Hunters11–132mo agoLBounty Hunters8–132mo agoWMIBR Academy13–93mo agoLFluxo9–133mo agoLUNO MILLE9–133mo ago
CacheKEY ban100%1-00%0-1
Turma do Pagode on Cache
WYawara13–916d ago
Keyd Stars on Cache
LBounty Hunters9–133mo ago
Anubisdecider40%2-362%8-5
Turma do Pagode on Anubis
LpaiN10–13todayLpaiN6–137d agoLyour end8–1318d agoWBounty Hunters13–95mo agoWKeyd Stars13–115mo ago
Keyd Stars on Anubis
WGalorys13–71mo agoWpaiN Academy13–61mo agoLBORRACHEIROS6–132mo agoWYawara13–93mo agoWYawara13–113mo agoLpaiN Academy10–134mo agoWpaiN Academy13–95mo agoWMIBR Academy13–85mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Turma do Pagode Mirage · Keyd Stars Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Turma do Pagode

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/32 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 32 maps they won, 9 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 downvs MEIA NOITEDust2from 8 downvs IsurusAncientfrom 7 downvs ALKAAncientfrom 5 downvs ALKAAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/26 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 26 maps they lost, 8 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKADust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs DENDELEAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs paiNAnubisled 5 · lost 10-13vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 4 · lost 7-13vs ex-MIBR AcademyAncientled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKADust2led 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi43% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT43% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs METANOIA WolvesDust216-19vs YawaraAncient14-16vs IsurusInferno16-14vs DENDELEAncient12-16vs ShindeNDust216-13

Keyd Stars

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/101 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 101 maps they won, 28 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 downvs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs ODDIKNukefrom 5 downvs R2Dust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i36/106 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 106 maps they lost, 36 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FluxoNukeled 8 · lost 12-16vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs MIBR AcademyMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs Fake do BiruDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs UNO MILLENukeled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FluxoNukeled 8 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs SharksMirage13-16vs 9zDust214-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs GalorysDust219-22vs MIBR AcademyMirage16-19

Turma do Pagode vs Keyd Stars FAQ

Who is favored to win Turma do Pagode vs Keyd Stars?

Turma do Pagode are favored with a 65% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Turma do Pagode vs Keyd Stars?

Bookmakers price Turma do Pagode at 1.72 and Keyd Stars at 2.02 (implied 54% vs 46%).

When do Turma do Pagode and Keyd Stars play?

Turma do Pagode vs Keyd Stars is scheduled for 2026-09-24 16:30 UTC at FERJEE In House Season 2.

Turma do Pagode vs Keyd Stars Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER