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Matches / Upcoming / Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE

Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2

Turma do Pagode
World #124 · 14-9
VS
2026-09-22 21:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
MEIA NOITE
World #– · 4-9
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
71%
Win probability
29%
The call · high confidence

Turma do Pagode are favoured: our model gives them 71% against MEIA NOITE. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Turma do Pagode, record slightly favours Turma do Pagode, firepower clearly favours Turma do Pagode.

Likely mapsAncient · Inferno · Dust2

Firepower

roster ratings

Turma do Pagode · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
ksloks★1.2678.374.6%53%1.21
Tuurtle1.173.674.1%55%1.16
danoco0.8474.771.2%49%0.98
pesadelo0.9568.871.3%49%0.97
WOOD71.0165.972.5%33%0.96

MEIA NOITE · avg 1.01 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
nyezin★1.118670.8%49%1.15
abr1.037672%54%1.08
Bruninho0.9471.371.5%59%1.04
Jerr10.964.770.1%47%0.98
bsd0.986770.7%34%0.96
BK10.6552.867.4%60%0.82

Recent form

Turma do Pagode

ShindeNStompStomp1-13today1-2ALKAStompStomp13-1OvertimeOT3d ago2-0paiN3d ago0-2ALKA3d ago2-1ShindeNOvertimeOT9d ago1-2DENDELEOvertimeOT10d ago0-2IsurusPistolsPist3/4ComebackCB712d ago2-0YawaraOvertimeOT12d ago2-1your endPistolsPist5/614d ago2-1IsurusUpsetUpsetPistolsPist5/622d ago1-2Bounty HuntersComebackCB823d ago2-0ALKA24d ago2-1ex-MIBR AcademyUpsetUpset25d ago0-2Galorys4mo ago2-1YawaraStompStomp2-134mo ago1-2

MEIA NOITE

Bounty Hunters16d ago0-2GrêmioOvertimeOT17d ago2-1ProcyonPistolsPist3/4StompStomp2-1318d ago0-2ex-MIBR AcademyPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT23d ago0-2Sementes do MalPistolsPist2/223d ago2-0BORRACHEIROS24d ago2-0ODDIKBlew leadBL6StompStomp2-1324d ago0-2Bounty Hunters25d ago0-2METANOIA WolvesUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2BORRACHEIROSBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT1mo ago1-2METANOIA WolvesPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0paiN AcademyStompStomp13-21mo ago1-2Galorys2mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Galorys#952-11-2
Turma do Pagode vs Galorys
May 11WDust213-9Nuke7-13Ancient13-7
MEIA NOITE vs Galorys
Aug 4LDust213-11Ancient3-13Nuke5-13
Bounty Hunters#1386-20-4
Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters
Aug 27WAncient13-11Mirage13-4May 9WNuke6-13Anubis13-9Dust213-9May 2WNuke7-13Dust213-10Overpass13-11
MEIA NOITE vs Bounty Hunters
Sep 3LCache4-13Mirage8-13Aug 25LMirage6-13Cache5-13
METANOIA Wolves#2250-13-2
Turma do Pagode vs METANOIA Wolves
Apr 24LDust216-19
MEIA NOITE vs METANOIA Wolves
Aug 15LDust27-13Mirage22-20Ancient12-16Aug 9WMirage13-6Dust213-11
ex-MIBR Academy0-20-2
Turma do Pagode vs ex-MIBR Academy
Aug 25LAncient8-13Dust29-13
MEIA NOITE vs ex-MIBR Academy
Aug 27LAncient5-13Mirage13-16

Map lab

Turma do Pagode65%to win the Bo3 · most likely Turma do Pagode 2-0
If the veto goes
Turma do Pagode 65%how the series ends35% MEIA NOITE
37%2-06%
27%2-129%
Map 1AncientTurma do Pago… pick
Turma do Pagode89%13-5vsMEIA NOITE11%1-6
72%Win14%
64%CT46%
48%T39%
64%Pistol64%
96%Conv89%
Map 2InfernoMEIA NOITE pick
Turma do Pagode42%2-3vsMEIA NOITE58%2-1
40%Win67%
51%CT40%
45%T78%
70%Pistol50%
57%Conv67%
Map 3Dust2decider
Turma do Pagode49%9-7vsMEIA NOITE51%3-2
56%Win60%
57%CT42%
48%T47%
50%Pistol50%
69%Conv80%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Turma do PagodeAncientMEIA NOITE
64%CT side46%
48%T side39%
64%Pistol64%
96%After win89%
23%After loss40%
Turma do PagodeInfernoMEIA NOITE
51%CT side40%
45%T side78%
70%Pistol50%
57%After win67%
0%After loss33%
Turma do PagodeDust2MEIA NOITE
57%CT side42%
48%T side47%
50%Pistol50%
69%After win80%
25%After loss0%
Pistol rounds59% · 57% · level, no edge
After a won pistol80% · 82% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol22% · 23% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Turma do Pagode vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapTURMEI
MirageTUR ban50%1-133%3-6
Turma do Pagode on Mirage
LDENDELE10–1310d agoWBounty Hunters13–423d ago
MEIA NOITE on Mirage
LBounty Hunters8–1316d agoLex-MIBR Academy13–1623d agoWBORRACHEIROS13–824d agoLODDIK10–1324d agoLBounty Hunters6–1325d agoWMETANOIA Wolves22–201mo agoLBORRACHEIROS4–131mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–61mo ago
AnubisMEI ban50%2-2n/a0g
Turma do Pagode on Anubis
LpaiN6–133d agoLyour end8–1314d agoWBounty Hunters13–94mo agoWKeyd Stars13–115mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Anubis
no recent maps
AncientTUR pick72%13-514%1-6
Turma do Pagode on Ancient
WShindeN13–8todayWALKA16–123d agoWALKA13–103d agoLShindeN9–139d agoLDENDELE12–1610d agoWIsurus13–1112d agoLYawara14–1612d agoWyour end13–414d ago
MEIA NOITE on Ancient
LGrêmio11–1317d agoLProcyon10–1318d agoLex-MIBR Academy5–1323d agoWBORRACHEIROS13–1124d agoLMETANOIA Wolves12–161mo agoLBORRACHEIROS13–161mo agoLGalorys3–132mo ago
InfernoMEI pick40%2-367%2-1
Turma do Pagode on Inferno
WALKA13–53d agoWIsurus16–1412d agoLIsurus9–1322d agoLALKA10–1324d agoLIsurus8–134mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Inferno
LProcyon2–1318d agoWBORRACHEIROS13–101mo agoWpaiN Academy13–21mo ago
NukeTUR ban0%0-550%1-1
Turma do Pagode on Nuke
LShindeN11–13todayLShindeN14–169d agoLGalorys7–134mo agoLBounty Hunters6–134mo agoLBounty Hunters7–135mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Nuke
WGrêmio13–917d agoLGalorys5–132mo ago
CacheMEI ban100%1-00%0-3
Turma do Pagode on Cache
WYawara13–912d ago
MEIA NOITE on Cache
LBounty Hunters4–1316d agoLBounty Hunters5–1325d agoLpaiN Academy11–131mo ago
Dust2decider56%9-760%3-2
Turma do Pagode on Dust2
LShindeN1–13todayWALKA13–13d agoLpaiN11–133d agoLALKA11–133d agoWShindeN16–139d agoWYawara13–712d agoWyour end13–614d agoLIsurus4–1322d ago
MEIA NOITE on Dust2
WGrêmio16–1417d agoLODDIK2–1324d agoLMETANOIA Wolves7–131mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–111mo agoWGalorys13–112mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Turma do Pagode Mirage · MEIA NOITE Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Turma do Pagode

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/30 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 30 maps they won, 8 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 downvs IsurusAncientfrom 7 downvs ALKAAncientfrom 5 downvs ALKAAncientfrom 5 downvs Bounty HuntersDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/24 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 24 maps they lost, 7 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKADust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs DENDELEAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 4 · lost 7-13vs ex-MIBR AcademyAncientled 4 · lost 8-13vs ShindeNNukeled 4 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKADust2led 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs METANOIA WolvesDust216-19vs YawaraAncient14-16vs IsurusInferno16-14vs DENDELEAncient12-16vs ShindeNDust216-13

MEIA NOITE

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/10 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 10 maps they won, 3 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs GrêmioNukefrom 4 downvs BORRACHEIROSAncientfrom 4 downvs METANOIA WolvesMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/19 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 19 maps they lost, 7 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs BORRACHEIROSAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs ODDIKMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs GalorysNukeled 4 · lost 5-13vs ProcyonAncientled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GrêmioNukefrom 4 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi41% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT41% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs BORRACHEIROSAncient13-16vs METANOIA WolvesMirage22-20vs METANOIA WolvesAncient12-16vs GrêmioDust216-14vs ex-MIBR AcademyMirage13-16

Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE FAQ

Who is favored to win Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE?

Turma do Pagode are favored with a 71% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE?

Match odds for Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Turma do Pagode and MEIA NOITE play?

Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE is scheduled for 2026-09-22 21:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2.

Turma do Pagode vs MEIA NOITE Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER