Matches / Upcoming / EXODIA vs Yawara
EXODIA vs Yawara: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2
EXO
EXODIA
World #– · 0-1
VS
2026-09-23 21:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
Yawara
World #168 · 29-35
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
33%67%
26%
3.581.24Market · 5 books
74%The call
Yawara are favoured: our model gives them 67% against EXODIA. Bookmakers lean Yawara at 74%. Record clearly favours Yawara, firepower clearly favours Yawara.
Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsEXODIA · avg 0.76 · star gap +0.3iStar gap: the best player rates 0.3 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Yawara · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
EXODIA
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Map lab
Yawara52%to win the Bo3 · most likely Yawara 2-0
If the veto goes
EXODIA 48%how the series ends52% Yawara
23%2-027%
25%2-125%
EXODIA46%0-1vsYawara54%22-15
0%Win59%
63%CT56%
17%T48%
50%Pistol39%
100%Conv76%
EXODIA50%0-0thinYawara50%21-19
–Win53%
–CT51%
–T48%
–Pistol50%
–Conv80%
EXODIA50%0-0thinYawara50%0-5
–Win0%
–CT48%
–T39%
–Pistol40%
–Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
EXODIADust2Yawara
63%CT side56%
17%T side48%
50%Pistol39%
100%After win76%
0%After loss20%
EXODIAMirageYawara
–CT side51%
–T side48%
–Pistol50%
–After win80%
–After loss5%
EXODIACacheYawara
–CT side48%
–T side39%
–Pistol40%
–After win100%
–After loss17%
Pistol rounds50% · 45% · EXODIA win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol100% · 79% · EXODIA keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 13% · Yawara fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, EXODIA vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapEXOYAW
AnubisEXO bann/a0g40%6-9
NukeYAW bann/a0g20%2-8
EXODIA on Nuke
no recent maps
Dust2EXO pick0%0-159%22-15
MirageYAW pickn/a0g53%21-19
EXODIA on Mirage
no recent maps
AncientEXO ban0%0-142%11-15
InfernoYAW bann/a0g55%6-5
EXODIA on Inferno
no recent maps
Cachedecidern/a0g0%0-5
EXODIA on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: EXODIA Nuke · Yawara Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
EXODIA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/0 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 0 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/2 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni0 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
Yawara
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/71 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 71 maps they won, 19 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs Prison BreakersDust2from 6 downvs Keyd StarsDust2from 6 downvs UNO MILLEMiragefrom 6 downvs IsurusInfernofrom 6 downvs BESTIAMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/81 (23%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 81 maps they lost, 19 (23%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs paiN AcademyDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs ImperialDust2led 5 · lost 10-13vs LegacyMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs Bounty HuntersAncientled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Prison BreakersDust2from 6 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs Prison BreakersDust216-14vs Bounty HuntersMirage16-14vs ImperialMirage14-16vs ImperialNuke17-19vs LPAncient14-16
EXODIA vs Yawara FAQ
Who is favored to win EXODIA vs Yawara?
Yawara are favored with a 67% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for EXODIA vs Yawara?
Bookmakers price EXODIA at 3.58 and Yawara at 1.24 (implied 26% vs 74%).
When do EXODIA and Yawara play?
EXODIA vs Yawara is scheduled for 2026-09-23 21:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2.