Matches / Upcoming / Isurus vs Grêmio
Isurus vs Grêmio: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2
Isurus
World #158 · 40-32
VS
2026-09-23 21:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
Grêmio
World #207 · 4-11
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
75%25%
70%
1.323.1Market · 4 books
30%The call · high confidence
Isurus are favoured: our model gives them 75% against Grêmio. Bookmakers lean Isurus at 70%. Strength clearly favours Isurus, record slightly favours Isurus, form clearly favours Isurus, firepower slightly favours Isurus, head-to-head clearly favours Isurus.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Nuke
Firepower
roster ratingsIsurus · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Grêmio · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balencyy★ | 0.98 | 81.7 | 70.3% | 55% | 1.14 |
| souz4h | 0.92 | 70.6 | 69% | 56% | 1.02 |
| MITHPUTTINI | 1.01 | 64.6 | 68.1% | 36% | 0.99 |
| s1lent | 0.89 | 66.9 | 68.4% | 53% | 0.98 |
| yeda | 0.83 | 62.1 | 66.2% | 59% | 0.95 |
Recent form
Isurus
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
BESTIA#651-40-2
Grêmio vs BESTIA
Aug 6LInferno6-13Dust27-13
ODDIK#1402-30-2
Grêmio vs ODDIK
Aug 30LAncient9-13Cache3-13
Procyon#1735-62-1
Isurus vs Procyon
May 21WMirage13-8Dust213-7Apr 4WDust213-8Inferno16-13Mar 11WDust213-4+3 earlier meetings
Grêmio vs Procyon
Aug 9WNuke5-13Dust213-10Inferno13-2
Keyd Stars#1833-50-4
METANOIA Wolves#2261-22-0
Isurus vs METANOIA Wolves
Sep 22LDust27-13Cache13-10Nuke8-13Grêmio vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 20WDust213-5Nuke13-3
paiN Academy2-14-5
Isurus vs paiN Academy
Aug 26WMirage6-13Inferno13-10Cache13-10
Patins da Ferrari2-10-2
Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari
Jul 24WCache16-14Ancient4-13Dust213-6Grêmio vs Patins da Ferrari
Jul 17LCache14-16Mirage8-13Map lab
Isurus61%to win the Bo3 · most likely Isurus 2-0
If the veto goes
Isurus 61%how the series ends39% Grêmio
39%2-013%
21%2-127%
Isurus72%30-20vsGrêmio28%3-6
60%Win33%
55%CT48%
51%T47%
45%Pistol67%
76%Conv75%
Isurus55%22-15vsGrêmio45%5-4
59%Win56%
51%CT43%
55%T54%
50%Pistol56%
89%Conv70%
Isurus45%10-18vsGrêmio55%2-3
36%Win40%
48%CT61%
47%T42%
52%Pistol50%
97%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
IsurusDust2Grêmio
55%CT side48%
51%T side47%
45%Pistol67%
76%After win75%
25%After loss17%
IsurusInfernoGrêmio
51%CT side43%
55%T side54%
50%Pistol56%
89%After win70%
38%After loss13%
IsurusNukeGrêmio
48%CT side61%
47%T side42%
52%Pistol50%
97%After win100%
26%After loss20%
Pistol rounds48% · 59% · Grêmio win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol86% · 78% · Isurus keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol29% · 16% · Isurus fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Isurus vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapISUGRÊ
AnubisISU ban0%0-1n/a0g
Isurus on Anubis
L
FURIA fe4–137mo agoGrêmio on Anubis
no recent maps
MirageGRÊ ban52%13-1217%1-5
Dust2ISU pick60%30-2033%3-6
InfernoGRÊ pick59%22-1556%5-4
AncientISU ban43%9-1225%1-3
CacheGRÊ ban71%5-225%1-3
Each team's usual first ban: Isurus Anubis · Grêmio Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Isurus
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/92 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 92 maps they won, 34 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs Patins da FerrariCachefrom 10 downvs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 7 downvs FOLHA AMARELAInfernofrom 6 downvs CrashersDust2from 6 downvs R2Overpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/83 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 83 maps they lost, 21 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-KRÜMirageled 8 · lost 11-13vs ShindeNNukeled 7 · lost 9-13vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs YawaraInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs PeladonaInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Patins da FerrariCachefrom 10 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-KRÜMirageled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs FURIA feMirage16-13vs UNO MILLENuke12-16vs R2Overpass19-15vs RED Canids AcademyDust214-16vs ProcyonInferno16-13
Grêmio
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/13 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 13 maps they won, 4 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs ALKANukefrom 10 downvs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 6 downvs paiN AcademyDust2from 4 downvs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/24 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 24 maps they lost, 10 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Patins da FerrariMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs ALKAAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Keyd StarsMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs Patins da FerrariCacheled 4 · lost 14-16vs paiN AcademyNukeled 4 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ALKANukefrom 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Patins da FerrariMirageled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi41% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT41% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs Patins da FerrariCache14-16vs paiN AcademyNuke13-16vs paiN AcademyInferno22-18vs MEIA NOITEDust214-16
Isurus vs Grêmio FAQ
Who is favored to win Isurus vs Grêmio?
Isurus are favored with a 75% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Isurus vs Grêmio?
Bookmakers price Isurus at 1.32 and Grêmio at 3.1 (implied 70% vs 30%).
When do Isurus and Grêmio play?
Isurus vs Grêmio is scheduled for 2026-09-23 21:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2.