Matches / Upcoming / FRZ vs Overtake Sector

FRZ vs Overtake Sector: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2

FRZ
World # · 2-6
VS
2026-09-23 01:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
Overtake Sector
World #147 · 15-13
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
37%
Win probability
63%
The call

Overtake Sector are favoured: our model gives them 63% against FRZ. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Overtake Sector, record slightly favours Overtake Sector, form slightly favours Overtake Sector, firepower clearly favours Overtake Sector.

Likely mapsInferno · Mirage · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

FRZ · avg 1 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Sharpie0.9483.165.9%56%1.17
brawckzz1.0677.869.9%46%1.08
toasty0.9476.967.8%56%0.98
BATSPEED0.8559.767.1%65%0.96
Jachro0.6558.762.3%46%0.79

Overtake Sector · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Umar1.1176.173.1%37%1.2
intra1.0183.773.4%57%1.16
jason1.0276.273.8%47%1.12
corim175.373.1%56%1.09
LEARSI0.8763.771.4%57%0.96

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

Overtake Sector57%to win the Bo3 · most likely Overtake Sector 2-0
If the veto goes
FRZ 43%how the series ends57% Overtake Sector
16%2-033%
26%2-124%
Map 1InfernoFRZ pick
FRZ52%2-2vsOvertake Sector48%6-7
50%Win46%
65%CT52%
38%T50%
38%Pistol42%
100%Conv73%
Map 2MirageOvertake Sect… pick
FRZ31%1-3vsOvertake Sector69%13-7
25%Win65%
37%CT66%
54%T46%
100%Pistol53%
88%Conv76%
Map 3Ancientdecider
FRZ52%2-4vsOvertake Sector48%4-8
33%Win33%
53%CT58%
29%T40%
42%Pistol38%
100%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

FRZInfernoOvertake Sector
65%CT side52%
38%T side50%
38%Pistol42%
100%After win73%
60%After loss7%
FRZMirageOvertake Sector
37%CT side66%
54%T side46%
100%Pistol53%
88%After win76%
After loss21%
FRZAncientOvertake Sector
53%CT side58%
29%T side40%
42%Pistol38%
100%After win100%
14%After loss13%
Pistol rounds57% · 46% · FRZ win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol94% · 80% · FRZ keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol33% · 14% · FRZ fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FRZ vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFRZOVE
AnubisFRZ ban0%0-275%3-1
NukeOVE ban100%1-0n/a0g
FRZ on Nuke
WF51394mo ago
Overtake Sector on Nuke
no recent maps
InfernoFRZ pick50%2-246%6-7
MirageOVE pick25%1-365%13-7
Dust2FRZ ban50%1-145%5-6
CacheOVE bann/a0g75%3-1
Ancientdecider33%2-433%4-8
Each team's usual first ban: FRZ Overpass · Overtake Sector Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

FRZ

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/7 (71%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 7 maps they won, 5 (71%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 71% of their wins were comebacks, not 71% of all games.vs NXGAncientfrom 8 downvs F5Nukefrom 6 downvs NXGDust2from 5 downvs F5Infernofrom 3 downvs Reign AboveAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/12 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 12 maps they lost, 6 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs F5Ancientled 6 · lost 10-13vs MarsborneAncientled 4 · lost 11-13vs Reign AboveMirageled 4 · lost 10-13vs F5Mirageled 3 · lost 10-13vs WildcardMirageled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NXGAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs F5Ancientled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi47% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT47% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

Overtake Sector

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/35 (49%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 35 maps they won, 17 (49%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 49% of their wins were comebacks, not 49% of all games.vs NuToriousMiragefrom 10 downvs F5Miragefrom 7 downvs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 downvs VillainousMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIREMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/31 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 31 maps they lost, 14 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs Wanted GoonsAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs LAGMirageled 4 · lost 11-13vs NuToriousInfernoled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NuToriousMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs ex-AetherAncient12-16vs MarsborneMirage20-22vs BrahmasAnubis16-12vs VillainousMirage16-14vs Iowa StormboarAncient14-16

FRZ vs Overtake Sector FAQ

Who is favored to win FRZ vs Overtake Sector?

Overtake Sector are favored with a 63% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for FRZ vs Overtake Sector?

Match odds for FRZ vs Overtake Sector aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do FRZ and Overtake Sector play?

FRZ vs Overtake Sector is scheduled for 2026-09-23 01:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2.