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LAG vs DETONATE: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2

LAG
World #98 · 54-27
VS
2026-09-24 01:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
DETONATE
World #205 · 7-13
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
84%
Win probability
16%
74%
1.253.49Market · 3 booksBookmakerLAGDETThunderpick Row1.233.62GGBet1.253.49Sweatbet 1.253.49
26%
The call · high confidence

LAG are favoured: our model gives them 84% against DETONATE. Bookmakers lean LAG at 74%. Strength clearly favours LAG, record clearly favours LAG, form slightly favours LAG, firepower clearly favours LAG, head-to-head clearly favours LAG.

Likely mapsInferno · Cache · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

LAG · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Cryptic★1.0584.274.2%57%1.23
SLIGHT1.1574.873.4%28%1.17
Bwills1.0173.774.3%57%1.12
djay1.0475.874.5%51%1.12
Sandman1.037474%56%1.11

DETONATE · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.27iStar gap: the best player rates 0.27 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
TH0R★1.3988.178.9%46%1.38
CrePoW1.0982.364.6%35%1.12
tatm0.927568.4%56%1.06
chante170.467.8%54%1.03
carN0.8468.165.6%56%0.97

Recent form

LAG

KODEXtoday2-0Zomblerstoday2-1FarmVillePistolsPist3/43d ago2-0Olympus4d ago2-1SportsBetExpert5d ago0-2Without a Roof10d ago1-2Iowa StormboarStompStomp13-210d ago2-1Overtake Sector11d ago2-1NuToriousPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT11d ago2-0Without a Roof12d ago1-2regainPistolsPist3/412d ago2-0For Fun17d ago2-1Marsborne17d ago0-2DETONATEPistolsPist0/2OvertimeOT18d ago16-12Beyond LimitsPistolsPist2/219d ago13-4

DETONATE

Club 333PistolsPist5/6ComebackCB6today2-1OlympusUpsetUpset3d ago0-2my life be like6d ago2-0Overtake Sector8d ago1-2SportsBetExpertOvertimeOT11d ago1-2regain16d ago0-2Overtake Sector17d ago1-2FarmVillePistolsPist0/217d ago13-9LAGPistolsPist2/2OvertimeOT18d ago12-16NuToriousOvertimeOT19d ago16-14SportsBetExpertPistolsPist3/424d ago0-2LAG24d ago4-13regain24d ago13-8Villainous27d ago1-2NuToriousPistolsPist3/428d ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
18d ago LAG16 : 12 DETONATE!
⚠ Different lineup
DETONATE
outFeral, Maxuel
inCrePoW, TH0R
24d ago LAG13 : 4 DETONATE!
⚠ Different lineup
DETONATE
outMaxuel
inTH0R
SportsBetExpert#718-101-4
LAG vs SportsBetExpert
Sep 18LMirage8-13Dust27-13Aug 31WAnubis16-13Nuke6-13Mirage7-13Dust213-2Aug 1LInferno6-13Dust213-9Nuke4-13
+3 earlier meetings
DETONATE vs SportsBetExpert
Sep 12LCache16-12Mirage8-13Nuke3-13Aug 30LInferno7-13Cache10-13
Overtake Sector#1254-12-4
LAG vs Overtake Sector
Sep 12WMirage11-13Inferno13-5Dust213-8Jul 10WMirage13-11Inferno13-9
DETONATE vs Overtake Sector
Sep 15LCache13-11Mirage3-13Inferno6-13Sep 6LCache9-13Mirage13-8Inferno4-13
regain#1632-01-2
LAG vs regain
Sep 11WInferno13-8Dust213-3
DETONATE vs regain
Sep 7LAncient7-13Inferno10-13Aug 30WInferno13-8
Olympus#1642-30-2
LAG vs Olympus
Sep 19WAnubis9-13Dust213-7Nuke13-10Jun 13LAncient11-13Nuke8-13
DETONATE vs Olympus
Sep 20LAncient11-13Inferno5-13
Iowa Stormboar#1774-13-3
LAG vs Iowa Stormboar
Sep 13WMirage7-13Nuke13-6Anubis13-2Jul 30WNuke13-4Inferno13-5
DETONATE vs Iowa Stormboar
Jun 14LMirage16-14Anubis9-13Nuke2-13Jun 12WNuke13-7Dust25-13Mirage13-10
NuTorious#2024-01-2
LAG vs NuTorious
Sep 12WMirage13-8Nuke16-13Mar 29WNuke13-7Inferno13-6
DETONATE vs NuTorious
Sep 4WCache16-14Aug 26LInferno10-13Mirage11-13
FarmVille#2038-01-0
LAG vs FarmVille
Sep 20WDust213-4Inferno13-5Apr 3Wseries2-0Feb 23WInferno13-9Dust213-2
+1 earlier meeting
DETONATE vs FarmVille
Sep 6WInferno13-9
Wanted Goons#2306-12-0
LAG vs Wanted Goons
May 30WNuke13-8Dust213-9Mar 21WOverpass8-13Dust213-9Ancient13-9Mar 9WAncient13-7Dust213-8
DETONATE vs Wanted Goons
Jun 13WAnubis13-9Ancient16-14

Map lab

LAG75%to win the Bo3 · most likely LAG 2-0
If the veto goes
LAG 75%how the series ends25% DETONATE
40%2-010%
35%2-115%
Map 1InfernoLAG pick
LAG80%32-18vsDETONATE20%3-8
64%Win27%
54%CT42%
58%T44%
43%Pistol55%
86%Conv83%
Map 2CacheDETONATE pick
LAG50%0-0thinDETONATE50%4-2
–Win67%
–CT62%
–T36%
–Pistol67%
–Conv88%
Map 3Nukedecider
LAG70%20-8vsDETONATE30%3-3
71%Win50%
57%CT52%
56%T44%
52%Pistol25%
93%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

LAGInfernoDETONATE
54%CT side42%
58%T side44%
43%Pistol55%
86%After win83%
32%After loss0%
LAGCacheDETONATE
–CT side62%
–T side36%
–Pistol67%
–After win88%
–After loss0%
LAGNukeDETONATE
57%CT side52%
56%T side44%
52%Pistol25%
93%After win100%
26%After loss11%
Pistol rounds46% · 50% · DETONATE win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol89% · 87% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol30% · 4% · LAG fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, LAG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

DETONATE habitually bans Dust2 & Ancient, two of LAG's strongest maps (Dust2, Inferno, Nuke, Ancient all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 12/20, Ancient 11/20), not an opponent read, so expect LAG to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapLAGDET
MirageLAG ban50%12-1238%3-5
LAG on Mirage
WZomblers13–8todayLSportsBetExpert8–135d agoLWithout a Roof11–1310d agoLIowa Stormboar7–1310d agoLOvertake Sector11–1311d agoWNuTorious13–811d agoLSportsBetExpert7–1323d agoWDETONATE13–424d ago
DETONATE on Mirage
LOvertake Sector3–138d agoLSportsBetExpert8–1311d agoWOvertake Sector13–817d agoLLAG4–1324d agoLVillainous8–1327d agoLNuTorious11–1328d agoWIowa Stormboar16–143mo agoWIowa Stormboar13–103mo ago
Dust2DET ban74%26-90%0-1
LAG on Dust2
WZomblers13–11todayWFarmVille13–43d agoWOlympus13–74d agoLSportsBetExpert7–135d agoWOvertake Sector13–811d agoLWithout a Roof7–1312d agoWregain13–312d agoLFor Fun10–1317d ago
DETONATE on Dust2
LIowa Stormboar5–133mo ago
InfernoLAG pick64%32-1827%3-8
LAG on Inferno
LZomblers11–13todayWFarmVille13–53d agoWOvertake Sector13–511d agoLWithout a Roof10–1312d agoWregain13–812d agoLMarsborne9–1317d agoLSportsBetExpert6–132mo agoWIowa Stormboar13–52mo ago
DETONATE on Inferno
LClub 33311–13todayLOlympus5–133d agoLOvertake Sector6–138d agoLregain10–1316d agoLOvertake Sector4–1317d agoWFarmVille13–917d agoLSportsBetExpert7–1324d agoWregain13–824d ago
CacheDET pickn/a0g67%4-2
LAG on Cache
no recent maps
DETONATE on Cache
WClub 33313–10todayWOvertake Sector13–118d agoWSportsBetExpert16–1211d agoLOvertake Sector9–1317d agoWNuTorious16–1419d agoLSportsBetExpert10–1324d ago
AnubisLAG ban45%5-617%1-5
LAG on Anubis
LOlympus9–134d agoWIowa Stormboar13–210d agoWDETONATE16–1218d agoWBeyond Limits13–419d agoWSportsBetExpert16–1323d agoLSportsBetExpert11–134mo agoLFisher College11–136mo agoLEMPIRE9–136mo ago
DETONATE on Anubis
LLAG12–1618d agoLVillainous6–1327d agoLVillainous4–133mo agoLIowa Stormboar9–133mo agoWWanted Goons13–93mo agoLFestina Lente11–133mo ago
AncientDET ban66%19-1050%2-2
LAG on Ancient
WKODEX13–9todayWWithout a Roof13–310d agoWWithout a Roof13–912d agoWFor Fun13–817d agoWWithout a Roof13–624d agoLMarsborne5–132mo agoLM806–132mo agoLOlympus11–133mo ago
DETONATE on Ancient
LOlympus11–133d agoWmy life be like13–106d agoLregain7–1316d agoWWanted Goons16–143mo ago
Nukedecider71%20-850%3-3
LAG on Nuke
WKODEX13–6todayWOlympus13–104d agoLWithout a Roof9–1310d agoWIowa Stormboar13–610d agoWNuTorious16–1311d agoWFor Fun13–917d agoLSportsBetExpert6–1323d agoWWithout a Roof13–724d ago
DETONATE on Nuke
WClub 33313–5todayWmy life be like13–36d agoLSportsBetExpert3–1311d agoLIowa Stormboar2–133mo agoLFestina Lente7–133mo agoWIowa Stormboar13–73mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: LAG Anubis · DETONATE Dust2.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

LAG

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i42/117 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 117 maps they won, 42 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs FarmVilleDust2from 9 downvs mouseDust2from 8 downvs Wanted GoonsDust2from 6 downvs SurgeDust2from 6 downvs KODEXAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/68 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 68 maps they lost, 26 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs mouseInfernoled 8 · lost 16-19vs BOSSNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs BOSSNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs WildcardMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs Fisher CollegeMirageled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FarmVilleDust2from 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs mouseInfernoled 8 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs WildcardInferno13-16vs FarmVilleInferno19-16vs BOSSNuke17-19vs mouseDust216-14vs BOSSInferno16-14

DETONATE

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/16 (56%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 16 maps they won, 9 (56%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 56% of their wins were comebacks, not 56% of all games.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 9 downvs Club 333Cachefrom 6 downvs Iowa StormboarMiragefrom 5 downvs Overtake SectorMiragefrom 5 downvs Wanted GoonsAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/26 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 26 maps they lost, 11 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Festina LenteAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs NuToriousInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs Overtake SectorCacheled 4 · lost 9-13vs regainInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs Overtake SectorInfernoled 4 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Festina LenteAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs Wanted GoonsAncient16-14vs Iowa StormboarMirage16-14vs NuToriousCache16-14vs LAGAnubis12-16vs SportsBetExpertCache16-12

LAG vs DETONATE FAQ

Who is favored to win LAG vs DETONATE?

LAG are favored with a 84% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for LAG vs DETONATE?

Bookmakers price LAG at 1.25 and DETONATE at 3.49 (implied 74% vs 26%).

When do LAG and DETONATE play?

LAG vs DETONATE is scheduled for 2026-09-24 01:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2.