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Matches / Upcoming / paiN Academy vs Sementes do Mal

paiN Academy vs Sementes do Mal: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 South America Series 6

paiN Academy
World #– · 30-44
VS
2026-09-23 22:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · Best of 3
Sementes do Mal
World #– · 0-5
CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · Best of 3
65%
Win probability
35%
The call · high confidence

paiN Academy are favoured: our model gives them 65% against Sementes do Mal. No odds yet. Record clearly favours paiN Academy, form clearly favours paiN Academy, firepower clearly favours paiN Academy.

Likely mapsMirage · Cache · Anubis

Firepower

roster ratings

paiN Academy · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Misfit★1.1778.372.2%38%1.17
Rkzinho1.1175.572.6%62%1.14
Tatu0.9975.471%62%1.11
shazn0.8464.271.9%46%0.96
tsug0.865.568.3%56%0.95

Sementes do Mal · avg 0.82 · star gap +0.25iStar gap: the best player rates 0.25 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
terran★0.9577.964.2%57%1.07
Kaiserzy0.6561.358.8%57%0.84
coxa0.761.157.7%53%0.81
Mrd0.655755.3%53%0.72
Aker0.5859.459.6%62%0.68

Recent form

paiN Academy

YawaraComebackCB7OvertimeOT17d ago1-2Grêmio18d ago2-1DAMAJUANAPistolsPist4/421d ago2-0IsurusBlew leadBL725d ago1-2Imperial26d ago0-2PeladonaOvertimeOT26d ago0-2QUINTESSÊNCIA1mo ago1-2ALKA1mo ago0-2METANOIA Wolves1mo ago2-0Keyd Stars1mo ago1-2UNO MILLEUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0ALKAPistolsPist3/4Blew leadBL91mo ago0-2MEIA NOITEStompStomp2-132mo ago2-1GrêmioOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2Fluxo2mo ago0-2

Sementes do Mal

QUINTESSÊNCIA1d ago0-2RUSH2d ago0-2Mansão Maromba20d ago0-2MEIA NOITE24d ago0-2GrêmioStompStomp2-1325d ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
QUINTESSÊNCIA#1591-20-2
paiN Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA
Aug 16LCache10-13Anubis13-4Dust28-13
Sementes do Mal vs QUINTESSÊNCIA
Sep 19LCache5-13Mirage3-13
Grêmio#1905-40-2
paiN Academy vs Grêmio
Sep 2WMirage13-9Inferno11-13Dust213-7Aug 4LInferno18-22Mirage13-7Cache10-13Jul 22WNuke16-13Dust29-13Cache13-4
Sementes do Mal vs Grêmio
Aug 26LInferno6-13Mirage2-13
MEIA NOITE2-10-2
paiN Academy vs MEIA NOITE
Aug 6WMirage13-8Inferno2-13Cache13-11
Sementes do Mal vs MEIA NOITE
Aug 27Lseries0-2

Map lab

paiN Academy62%to win the Bo3 · most likely paiN Academy 2-0
If the veto goes
paiN Academy 62%how the series ends38% Sementes do Mal
38%2-014%
24%2-124%
Map 1MiragepaiN Academy pick
paiN Academy64%21-23vsSementes do Mal36%0-3
48%Win0%
58%CT26%
44%T24%
53%Pistol17%
81%Conv100%
Map 2CacheSementes do M… pick
paiN Academy60%3-6vsSementes do Mal40%0-3
33%Win0%
53%CT48%
41%T28%
33%Pistol33%
100%Conv100%
Map 3Anubisdecider
paiN Academy50%14-9thinSementes do Mal50%0-0
61%Win–
51%CT–
58%T–
52%Pistol–
88%Conv–

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

paiN AcademyMirageSementes do Mal
58%CT side26%
44%T side24%
53%Pistol17%
81%After win100%
15%After loss20%
paiN AcademyCacheSementes do Mal
53%CT side48%
41%T side28%
33%Pistol33%
100%After win100%
17%After loss25%
paiN AcademyAnubisSementes do Mal
51%CT side–
58%T side–
52%Pistol–
88%After win–
14%After loss–
Pistol rounds51% · 25% · paiN Academy win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 100% · Sementes do Mal keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol15% · 22% · Sementes do Mal fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, paiN Academy vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPAISEM
AncientPAI ban0%0-3n/a0g
paiN Academy on Ancient
LUNO MILLE5–132mo agoLDASH0–137mo agoLGameHunters7–137mo ago
Sementes do Mal on Ancient
no recent maps
NukeSEM ban33%7-14n/a0g
paiN Academy on Nuke
WDAMAJUANA13–421d agoLImperial3–1326d agoLKeyd Stars4–131mo agoWUNO MILLE13–101mo agoLALKA13–161mo agoLFluxo6–132mo agoWGrêmio16–132mo agoLFake do Biru8–132mo ago
Sementes do Mal on Nuke
no recent maps
MiragePAI pick48%21-230%0-3
paiN Academy on Mirage
LYawara10–1317d agoWGrêmio13–918d agoWDAMAJUANA13–421d agoWIsurus13–625d agoLImperial6–1326d agoLPeladona14–1626d agoWKeyd Stars13–31mo agoLALKA16–191mo ago
Sementes do Mal on Mirage
LQUINTESSÊNCIA3–131d agoLRUSH8–132d agoLGrêmio2–1325d ago
CacheSEM pick33%3-60%0-3
paiN Academy on Cache
LIsurus10–1325d agoLQUINTESSÊNCIA10–131mo agoLALKA7–131mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–111mo agoWMEIA NOITE13–112mo agoLGrêmio10–132mo agoLFluxo3–132mo agoWGrêmio13–42mo ago
Sementes do Mal on Cache
LQUINTESSÊNCIA5–131d agoLRUSH7–132d agoLMansão Maromba10–1320d ago
InfernoPAI ban48%10-110%0-1
paiN Academy on Inferno
LGrêmio11–1318d agoLIsurus10–1325d agoLMEIA NOITE2–132mo agoLGrêmio18–222mo agoWRed Feet19–163mo agoLBESTIA Academy7–133mo agoLALKA8–133mo agoWex-KRÜ13–84mo ago
Sementes do Mal on Inferno
LGrêmio6–1325d ago
Dust2SEM ban37%18-310%0-1
paiN Academy on Dust2
WYawara16–1317d agoWGrêmio13–718d agoLPeladona3–1326d agoLQUINTESSÊNCIA8–131mo agoLALKA8–131mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–71mo agoLGrêmio9–132mo agoLProcyon8–132mo ago
Sementes do Mal on Dust2
LMansão Maromba9–1320d ago
Anubisdecider61%14-9n/a0g
paiN Academy on Anubis
LYawara16–1917d agoWQUINTESSÊNCIA13–41mo agoLKeyd Stars6–131mo agoWUNO MILLE16–141mo agoLODDIK5–132mo agoLUNO MILLE11–132mo agoWFake do Biru13–92mo agoWFluxo13–13mo ago
Sementes do Mal on Anubis
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: paiN Academy Ancient · Sementes do Mal Nuke.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

paiN Academy

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/75 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 75 maps they won, 21 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs FluxoAnubisfrom 12 downvs FURIA feMiragefrom 8 downvs YawaraDust2from 7 downvs Fake do BiruAnubisfrom 6 downvs Red FeetInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/103 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 103 maps they lost, 29 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKANukeled 9 · lost 13-16vs IsurusInfernoled 7 · lost 10-13vs R2Nukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs VascoDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs FluxoNukeled 6 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FluxoAnubisfrom 12 down · won 13-1
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKANukeled 9 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs CharradosInferno13-16vs Bad LuckNuke16-12vs ex-KRÜDust216-13vs UNO MILLEMirage17-19vs UNO MILLEMirage14-16

Sementes do Mal

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/0 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 0 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/8 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 8 maps they lost, 2 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Mansão MarombaDust2led 4 · lost 9-13vs RUSHMirageled 3 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Mansão MarombaDust2led 4 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini6.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi13% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT13% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

paiN Academy vs Sementes do Mal FAQ

Who is favored to win paiN Academy vs Sementes do Mal?

paiN Academy are favored with a 65% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for paiN Academy vs Sementes do Mal?

Match odds for paiN Academy vs Sementes do Mal aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do paiN Academy and Sementes do Mal play?

paiN Academy vs Sementes do Mal is scheduled for 2026-09-23 22:00 UTC at CCT 2026 South America Series 6.

paiN Academy vs Sementes do Mal Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER