Matches / Upcoming / MARKandLARRY vs Arcade
MARKandLARRY vs Arcade: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2
MAR
MARKandLARRY
World #– · 5-10
VS
2026-09-24 09:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2 · Best of 3
Arcade
World #198 · 13-20
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2 · Best of 3
48%52%
35%
2.661.43Market · 8 books
65%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 48–52. Bookmakers lean Arcade at 65%. Form slightly favours Arcade, firepower slightly favours Arcade.
Likely mapsMirage · Nuke · Inferno
Firepower
roster ratingsMARKandLARRY · avg 0.99 · star gap +0.02iStar gap: the best player rates 0.02 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sav★ | 0.84 | 67.9 | 68% | 60% | 1.01 |
| zeph | 0.86 | 74.6 | 67% | 57% | 1.01 |
| BRACE | 0.84 | 73.7 | 63.6% | 61% | 1 |
| yourwombat | 0.98 | 67.3 | 65.2% | 34% | 0.98 |
| micalis | 0.84 | 61.9 | 66.1% | 59% | 0.95 |
Arcade · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.2iStar gap: the best player rates 0.2 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| foggers★ | 1.35 | 85.3 | 78% | 67% | 1.32 |
| N1ghtraid | 1.13 | 75.3 | 70.4% | 36% | 1.11 |
| 74LOR | 1.01 | 73.1 | 72% | 59% | 1.09 |
| Kras | 0.92 | 75.8 | 69.5% | 57% | 1.08 |
| Mechanical | 0.84 | 67.6 | 69.4% | 51% | 0.98 |
Recent form
MARKandLARRY
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Ground Zero#1190-43-5
Arcade vs Ground Zero
Aug 31LNuke3-13Jul 17LMirage13-10Dust26-13Nuke7-13Jul 17LDust27-13+1 earlier meeting
Abyssal#1502-15-8
MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal
Jun 12WInferno7-13Overpass13-6Mirage13-8Arcade vs Abyssal
Aug 7LMirage6-13Inferno14-16Aug 5LMirage10-13Nuke13-7Cache11-13Apr 11LOverpass10-13Nuke13-11Mirage7-13+2 earlier meetings
Rooster#1651-63-7
MARKandLARRY vs Rooster
Aug 29LDust216-12Mirage11-13Inferno8-13Aug 26LInferno2-13Anubis4-13Jun 8LMirage2-13Anubis10-13Arcade vs Rooster
Aug 30WNuke7-13Inferno13-3Mirage13-5Apr 7LDust210-13Nuke13-11Overpass10-13Mar 24LMirage8-13Overpass12-16+1 earlier meeting
Mindfreak#1900-48-9
Arcade vs Mindfreak
Aug 29WNuke13-9Mirage11-13Inferno13-8Aug 26LNuke5-13Inferno13-8Mirage5-13Apr 6WNuke22-18Dust27-13Mirage13-5+3 earlier meetings
DXA1-23-2
MARKandLARRY vs DXA
Jun 16LAnubis16-13Inferno5-13Overpass4-13MGLMGLBROS2-02-0
MARKandLARRY vs MGLBROS
Jun 9WDust213-6Inferno13-7Arcade vs MGLBROS
Apr 11WAnubis13-5Nuke13-6Map lab
Arcade61%to win the Bo3 · most likely Arcade 2-1
If the veto goes
MARKandLARRY 39%how the series ends61% Arcade
33%2-018%
6%2-143%
MARKandLARRY64%4-3vsArcade36%6-9
57%Win40%
61%CT49%
43%T43%
14%Pistol40%
50%Conv83%
MARKandLARRY51%4-3vsArcade49%11-9
57%Win55%
59%CT56%
39%T43%
43%Pistol48%
100%Conv89%
MARKandLARRY13%1-6vsArcade87%7-3
14%Win70%
39%CT57%
37%T61%
36%Pistol60%
80%Conv83%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
MARKandLARRYMirageArcade
61%CT side49%
43%T side43%
14%Pistol40%
50%After win83%
17%After loss0%
MARKandLARRYNukeArcade
59%CT side56%
39%T side43%
43%Pistol48%
100%After win89%
13%After loss14%
MARKandLARRYInfernoArcade
39%CT side57%
37%T side61%
36%Pistol60%
80%After win83%
33%After loss0%
Pistol rounds31% · 48% · Arcade win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol85% · 86% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol21% · 6% · MARKandLARRY fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MARKandLARRY vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMARARC
AnubisMAR ban25%1-333%1-2
AncientARC bann/a0g25%1-3
MARKandLARRY on Ancient
no recent maps
MirageMAR pick57%4-340%6-9
NukeARC pick57%4-355%11-9
CacheMAR ban0%0-167%4-2
MARKandLARRY on Cache
LLFO 89–131d agoDust2ARC ban33%2-427%3-8
Infernodecider14%1-670%7-3
Each team's usual first ban: MARKandLARRY Ancient · Arcade Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
MARKandLARRY
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/13 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 13 maps they won, 5 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs DXAAnubisfrom 4 downvs BBBMBCBSMiragefrom 3 downvs VantageNukefrom 3 downvs LFO 8Nukefrom 3 downvs RoosterDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/21 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 21 maps they lost, 7 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MindfreakDust2led 7 · lost 17-19vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 9-13vs RoosterInfernoled 5 · lost 8-13vs FURYDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs LFO 8Cacheled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs DXAAnubisfrom 4 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MindfreakDust2led 7 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini6.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi21% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT21% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs MindfreakDust217-19vs Ground ZeroDust213-16vs DXAAnubis16-13vs RoosterDust216-12
Arcade
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i15/35 (43%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 35 maps they won, 15 (43%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 43% of their wins were comebacks, not 43% of all games.vs AbyssalNukefrom 8 downvs FrujuInfernofrom 6 downvs MindfreakInfernofrom 5 downvs RoosterNukefrom 5 downvs DXADust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/42 (48%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 42 maps they lost, 20 (48%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Ground ZeroNukeled 11 · lost 3-13vs RoosterOverpassled 7 · lost 13-16vs AbyssalCacheled 7 · lost 11-13vs 5dadsDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs madlikewizardsMirageled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AbyssalNukefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Ground ZeroNukeled 11 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs AbyssalMirage16-13vs MindfreakDust216-19vs Ground ZeroDust219-16vs RoosterNuke14-16vs RoosterOverpass13-16
MARKandLARRY vs Arcade FAQ
Who is favored to win MARKandLARRY vs Arcade?
Arcade are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for MARKandLARRY vs Arcade?
Bookmakers price MARKandLARRY at 2.66 and Arcade at 1.43 (implied 35% vs 65%).
When do MARKandLARRY and Arcade play?
MARKandLARRY vs Arcade is scheduled for 2026-09-24 09:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2.