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BASEMENT BOYS vs GBC: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · LeonBet Masters Season 1

BASEMENT BOYS
World #97 · 42-38
VS
2026-09-24 15:00 UTC
LeonBet Masters Season 1 · Best of 3
GBC
World #– · 0-2
LeonBet Masters Season 1 · Best of 3
88%
Win probability · thin data
12%
88%
1.057.5Market · 2 booksBookmakerBASGBCGGBet1.057.5Sweatbet 1.057.5
12%
The call · high confidence

BASEMENT BOYS are favoured: our model gives them 88% against GBC. Bookmakers lean BASEMENT BOYS at 88%. Strength clearly favours BASEMENT BOYS, record clearly favours BASEMENT BOYS, form clearly favours BASEMENT BOYS, firepower clearly favours BASEMENT BOYS.

Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

BASEMENT BOYS · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
OWNER★1.0680.971.4%53%1.16
Tr0ublE1.147271%37%1.13
kAlash0.9573.272.1%63%1.08
maggent171.373.9%54%1.08
kr1vda0.9266.671.2%56%1.05

GBC · avg 0.76 · star gap +0.18iStar gap: the best player rates 0.18 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
winnipuxx999★0.827452.1%46%0.94
coldpera0.6768.162.5%63%0.89
rickangel0.6658.456.2%70%0.77
SEN1K0.575455.3%73%0.64
oxygen0.5256.651.6%60%0.55

Recent form

BASEMENT BOYS

MOUZ NXTPistolsPist3/415d ago2-0WBT Academy15d ago2-1mellren16d ago2-1VexarPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-217d ago2-0Dark Moon17d ago2-0EACBlew leadBL625d ago1-2QUAZAROvertimeOT27d ago1-2LavkedStompStomp2-1327d ago2-1EACOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2INOX DivisionOvertimeOT1mo ago2-1BAKS1mo ago2-1SINQUPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-01mo ago2-0Lavked1mo ago0-2Phantom Academy1mo ago2-11win2mo ago0-2

GBC

Famalicão5d ago0-2LPStompStomp1-135d ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Map lab

BASEMENT BOYS53%to win the Bo3 · most likely BASEMENT BOYS 2-0
If the veto goes
BASEMENT BOYS 53%how the series ends47% GBC
28%2-022%
25%2-125%
Map 1NukeBASEMENT BOYS pick
BASEMENT BOYS53%22-22vsGBC47%0-1
50%Win0%
54%CT8%
47%T0%
56%Pistol0%
84%Conv–
Map 2MirageGBC pick
BASEMENT BOYS54%18-14vsGBC46%0-1
56%Win0%
53%CT38%
48%T33%
50%Pistol50%
81%Conv100%
Map 3Ancientdecider
BASEMENT BOYS50%16-15thinGBC50%0-0
52%Win–
53%CT–
50%T–
53%Pistol–
85%Conv–

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

BASEMENT BOYSNukeGBC
54%CT side8%
47%T side0%
56%Pistol0%
84%After win–
24%After loss0%
BASEMENT BOYSMirageGBC
53%CT side38%
48%T side33%
50%Pistol50%
81%After win100%
9%After loss0%
BASEMENT BOYSAncientGBC
53%CT side–
50%T side–
53%Pistol–
85%After win–
21%After loss–
Pistol rounds53% · 25% · BASEMENT BOYS win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 100% · GBC keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol18% · 0% · BASEMENT BOYS fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BASEMENT BOYS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBASGBC
InfernoBAS ban41%7-10n/a0g
BASEMENT BOYS on Inferno
LBC.Game8–132mo agoLAlliance7–133mo agoLfnatic5–133mo agoWBy Legends13–23mo agoLJiJieHao12–164mo agoWMASONIC13–44mo agoL100 Thieves2–135mo agoLaimclub5–135mo ago
GBC on Inferno
no recent maps
CacheGBC ban67%4-20%0-1
BASEMENT BOYS on Cache
LQUAZAR6–1327d agoWBAKS13–51mo agoWPhantom Academy13–31mo agoWCitron13–02mo agoWFire Flux19–172mo agoLFire Flux10–132mo ago
GBC on Cache
LFamalicão8–135d ago
NukeBAS pick50%22-220%0-1
BASEMENT BOYS on Nuke
WMOUZ NXT13–1015d agoWWBT Academy13–615d agoWmellren13–516d agoLEAC10–1325d agoWLavked13–427d agoLEAC4–131mo agoLINOX Division7–131mo agoLBAKS4–131mo ago
GBC on Nuke
LLP1–135d ago
MirageGBC pick56%18-140%0-1
BASEMENT BOYS on Mirage
WWBT Academy13–1115d agoWmellren13–1116d agoWDark Moon13–617d agoWEAC13–1125d agoWEAC13–61mo agoWPhantom Academy13–91mo agoLBC.Game3–132mo agoWLeo13–72mo ago
GBC on Mirage
LFamalicão7–135d ago
AnubisBAS ban57%8-6n/a0g
BASEMENT BOYS on Anubis
LQUAZAR6–1327d agoWSINQU13–31mo agoWLeo13–82mo agoLfnatic5–133mo agoWEntropy13–53mo agoLJiJieHao2–134mo agoWUNiTY22–204mo agoWMTX13–35mo ago
GBC on Anubis
no recent maps
Dust2GBC ban51%19-180%0-1
BASEMENT BOYS on Dust2
WMOUZ NXT13–615d agoLmellren3–1316d agoWVexar13–217d agoWDark Moon13–617d agoWQUAZAR16–1327d agoLLavked2–1327d agoWINOX Division13–111mo agoWBAKS13–41mo ago
GBC on Dust2
LLP2–135d ago
Ancientdecider52%16-15n/a0g
BASEMENT BOYS on Ancient
LWBT Academy10–1315d agoWVexar13–217d agoLEAC7–1325d agoWLavked13–727d agoLEAC16–191mo agoWINOX Division16–121mo agoLLavked10–131mo agoL1win10–132mo ago
GBC on Ancient
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: BASEMENT BOYS Overpass · GBC Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

BASEMENT BOYS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/95 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 95 maps they won, 36 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs AcendAncientfrom 8 downvs PigeonsMiragefrom 6 downvs CSDIILITAncientfrom 6 downvs UNiTYAnubisfrom 6 downvs 777Infernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/90 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 90 maps they lost, 22 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs mellrenDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs JiJieHaoInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs EACNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs MOUZ NXTNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs OmegaMirageled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AcendAncientfrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs mellrenDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 25Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 25 went to overtime.vs AaBMirage16-12vs ARCREDInferno16-13vs RebelsNuke14-16vs brazylijski luzNuke19-17vs PigeonsMirage16-13

GBC

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/0 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 0 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/4 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 4 maps they lost, 2 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LPNukeled 12 · lost 1-13vs FamalicãoMirageled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LPNukeled 12 · lost 1-13
Avg map margini8.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

BASEMENT BOYS vs GBC FAQ

Who is favored to win BASEMENT BOYS vs GBC?

BASEMENT BOYS are favored with a 88% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for BASEMENT BOYS vs GBC?

Bookmakers price BASEMENT BOYS at 1.05 and GBC at 7.5 (implied 88% vs 12%).

When do BASEMENT BOYS and GBC play?

BASEMENT BOYS vs GBC is scheduled for 2026-09-24 15:00 UTC at LeonBet Masters Season 1.