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Matches / Upcoming / Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity

Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier

Nuclear TigeRES
World #56 · 71-43
VS
2026-09-25 12:00 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
ex-Zero Tenacity
World #83 · 65-61
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
65%
Win probability
35%
66%
1.412.75Market · 11 booksBookmakerNUCEX-GGBet1.342.92Sweatbet 1.342.92GranaWin1.382.7Stake1.42.7Thunderpick Row1.42.71xBit1.412.751xbet1.412.75ColdBet1.412.75Spinbet1.412.75Vivatbet1.412.75betlabel1.412.75
34%
The call

Nuclear TigeRES are favoured: our model gives them 65% against ex-Zero Tenacity. Bookmakers lean Nuclear TigeRES at 66%. Form clearly favours ex-Zero Tenacity, firepower clearly favours Nuclear TigeRES, head-to-head clearly favours Nuclear TigeRES.

Likely mapsAnubis · Inferno · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

Nuclear TigeRES · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
flouzer★1.0780.973.5%52%1.17
ayuki1.0472.874.5%54%1.13
z1k41.1773.573.3%33%1.13
m1QUSE1.0173.774.7%48%1.11
senka0.8469.370.7%48%1.02

ex-Zero Tenacity · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
VLDN★1.1376.476.9%53%1.19
Cjoffo1.170.872.9%63%1.15
brutmonster1.1374.470.6%37%1.13
Dragon1.0879.371.6%52%1.12
Kind01.0477.972.2%49%1.12

Recent form

Nuclear TigeRES

CYBERSHOKE9d ago1-2UPGRADEUpsetUpset10d ago1-2B8OvertimeOT12d ago1-2SINNERSPistolsPist3/412d ago2-0SINNERSOvertimeOT13d ago1-2BET-M13d ago2-1INOX Division14d ago2-11winBlew leadBL714d ago0-2CYBERSHOKEPistolsPist5/616d ago2-1Ninjas in PyjamasPistolsPist3/418d ago0-2HEROICBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT19d ago0-2B8PistolsPist3/419d ago0-2INFINITE19d ago2-1Eternal FireOvertimeOT20d ago2-0magicPistolsPist3/421d ago2-0

ex-Zero Tenacity

STATEUpsetUpsetStompStomp2-13today1-2Black PhoenixPistolsPist4/41d ago2-0INOX DivisionPistolsPist3/42d ago2-0PCIFIC4d ago2-1TrafficPillsComebackCB65d ago2-1Teletubisie7d ago0-2UNiTYUpsetUpset10d ago1-2MetizportComebackCB6OvertimeOT10d ago1-2FortressPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-011d ago2-0EAC13d ago2-0Noir Verse13d ago2-1Phantom AcademyOvertimeOT14d ago2-0G2 Ares15d ago2-1SPARTAStompStomp2-1317d ago0-2INOX Division18d ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
5mo ago Nuclear TigeRES2 : 0 ex-Zero Tenacity!
⚠ Different lineup
ex-Zero Tenacity
outaVN, emi
inDragon, VLDN
Nemesis#448-21-2
Nuclear TigeRES vs Nemesis
Aug 31WDust25-13Inferno13-7Jun 17WNuke10-13Dust213-9Ancient13-7Feb 14WAncient13-7Inferno13-9
+1 earlier meeting
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Nemesis
Mar 17LInferno13-9Nuke9-13Mirage8-13
SINNERS#474-62-0
Nuclear TigeRES vs SINNERS
Sep 11WDust213-7Inferno13-10Sep 10LInferno13-6Dust28-13Cache13-16Feb 10LAncient13-6Dust22-13Nuke10-13
+1 earlier meeting
ex-Zero Tenacity vs SINNERS
Aug 29WMirage13-7Cache13-9
Acend#572-12-3
Nuclear TigeRES vs Acend
Apr 20WInferno7-13Ancient13-6Dust213-4
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Acend
Mar 9WDust213-10Mirage11-13Inferno13-7Feb 11LDust23-13Inferno6-13
Johnny Speeds#610-20-2
Nuclear TigeRES vs Johnny Speeds
Feb 10LInferno3-13Nuke10-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 5LOverpass9-13Dust25-13
INOX Division#702-16-8
Nuclear TigeRES vs INOX Division
Sep 9WAncient13-9Dust28-13Inferno13-4
ex-Zero Tenacity vs INOX Division
Sep 21WCache13-8Nuke13-11Sep 5LNuke8-13Cache13-3Dust26-13Aug 30LCache7-13Nuke5-13
+3 earlier meetings
FORZE Reload#770-20-2
Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload
Aug 24LDust29-13Anubis3-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs FORZE Reload
Feb 19LDust29-13Mirage7-13
Sangal#852-12-1
Nuclear TigeRES vs Sangal
Jan 21WAncient13-9Mirage11-13Anubis13-3
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Sangal
Mar 13WMirage11-13Inferno13-11Nuke13-10
CYBERSHOKE#897-32-0
Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE
Sep 14LDust26-13Anubis13-6Ancient10-13Sep 7WDust213-9Anubis7-13Ancient13-10Aug 24WAncient13-8Anubis13-5
+1 earlier meeting
ex-Zero Tenacity vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 28WMirage13-10Dust213-4

Map lab

Nuclear TigeRES57%to win the Bo3 · most likely Nuclear TigeRES 2-0
If the veto goes
Nuclear TigeRES 57%how the series ends43% ex-Zero Tenacity
41%2-013%
16%2-130%
Map 1AnubisNuclear TigeR… pick
Nuclear TigeRES67%31-15vsex-Zero Tenacity33%13-13
67%Win50%
52%CT45%
60%T52%
46%Pistol46%
88%Conv83%
Map 2Infernoex-Zero Tenac… pick
Nuclear TigeRES62%21-8vsex-Zero Tenacity38%32-21
72%Win60%
56%CT55%
57%T52%
67%Pistol58%
85%Conv84%
Map 3Cachedecider
Nuclear TigeRES34%3-2vsex-Zero Tenacity66%17-5
60%Win77%
63%CT59%
42%T60%
50%Pistol57%
100%Conv96%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Nuclear TigeRESAnubisex-Zero Tenacity
52%CT side45%
60%T side52%
46%Pistol46%
88%After win83%
12%After loss11%
Nuclear TigeRESInfernoex-Zero Tenacity
56%CT side55%
57%T side52%
67%Pistol58%
85%After win84%
5%After loss30%
Nuclear TigeRESCacheex-Zero Tenacity
63%CT side59%
42%T side60%
50%Pistol57%
100%After win96%
20%After loss16%
Pistol rounds54% · 55% · level, no edge
After a won pistol87% · 86% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol11% · 21% · ex-Zero Tenacity fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nuclear TigeRES vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

ex-Zero Tenacity habitually bans Ancient, Nuclear TigeRES's strongest maps (Ancient, Inferno, Anubis, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 125/128), not an opponent read, so expect Nuclear TigeRES to fight the veto for Ancient.
MapNUCEX-
MirageNUC ban41%11-1640%18-27
Nuclear TigeRES on Mirage
LNinjas in Pyjamas8–1318d agoLB84–1319d agoL1win16–1922d agoL100 Thieves8–132mo agoLAtreides11–132mo agoLK279–133mo agoWAM13–44mo agoW100 Thieves19–174mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Mirage
LSTATE2–13todayLTeletubisie5–137d agoWUNiTY13–610d agoLNoir Verse8–1313d agoLG2 Ares5–1315d agoWSINNERS13–725d agoWHonvéd13–728d agoLJust Players5–131mo ago
AncientEX- ban72%48-19n/a0g
Nuclear TigeRES on Ancient
LCYBERSHOKE10–139d agoLB84–1312d agoWBET-M13–813d agoWINOX Division13–914d agoWCYBERSHOKE13–1016d agoLHEROIC6–1319d agoWINFINITE13–919d agoWEternal Fire16–1320d ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Ancient
no recent maps
AnubisNUC pick67%31-1550%13-13
Nuclear TigeRES on Anubis
WCYBERSHOKE13–69d agoLUPGRADE11–1310d agoL1win8–1314d agoLCYBERSHOKE7–1316d agoWEternal Fire13–1020d agoWmagic13–1121d agoL1win8–1322d agoWK2713–924d ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Anubis
WBlack Phoenix13–81d agoWFortress13–711d agoWBlack Phoenix13–821d agoWFOKUS16–1327d agoWWBT13–1027d agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–728d agoLCYBERSHOKE Prospects4–131mo agoLbenched gods1–131mo ago
InfernoEX- pick72%21-860%32-21
Nuclear TigeRES on Inferno
WB816–1412d agoWSINNERS13–1012d agoWSINNERS13–613d agoWBET-M13–913d agoWINOX Division13–414d agoLB811–1319d agoWINFINITE13–419d agoWColor13–222d ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Inferno
WSTATE13–9todayLPCIFIC5–134d agoLTrafficPills8–135d agoLUNiTY11–1310d agoLMetizport9–1310d agoWEAC13–913d agoWG2 Ares13–1015d agoWBushido Wildcats13–724d ago
NukeNUC ban41%16-2356%35-28
Nuclear TigeRES on Nuke
LBET-M8–1313d agoWNemiga13–1026d agoLSPARTA10–131mo agoWButterfly13–72mo agoWSashi13–72mo agoLEcho14–162mo agoLEcho5–132mo agoLMOUZ11–132mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Nuke
LSTATE10–13todayWINOX Division13–112d agoWPCIFIC13–74d agoWTrafficPills13–105d agoWMetizport16–1410d agoWEAC13–513d agoWPhantom Academy16–1314d agoLINOX Division8–1318d ago
Dust2EX- ban45%24-2954%37-31
Nuclear TigeRES on Dust2
LCYBERSHOKE6–139d agoWUPGRADE13–510d agoLB83–1312d agoWSINNERS13–712d agoLSINNERS8–1313d agoLINOX Division8–1314d agoL1win5–1314d agoWCYBERSHOKE13–916d ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Dust2
WBlack Phoenix13–101d agoWPCIFIC13–74d agoWTrafficPills13–85d agoLTeletubisie10–137d agoWNoir Verse13–713d agoLSPARTA2–1317d agoLINOX Division6–1318d agoWBlack Phoenix13–721d ago
Cachedecider60%3-277%17-5
Nuclear TigeRES on Cache
LUPGRADE8–1310d agoLSINNERS13–1613d agoWK2713–1124d agoWSpirit Academy16–131mo agoWSPARTA13–41mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Cache
WINOX Division13–82d agoLUNiTY8–1310d agoLMetizport6–1310d agoWFortress13–011d agoWNoir Verse13–513d agoWPhantom Academy13–714d agoWG2 Ares13–615d agoLSPARTA6–1317d ago
Each team's usual first ban: Nuclear TigeRES Overpass · ex-Zero Tenacity Ancient.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Nuclear TigeRES

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i44/154 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 154 maps they won, 44 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs 1winAnubisfrom 6 downvs SashiNukefrom 6 downvs Spirit AcademyCachefrom 6 downvs MOUZ NXTDust2from 5 downvs OxujiInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i53/112 (47%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 112 maps they lost, 53 (47%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19vs illwillInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs MOUZ NXTNukeled 8 · lost 15-19vs magicMirageled 7 · lost 15-19vs 100 ThievesAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 1winAnubisfrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 34Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 34 went to overtime.vs Gentle MatesInferno15-19vs KOLESIEAncient16-13vs OramondMirage16-14vs WHITEBIRDInferno19-17vs MOUZ NXTAncient16-13

ex-Zero Tenacity

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i47/158 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 158 maps they won, 47 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs WBTCachefrom 10 downvs STATEInfernofrom 7 downvs KOLESIEDust2from 7 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs LavkedDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i46/143 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 143 maps they lost, 46 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PCIFICInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16vs HashirasInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13vs HAVUNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs Subtop De FranceDust2led 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTCachefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PCIFICInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsInferno16-14vs los kogutosNuke14-16vs ex-RUBYAnubis16-19vs ASTRALAnubis16-14vs STATEOverpass13-16

Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity FAQ

Who is favored to win Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity?

Nuclear TigeRES are favored with a 65% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity?

Bookmakers price Nuclear TigeRES at 1.41 and ex-Zero Tenacity at 2.75 (implied 66% vs 34%).

When do Nuclear TigeRES and ex-Zero Tenacity play?

Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity is scheduled for 2026-09-25 12:00 UTC at Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier.

Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER