Matches / Upcoming / Butterfly vs Lavked
Butterfly vs Lavked: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 11
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
52%48%
52%
1.791.96Market · 7 books
48%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 52–48. Bookmakers lean Butterfly at 52%. Strength slightly favours Butterfly, form slightly favours Lavked, firepower clearly favours Lavked, head-to-head slightly favours Lavked.
Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Nuke
Firepower
roster ratingsButterfly · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.33iStar gap: the best player rates 0.33 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Lavked · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.02iStar gap: the best player rates 0.02 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| azukay★ | 0.99 | 75.7 | 71.9% | 58% | 1.12 |
| xm1nd | 1.18 | 72.9 | 72.6% | 37% | 1.12 |
| k4nfuz | 1.01 | 69.6 | 72.9% | 65% | 1.1 |
| 1NVISIBLEE | 0.92 | 80.8 | 68.5% | 57% | 1.08 |
| takanashi | 0.9 | 68.8 | 66.8% | 54% | 1.08 |
Recent form
Butterfly
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
1win#144-01-2
Lavked vs 1win
Jun 3LOverpass8-13Mirage13-8Anubis8-13
K27#460-10-2
Butterfly vs K27
Sep 6LNuke3-13Lavked vs K27
Apr 1LMirage10-13Dust212-16
Nemesis#471-20-2
Butterfly vs Nemesis
Sep 14LDust213-9Inferno9-13Nuke9-13Lavked vs Nemesis
May 29LMirage9-13Nuke2-13
Nuclear TigeRES#500-40-4
Black Phoenix#553-33-4
Lavked vs Black Phoenix
Sep 18LAnubis3-13Dust26-13Aug 23WMirage16-13Nuke13-8Aug 6LDust26-13Anubis13-9Mirage13-16
ex-Zero Tenacity#670-22-3
Butterfly vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Oct 2LInferno11-13Mirage2-13
ex-RUSTEC#705-42-1
Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC
Oct 18WDust213-16Nuke13-11Oct 6LDust213-9Inferno10-13Mirage9-13Aug 5WCache13-10Nuke14-16Dust213-10Lavked vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23WDust25-13Mirage13-9Anubis13-7
UPGRADE#742-02-2
Butterfly vs UPGRADE
Oct 14WAncient13-3Dust213-11Map lab
Butterfly56%to win the Bo3 · most likely Butterfly 2-0
If the veto goes
Butterfly 56%how the series ends44% Lavked
31%2-019%
25%2-125%
Butterfly51%9-5vsLavked49%26-16
64%Win62%
52%CT53%
59%T53%
39%Pistol52%
82%Conv84%
Butterfly60%9-4vsLavked40%45-34
69%Win57%
71%CT56%
44%T48%
65%Pistol51%
76%Conv80%
Butterfly50%13-10vsLavked50%32-25
57%Win56%
61%CT57%
42%T45%
43%Pistol46%
90%Conv84%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
ButterflyAncientLavked
52%CT side53%
59%T side53%
39%Pistol52%
82%After win84%
24%After loss20%
ButterflyMirageLavked
71%CT side56%
44%T side48%
65%Pistol51%
76%After win80%
0%After loss14%
ButterflyNukeLavked
61%CT side57%
42%T side45%
43%Pistol46%
90%After win84%
4%After loss18%
Pistol rounds48% · 49% · level, no edge
After a won pistol83% · 82% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol10% · 17% · Lavked fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Butterfly vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBUTLAV
AnubisBUT ban0%0-148%13-14
CacheLAV ban75%3-10%0-1
Butterfly on Cache
L
QUAZAR10–1327d agoW
Leo13–102mo agoWex-RUSTEC13–103mo agoW
benched gods13–103mo agoLavked on Cache
L
megoshort14–163mo agoAncientBUT pick64%9-562%26-16
MirageLAV pick69%9-457%45-34
InfernoBUT ban11%2-1626%5-14
Dust2LAV ban65%11-649%29-30
Nukedecider57%13-1056%32-25
Each team's usual first ban: Butterfly Anubis · Lavked Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Butterfly
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/47 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 47 maps they won, 19 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs UPGRADEAncientfrom 10 downvs UPGRADEDust2from 8 downvs SAW YoungstersNukefrom 7 downvs Black PhoenixNukefrom 6 downvs GenOneNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/43 (51%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 43 maps they lost, 22 (51%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ARCREDInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13vs CYBERSHOKEAncientled 9 · lost 8-13vs LavkedAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs Iberian SoulInfernoled 6 · lost 7-13vs BET-MInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs UPGRADEAncientfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ARCREDInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs ex-RUSTECNuke14-16vs G2 AresMirage12-16vs G2 AresInferno14-16vs SAW YoungstersInferno13-16vs 1winMirage19-17
Lavked
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i57/153 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 153 maps they won, 57 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs HYPERSPIRITDust2from 11 downvs PCIFICAnubisfrom 10 downvs ASTRALDust2from 8 downvs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 8 downvs ex-RUBYNukefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i42/139 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 139 maps they lost, 42 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16vs ex-6666Nukeled 10 · lost 8-13vs NemigaAnubisled 9 · lost 5-13vs ARCREDMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs UNiTYMirageled 8 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HYPERSPIRITDust2from 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 38Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 38 went to overtime.vs ex-RUBYAncient16-14vs ESCAncient13-16vs PhantomMirage16-14vs K27Dust212-16vs QUAZARNuke12-16
Butterfly vs Lavked FAQ
Who is favored to win Butterfly vs Lavked?
Butterfly are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Butterfly vs Lavked?
Bookmakers price Butterfly at 1.79 and Lavked at 1.96 (implied 52% vs 48%).
When do Butterfly and Lavked play?
Butterfly vs Lavked is scheduled for a date to be confirmed at CCT 2026 Europe Series 11.