Matches / Upcoming / ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC

ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 11

ex-Zero Tenacity
World #67 · 74-68
VS
2026-10-23 08:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
ex-RUSTEC
World #70 · 48-31
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
58%
Win probability
42%
49%
1.841.8Market · 1 booksBookmakerEX-EX-GGBet1.841.8
51%
The call

ex-Zero Tenacity are favoured: our model gives them 58% against ex-RUSTEC. Bookmakers lean ex-RUSTEC at 51%. Every factor is level between the two sides.

Likely mapsCache · Dust2 · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

ex-Zero Tenacity · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
VLDN★1.1377.375.9%53%1.2
Cjoffo1.1170.773.2%63%1.16
Dragon1.0979.572.8%51%1.15
brutmonster1.1374.470.7%37%1.13
Kind01.037771.9%49%1.11

ex-RUSTEC · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
bl1x1★1.0775.673.9%63%1.2
youka1.2373.572.4%38%1.19
yiksrezo1.1179.872.3%68%1.18
jakekeS0.9368.373.4%55%1.02
Brilliance0.8670.569.2%56%0.99

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Nuclear TigeRES#501-42-3
Black Phoenix#558-04-10
Metizport#591-20-2
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Metizport
Sep 13LCache6-13Nuke16-14Inferno9-13
ex-RUSTEC vs Metizport
Oct 20LAnubis7-13Nuke9-13
FORZE Reload#802-30-4
INOX Division#846-80-4
UNiTY#861-42-1
Inner Circle Academy#870-20-4
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle Academy
Aug 17LAnubis7-13Nuke8-13
Leo#883-44-1

Map lab

ex-Zero Tenacity63%to win the Bo3 · most likely ex-Zero Tenacity 2-0
If the veto goes
ex-Zero Tenacity 63%how the series ends37% ex-RUSTEC
37%2-013%
26%2-124%
Map 1Cacheex-Zero Tenac… pick
ex-Zero Tenacity73%23-9vsex-RUSTEC27%7-8
72%Win47%
56%CT55%
60%T52%
64%Pistol53%
88%Conv94%
Map 2Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
ex-Zero Tenacity51%43-34vsex-RUSTEC49%26-21
56%Win55%
51%CT55%
54%T50%
54%Pistol48%
81%Conv82%
Map 3Nukedecider
ex-Zero Tenacity52%36-33vsex-RUSTEC48%20-20
52%Win50%
56%CT56%
46%T42%
52%Pistol50%
81%Conv85%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

ex-Zero TenacityCacheex-RUSTEC
56%CT side55%
60%T side52%
64%Pistol53%
88%After win94%
17%After loss36%
ex-Zero TenacityDust2ex-RUSTEC
51%CT side55%
54%T side50%
54%Pistol48%
81%After win82%
17%After loss14%
ex-Zero TenacityNukeex-RUSTEC
56%CT side56%
46%T side42%
52%Pistol50%
81%After win85%
27%After loss18%
Pistol rounds55% · 50% · ex-Zero Tenacity win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol82% · 85% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol21% · 18% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ex-Zero Tenacity vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapEX-EX-
AncientEX- bann/a0g64%7-4
InfernoEX- ban62%36-2253%9-8
CacheEX- pick72%23-947%7-8
Dust2EX- pick56%43-3455%26-21
AnubisEX- ban50%13-1372%23-9
MirageEX- ban41%21-3050%11-11
Nukedecider52%36-3350%20-20
Each team's usual first ban: ex-Zero Tenacity Ancient · ex-RUSTEC Ancient.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

ex-Zero Tenacity

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i55/178 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 178 maps they won, 55 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs WBTCachefrom 10 downvs BIG AcademyCachefrom 8 downvs Nuclear TigeRESInfernofrom 8 downvs STATEInfernofrom 7 downvs KOLESIEDust2from 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i54/159 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 159 maps they lost, 54 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PCIFICInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs FOKUSCacheled 8 · lost 13-16vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16vs HashirasInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13vs HAVUNukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTCachefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PCIFICInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 28Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 28 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsInferno16-14vs los kogutosNuke14-16vs ex-RUBYAnubis16-19vs ASTRALAnubis16-14vs STATEOverpass13-16

ex-RUSTEC

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/103 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 103 maps they won, 34 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 downvs IllyriansAnubisfrom 10 downvs FortressNukefrom 8 downvs BERGNukefrom 8 downvs GamerLegionDust2from 8 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/81 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 81 maps they lost, 29 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Black PhoenixDust2led 8 · lost 16-19vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs Saint SinnersDust2led 7 · lost 11-13vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Noir VerseCacheled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Black PhoenixDust2led 8 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 28Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 28 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs ButterflyNuke16-14vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16

ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC FAQ

Who is favored to win ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC?

ex-Zero Tenacity are favored with a 58% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC?

Bookmakers price ex-Zero Tenacity at 1.84 and ex-RUSTEC at 1.8 (implied 49% vs 51%).

When do ex-Zero Tenacity and ex-RUSTEC play?

ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC is scheduled for 2026-10-23 08:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 11.