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BRUTE vs BAKS: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 11

BRUTE
World #109 · 46-41
VS
2026-10-23 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
BAKS
World #99 · 22-19
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
60%
Win probability
40%
53%
1.721.97Market · 1 booksBookmakerBRUBAKGGBet1.721.97
47%
The call

BRUTE are favoured: our model gives them 60% against BAKS. Bookmakers lean BRUTE at 53%. Strength slightly favours BRUTE, firepower slightly favours BAKS.

Likely mapsMirage · Cache · Inferno

Firepower

roster ratings

BRUTE · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
aidKiT★1.317773.8%34%1.19
tAk1.0977.475.4%53%1.14
nbqq176.370.9%51%1.09
ZEDKO1.0171.172.5%57%1.08
oontoma0.8972.971.3%60%1.05

BAKS · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
turbo★1.0673.972.9%64%1.14
whisper1.0875.672.1%64%1.14
danistzz1.1972.875.1%38%1.13
Norwi0.9472.970.7%45%1.06
glowiing0.7774.166.6%61%0.92

Recent form

BRUTE

SangalPistolsPist5/61d ago1-2ex-66661d ago2-0PhantomUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT3d ago2-1BET-MPistolsPist3/44d ago2-0mellrenOvertimeOT7d ago1-2Inner Circle Academy26d ago0-2Four MagicPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-126d ago2-0aimclubUpsetUpset27d ago1-2INFURITYOvertimeOT27d ago2-1SPARTAPistolsPist4/41mo ago2-0BET-M1mo ago0-2QUAZAROvertimeOT1mo ago2-0G2 Ares1mo ago2-1Nemiga2mo ago1-21winUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago2-0

BAKS

AzuolasPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-2today2-0LFO 10UpsetUpset1d ago1-2Illyrians2d ago2-1Black Phoenix3d ago0-2FORZE ReloadStompStomp0-134d ago0-2G2 AresBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT6d ago2-1Bushido WildcatsStompStomp13-2OvertimeOT8d ago2-1Spirit Academy9d ago2-0CYBERSHOKE22d ago0-2CRUISER AURORA22d ago2-0K27Blew leadBL7OvertimeOT22d ago0-2Leo26d ago0-2STATE27d ago2-1Spirit Academy GreenUpsetUpsetPistolsPist5/627d ago1-2INOX DivisionOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
BET-M#792-22-0
BRUTE vs BET-M
Oct 18WInferno13-6Mirage13-5Sep 20LMirage11-13Ancient9-13
BAKS vs BET-M
Jul 28WAncient13-8Inferno13-6
INOX Division#840-40-2
BRUTE vs INOX Division
May 10LInferno15-19Nuke4-13May 9LDust23-13Nuke12-16
BAKS vs INOX Division
Sep 22LInferno5-13Cache13-16
Leo#880-20-2
BRUTE vs Leo
Apr 7LNuke7-13Dust23-13
BAKS vs Leo
Sep 26LCache9-13Nuke10-13
Fire Flux#961-22-1
BRUTE vs Fire Flux
Apr 15LDust210-13Anubis13-8Mirage12-16
BAKS vs Fire Flux
Aug 14WDust213-6Inferno7-13Cache13-8
G2 Ares#1052-14-2
BRUTE vs G2 Ares
Sep 15WAncient6-13Cache13-11Mirage13-5
BAKS vs G2 Ares
Oct 16WCache13-3Inferno13-16Dust213-10Sep 17WInferno11-13Cache13-9Ancient22-20
STATE#1410-22-1
BRUTE vs STATE
Apr 28LInferno10-13Anubis8-13
BAKS vs STATE
Sep 25WNuke6-13Mirage13-7
MOUZ NXT#1503-22-0
BRUTE vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 28WNuke13-10Dust213-9Jul 27WMirage13-4Feb 16LMirage4-13Anubis7-13
BAKS vs MOUZ NXT
Aug 30WNuke13-11Dust213-5
ex-RUBY0-22-1
BRUTE vs ex-RUBY
Jan 25LMirage7-13Dust27-13
BAKS vs ex-RUBY
Sep 13WCache13-6Mirage5-13Ancient13-5

Map lab

BAKS60%to win the Bo3 · most likely BAKS 2-0
If the veto goes
BRUTE 40%how the series ends60% BAKS
11%2-043%
28%2-117%
Map 1MirageBRUTE pick
BRUTE30%22-20vsBAKS70%9-3
52%Win75%
56%CT64%
45%T51%
57%Pistol63%
83%Conv80%
Map 2CacheBAKS pick
BRUTE38%5-5vsBAKS62%19-11
50%Win63%
41%CT56%
50%T53%
40%Pistol48%
75%Conv93%
Map 3Infernodecider
BRUTE63%12-13vsBAKS37%4-8
48%Win33%
55%CT45%
42%T43%
46%Pistol42%
83%Conv70%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

BRUTEMirageBAKS
56%CT side64%
45%T side51%
57%Pistol63%
83%After win80%
11%After loss11%
BRUTECacheBAKS
41%CT side56%
50%T side53%
40%Pistol48%
75%After win93%
8%After loss23%
BRUTEInfernoBAKS
55%CT side45%
42%T side43%
46%Pistol42%
83%After win70%
26%After loss7%
Pistol rounds51% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol82% · 85% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol16% · 17% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BRUTE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBRUBAK
AncientBRU ban33%4-875%6-2
BRUTE on Ancient
LBET-M9–131mo agoLG2 Ares6–131mo agoLCSDIILIT6–138mo agoWMANA13–78mo agoLKOLESIE4–138mo agoLBebop11–139mo agoLAM6–139mo agoWMASONIC13–79mo ago
BAKS on Ancient
LLFO 104–131d agoWG2 Ares22–201mo agoWSPARTA19–161mo agoWex-RUBY13–51mo agoLWBT7–132mo agoWBET-M13–83mo agoWTDK13–83mo agoWReThink13–64mo ago
AnubisBAK ban50%12-12n/a0g
BRUTE on Anubis
LSangal9–131d agoWex-666613–81d agoLmellren10–137d agoLInner Circle Academy10–1326d agoLaimclub9–1327d agoWQUAZAR16–141mo agoLNemiga4–132mo agoW1win13–112mo ago
BAKS on Anubis
no recent maps
MirageBRU pick52%22-2075%9-3
BRUTE on Mirage
LSangal3–131d agoWex-666613–111d agoLPhantom13–163d agoWBET-M13–54d agoLInner Circle Academy10–1326d agoWFour Magic13–126d agoLaimclub6–1327d agoWSPARTA13–71mo ago
BAKS on Mirage
WLFO 1013–71d agoWIllyrians13–82d agoWBushido Wildcats13–28d agoWCRUISER AURORA13–322d agoWSTATE13–727d agoWBlack Phoenix13–101mo agoWSpirit Academy13–111mo agoLex-RUBY5–131mo ago
CacheBAK pick50%5-563%19-11
BRUTE on Cache
WINFURITY16–1227d agoWG2 Ares13–111mo agoWNemiga13–112mo agoWDESEMPREGO13–102mo agoLNexus7–133mo agoW9INE13–93mo agoLEternal Fire10–133mo agoLQUAZAR1–133mo ago
BAKS on Cache
WAzuolas13–2todayLLFO 107–131d agoLIllyrians11–132d agoLBlack Phoenix6–133d agoLFORZE Reload0–134d agoWG2 Ares13–36d agoWBushido Wildcats16–148d agoWSpirit Academy13–119d ago
NukeBRU ban48%10-1147%8-9
BRUTE on Nuke
WSangal13–41d agoWINFURITY13–1027d agoLPCIFIC10–132mo agoL9INE3–133mo agoLASTRAL10–133mo agoWMOUZ NXT13–103mo agoWLEO13–113mo agoWInner Circle Academy13–93mo ago
BAKS on Nuke
WAzuolas16–14todayWSpirit Academy13–69d agoLK2710–1322d agoLLeo10–1326d agoLSTATE6–1327d agoLSpirit Academy Green10–1327d agoWex-RUSTEC13–81mo agoWFORZE Reload19–171mo ago
Dust2BAK ban55%26-2136%8-14
BRUTE on Dust2
WPhantom13–113d agoLmellren13–167d agoWFour Magic13–526d agoWaimclub13–927d agoWSPARTA13–101mo agoLNemiga11–132mo agoW1win25–222mo agoLPCIFIC11–132mo ago
BAKS on Dust2
WIllyrians13–62d agoLBlack Phoenix11–133d agoLFORZE Reload6–134d agoWG2 Ares13–106d agoLBushido Wildcats9–138d agoLCYBERSHOKE7–1322d agoLSpirit Academy Green10–1327d agoLBlack Phoenix1–131mo ago
Infernodecider48%12-1333%4-8
BRUTE on Inferno
WPhantom19–163d agoWBET-M13–64d agoWmellren16–137d agoLINFURITY10–1327d agoWGenOne13–93mo agoWGenOne13–114mo agoLfnatic7–135mo agoWAM13–45mo ago
BAKS on Inferno
LG2 Ares13–166d agoLINOX Division5–131mo agoLBlack Phoenix6–131mo agoLG2 Ares11–131mo agoLSPARTA3–131mo agoLColor4–132mo agoWOG13–112mo agoLFire Flux7–132mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: BRUTE Ancient · BAKS Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

BRUTE

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i41/104 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 104 maps they won, 41 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs benched godsOverpassfrom 8 downvs AaBOverpassfrom 7 downvs UrsaOverpassfrom 7 downvs NEW VISIONDust2from 7 downvs Rune EatersOverpassfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i31/96 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 96 maps they lost, 31 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AtreidesMirageled 10 · lost 13-16vs fnaticAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs ASTRALAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs Fire FluxMirageled 6 · lost 12-16vs illwillInfernoled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs benched godsOverpassfrom 8 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AtreidesMirageled 10 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 27Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 27 went to overtime.vs Fingers CrossedAncient14-16vs AMMirage16-14vs BebopDust216-13vs BebopAnubis19-17vs illwillInferno13-16

BAKS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/54 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 54 maps they won, 17 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs AzuolasCachefrom 11 downvs CRUISER AURORAMiragefrom 10 downvs G2 AresCachefrom 10 downvs K28Dust2from 9 downvs SPARTAAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/48 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 48 maps they lost, 16 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13vs Black PhoenixDust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs K27Cacheled 7 · lost 17-19vs G2 AresInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs LFO 10Cacheled 6 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AzuolasCachefrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs XcityInferno16-13vs ReThinkMirage26-28vs MisaNuke12-16vs SPARTAAncient19-16vs G2 AresAncient22-20

BRUTE vs BAKS FAQ

Who is favored to win BRUTE vs BAKS?

BRUTE are favored with a 60% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for BRUTE vs BAKS?

Bookmakers price BRUTE at 1.72 and BAKS at 1.97 (implied 53% vs 47%).

When do BRUTE and BAKS play?

BRUTE vs BAKS is scheduled for 2026-10-23 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 11.

BRUTE vs BAKS Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER