Matches / Upcoming / ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners

ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 12

ex-RUSTEC
World #70 · 48-31
VS
2026-10-23 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · Best of 3
Saint Sinners
World #123 · 14-13
CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · Best of 3
67%
Win probability
33%
The call

ex-RUSTEC are favoured: our model gives them 67% against Saint Sinners. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, firepower slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, head-to-head slightly favours ex-RUSTEC.

Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Anubis

Firepower

roster ratings

ex-RUSTEC · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
bl1x1★1.0775.673.9%63%1.2
youka1.2373.572.4%38%1.19
yiksrezo1.1179.872.3%68%1.18
jakekeS0.9368.373.4%55%1.02
Brilliance0.8670.569.2%56%0.99

Saint Sinners · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
iRV1NG★0.9674.572.3%64%1.15
Rodos1k0.9376.372%61%1.14
halfjix1.174.268.4%41%1.12
deb01.0176.569.7%66%1.11
Caleyy1.0374.868.7%62%1.08
pavlysha6660.8774.770.1%54%1.05

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Black Phoenix#554-101-2
ex-RUSTEC vs Black Phoenix
Oct 14LDust28-13Cache7-13Oct 3Lseries0-2Sep 27LDust27-13Anubis6-13
+3 earlier meetings
Saint Sinners vs Black Phoenix
Oct 18LMirage6-13Inferno13-5Dust26-13
ex-Zero Tenacity#670-20-2
ex-RUSTEC vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Aug 18LCache5-13Mirage8-13
Saint Sinners vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Sep 27Lseries0-2
Leo#884-11-2
mellren#954-13-2
Spirit Academy#1112-00-4
ex-RUSTEC vs Spirit Academy
Aug 30WCache13-6Dust216-13
Bushido Wildcats#1130-22-1
ex-RUSTEC vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 13LNuke8-13Dust219-22
Saint Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats
Oct 19WDust213-5Inferno10-13Mirage13-5
Just Players#1176-10-2
Illyrians#1242-01-2
ex-RUSTEC vs Illyrians
Oct 18WAnubis13-6Ancient13-7
Saint Sinners vs Illyrians
Sep 18LMirage8-13Dust213-11Ancient10-13

Map lab

ex-RUSTEC50%to win the Bo3 · most likely Saint Sinners 2-0
If the veto goes
ex-RUSTEC 50%how the series ends50% Saint Sinners
19%2-031%
31%2-119%
Map 1Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
ex-RUSTEC42%26-21vsSaint Sinners58%11-6
55%Win65%
55%CT59%
50%T49%
48%Pistol47%
82%Conv69%
Map 2MirageSaint Sinners pick
ex-RUSTEC47%11-11vsSaint Sinners53%7-6
50%Win54%
56%CT55%
48%T48%
39%Pistol46%
88%Conv67%
Map 3Anubisdecider
ex-RUSTEC62%23-9vsSaint Sinners38%3-2
72%Win60%
51%CT42%
61%T62%
61%Pistol70%
90%Conv71%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

ex-RUSTECDust2Saint Sinners
55%CT side59%
50%T side49%
48%Pistol47%
82%After win69%
14%After loss33%
ex-RUSTECMirageSaint Sinners
56%CT side55%
48%T side48%
39%Pistol46%
88%After win67%
26%After loss14%
ex-RUSTECAnubisSaint Sinners
51%CT side42%
61%T side62%
61%Pistol70%
90%After win71%
28%After loss0%
Pistol rounds50% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol86% · 69% · ex-RUSTEC keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol21% · 23% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ex-RUSTEC vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapEX-SAI
AncientEX- ban64%7-458%7-5
CacheSAI ban47%7-80%0-1
Dust2EX- pick55%26-2165%11-6
MirageSAI pick50%11-1154%7-6
InfernoEX- ban53%9-825%1-3
NukeSAI ban50%20-2033%2-4
Anubisdecider72%23-960%3-2
Each team's usual first ban: ex-RUSTEC Ancient · Saint Sinners Cache.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

ex-RUSTEC

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/103 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 103 maps they won, 34 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 downvs IllyriansAnubisfrom 10 downvs FortressNukefrom 8 downvs BERGNukefrom 8 downvs GamerLegionDust2from 8 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/81 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 81 maps they lost, 29 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Black PhoenixDust2led 8 · lost 16-19vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs Saint SinnersDust2led 7 · lost 11-13vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Noir VerseCacheled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Black PhoenixDust2led 8 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 28Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 28 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs ButterflyNuke16-14vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16

Saint Sinners

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/31 (55%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 31 maps they won, 17 (55%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 55% of their wins were comebacks, not 55% of all games.vs MAYBEDust2from 9 downvs Black PhoenixInfernofrom 8 downvs VexarAncientfrom 8 downvs ex-RUSTECDust2from 7 downvs LavkedAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i12/27 (44%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 27 maps they lost, 12 (44%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-6666Dust2led 8 · lost 5-13vs The Last ResortInfernoled 7 · lost 6-13vs MAYBEMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs LavkedDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs Spirit AcademyNukeled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MAYBEDust2from 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-6666Dust2led 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs Spirit AcademyNuke14-16vs mellrenNuke22-20vs MOUZ NXTDust216-13

ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners FAQ

Who is favored to win ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners?

ex-RUSTEC are favored with a 67% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners?

Match odds for ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do ex-RUSTEC and Saint Sinners play?

ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners is scheduled for 2026-10-23 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 12.