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Falcons Force vs Phantom Academy: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8

Falcons Force
World #138 · 25-30
VS
2026-10-22 11:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
Phantom Academy
World #174 · 17-20
CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
54%
Win probability
46%
57%
1.62.16Market · 1 booksBookmakerFALPHAGGBet1.62.16
43%
The call

Falcons Force are favoured: our model gives them 54% against Phantom Academy. Bookmakers lean Falcons Force at 57%. Every factor is level between the two sides.

Likely mapsCache · Mirage · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

Falcons Force · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
grecu★1.167272.6%38%1.16
VENO0.9572.370.1%60%1.12
NucleonZ0.9776.869.1%61%1.11
Tapewaare0.97070.1%62%1.03
Goody0.9366.570.8%42%0.97

Phantom Academy · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
La1roN★1.0374.969.8%53%1.23
kalyambys1.1381.375.2%56%1.18
Brain471.1576.769.9%35%1.14
Dr3nquu0.9370.172.6%70%1.09
Ayteel0.8668.170.3%61%1.02

Recent form

Falcons Force

PrivateerPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-21d ago2-0QuintessenceUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL63d ago0-2MAYBEOvertimeOT4d ago2-1PURE15d ago6-13Orion WanderersPistolsPist0/215d ago13-5OGUpsetUpset15d ago13-6G2 Ares15d ago7-13SINQUPistolsPist0/215d ago13-8Next UpOvertimeOT21d ago16-14NAVI Junior21d ago9-13ABT21d ago11-13aimclubPistolsPist2/221d ago13-3PURE21d ago4-13Young TigeRESOvertimeOT27d ago1-2TeletubisiePistolsPist3/41mo ago0-2

Phantom Academy

Bebop1d ago2-1RyvexUpsetUpset3d ago0-2antidaunPistolsPist3/44d ago2-0MASONIC18d ago0-2AzuolasStompStomp13-120d ago2-0LeoStompStomp2-1322d ago1-2ROUNDSPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-222d ago2-0ButterflyStompStomp2-1323d ago0-2Spirit AcademyOvertimeOT23d ago0-2IllyriansStompStomp13-125d ago2-1Bushido WildcatsUpsetUpsetComebackCB725d ago2-1eternal premiumPistolsPist4/426d ago2-0Spirit Academy28d ago0-2WW1mo ago0-2PCIFICPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
G2 Ares#1052-10-2
Falcons Force vs G2 Ares
Oct 7LMirage7-13May 17WDust213-10Mirage13-10
Phantom Academy vs G2 Ares
May 23LMirage10-13Inferno4-13
Misa#1254-10-2
Falcons Force vs Misa
Jul 28WCache13-7Mirage13-9Jun 1WMirage13-5Dust210-13Inferno13-6
Phantom Academy vs Misa
Sep 8LCache11-13Nuke9-13
Bebop#2082-12-1
Falcons Force vs Bebop
Jul 27WDust23-13Cache13-6Inferno13-5
Phantom Academy vs Bebop
Oct 21WDust26-13Mirage13-8Nuke13-7
Honvéd#2112-11-2
Falcons Force vs Honvéd
Aug 20WMirage13-10Ancient11-13Cache13-8
Phantom Academy vs Honvéd
Jul 5LMirage13-1Dust214-16Ancient6-13
Privateer#2172-02-0
Falcons Force vs Privateer
Oct 21WNuke13-4Ancient13-2
Phantom Academy vs Privateer
Aug 15WMirage13-7Ancient13-1
TrafficPills#2300-22-0
Falcons Force vs TrafficPills
Sep 11LNuke11-13Inferno9-13
Phantom Academy vs TrafficPills
Sep 13WMirage13-10Cache13-10

Map lab

Falcons Force57%to win the Bo3 · most likely Phantom Academy 2-1
If the veto goes
Falcons Force 57%how the series ends43% Phantom Academy
28%2-011%
29%2-132%
Map 1CacheFalcons Force pick
Falcons Force84%8-3vsPhantom Academy16%3-8
73%Win27%
66%CT48%
47%T33%
59%Pistol41%
85%Conv88%
Map 2MiragePhantom Acade… pick
Falcons Force34%13-11vsPhantom Academy66%15-6
54%Win71%
56%CT63%
48%T50%
52%Pistol67%
84%Conv75%
Map 3Ancientdecider
Falcons Force48%7-10vsPhantom Academy52%7-9
41%Win44%
46%CT53%
53%T49%
62%Pistol63%
81%Conv90%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Falcons ForceCachePhantom Academy
66%CT side48%
47%T side33%
59%Pistol41%
85%After win88%
11%After loss8%
Falcons ForceMiragePhantom Academy
56%CT side63%
48%T side50%
52%Pistol67%
84%After win75%
13%After loss14%
Falcons ForceAncientPhantom Academy
46%CT side53%
53%T side49%
62%Pistol63%
81%After win90%
33%After loss17%
Pistol rounds57% · 59% · level, no edge
After a won pistol83% · 82% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol18% · 13% · Falcons Force fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Falcons Force vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFALPHA
Dust2FAL ban30%3-747%7-8
Falcons Force on Dust2
WMAYBE13–74d agoLENCE4–131mo agoLBebop3–133mo agoLMisa10–135mo agoLMANA7–135mo agoLSPARTA6–135mo agoWG2 Ares13–105mo agoWFamalicão13–35mo ago
Phantom Academy on Dust2
LBebop6–131d agoLRyvex6–133d agoWantidaun13–64d agoLLeo2–1322d agoLButterfly6–1323d agoWIllyrians13–925d agoLBushido Wildcats5–1325d agoLWW6–131mo ago
InfernoPHA ban48%11-120%0-1
Falcons Force on Inferno
LQuintessence10–133d agoLPURE6–1315d agoWOG13–615d agoWaimclub13–321d agoLPURE4–1321d agoWFortress13–81mo agoLTrafficPills9–131mo agoWmellren13–91mo ago
Phantom Academy on Inferno
LG2 Ares4–135mo ago
CacheFAL pick73%8-327%3-8
Falcons Force on Cache
LQuintessence9–133d agoWSINQU13–815d agoWYoung TigeRES13–627d agoLTeletubisie5–131mo agoWNAVI Junior13–61mo agoWNAVI Junior13–71mo agoLEndless Journey4–132mo agoWHonvéd13–82mo ago
Phantom Academy on Cache
LLeo4–1322d agoLSpirit Academy13–1623d agoWTrafficPills13–101mo agoWNoir Verse13–01mo agoLbenched gods6–131mo agoLbenched gods6–131mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity7–131mo agoLMisa11–131mo ago
MiragePHA pick54%13-1171%15-6
Falcons Force on Mirage
WMAYBE16–144d agoWOrion Wanderers13–515d agoLG2 Ares7–1315d agoWNext Up16–1421d agoLYoung TigeRES14–1627d agoLNAVI Junior13–161mo agoLENCE9–131mo agoWmellren13–111mo ago
Phantom Academy on Mirage
WBebop13–81d agoWAzuolas13–1120d agoWLeo13–522d agoWROUNDS13–222d agoLSpirit Academy6–1323d agoLIllyrians11–1325d agoWBushido Wildcats13–925d agoWeternal premium13–826d ago
NukeFAL ban19%3-1350%7-7
Falcons Force on Nuke
WPrivateer13–41d agoLYoung TigeRES5–1327d agoLTeletubisie10–131mo agoLNAVI Junior14–161mo agoWNAVI Junior13–51mo agoLTrafficPills11–131mo agoWBERG13–111mo agoLVexar11–132mo ago
Phantom Academy on Nuke
WBebop13–71d agoWAzuolas13–120d agoLButterfly2–1323d agoWBushido Wildcats16–1325d agoLSpirit Academy5–1328d agoLWW10–131mo agoWPCIFIC13–41mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity13–161mo ago
AnubisPHA ban56%5-450%3-3
Falcons Force on Anubis
LNAVI Junior9–1321d agoLABT11–1321d agoWFortress13–111mo agoWENCE16–131mo agoWEnjoy13–41mo agoWVexar22–202mo agoLPermitta6–132mo agoLfnatic13–165mo ago
Phantom Academy on Anubis
Wantidaun13–34d agoLNoir Verse6–131mo agoLbenched gods7–131mo agoWDiamant13–114mo agoWImmuNe13–116mo agoLTNT4–137mo ago
Ancientdecider41%7-1044%7-9
Falcons Force on Ancient
WPrivateer13–21d agoLMAYBE5–134d agoWZOTIX13–92mo agoLHonvéd11–132mo agoWPermitta13–82mo agoLbrazylijski luz6–135mo agoWMANA13–105mo agoLSPARTA16–195mo ago
Phantom Academy on Ancient
LRyvex8–133d agoWROUNDS13–522d agoWIllyrians13–125d agoWeternal premium13–526d agoLSpirit Academy8–1328d agoLUNiTY11–131mo agoLNoir Verse10–131mo agoWKAMUI13–111mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Falcons Force Overpass · Phantom Academy Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Falcons Force

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/50 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 50 maps they won, 14 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Young TigeRESCachefrom 8 downvs VexarAnubisfrom 6 downvs ZOTIXAncientfrom 6 downvs ENCEAnubisfrom 5 downvs BebopCachefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/60 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 23 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AaBAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs SharksAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs TrafficPillsNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs FamalicãoDust2led 5 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Young TigeRESCachefrom 8 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AaBAncientled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs JiJieHaoInferno20-22vs FamalicãoDust212-16vs fnaticAnubis13-16vs AMAncient13-16vs SPARTAAncient16-19

Phantom Academy

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i18/42 (43%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 42 maps they won, 18 (43%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 43% of their wins were comebacks, not 43% of all games.vs Noir VerseCachefrom 13 downvs antidaunAnubisfrom 10 downvs benched godsMiragefrom 7 downvs Bushido WildcatsNukefrom 7 downvs ImmuNeDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/42 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 42 maps they lost, 14 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs WWDust2led 8 · lost 6-13vs MisaCacheled 7 · lost 11-13vs Spirit AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 8-13vs TNCAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs benched godsCacheled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 13 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Noir VerseCachefrom 13 down · won 13-0
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs WWDust2led 8 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs TNCAncient12-16vs HonvédDust214-16vs benched godsMirage16-13vs ex-Zero TenacityNuke13-16vs benched godsMirage16-14

Falcons Force vs Phantom Academy FAQ

Who is favored to win Falcons Force vs Phantom Academy?

Falcons Force are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Falcons Force vs Phantom Academy?

Bookmakers price Falcons Force at 1.6 and Phantom Academy at 2.16 (implied 57% vs 43%).

When do Falcons Force and Phantom Academy play?

Falcons Force vs Phantom Academy is scheduled for 2026-10-22 11:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8.

Falcons Force vs Phantom Academy Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER