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Sangal vs Metizport: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier

Sangal
World #40 · 44-31
VS
2026-10-22 16:30 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3 · ★
Metizport
World #59 · 50-39
Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3 · ★
51%
Win probability
49%
53%
1.751.95Market · 5 booksBookmakerSANMET1red1.751.95Epicbet1.751.95Stake1.751.95Thunderpick Row1.751.95duelbits1.751.95
47%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 51–49. Bookmakers lean Sangal at 53%. Firepower clearly favours Metizport.

Likely mapsNuke · Anubis · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

Sangal · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
adamS★1.1678.777.9%45%1.2
Joey1.0979.873.3%50%1.18
bnox1.0677.274%56%1.16
R4DYX1.0368.771.7%39%1.06
puuha0.9168.373.9%49%1.05

Metizport · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
MaiL09★1.1375.873.9%67%1.18
F1KU1.0773.774%58%1.15
forsyy1.2773.774.9%33%1.15
Plopski177.174%50%1.11
stanislaw0.8261.771.8%51%0.96

Recent form

Sangal

BRUTE1d ago2-1Aurora Young Blud2d ago2-0100 ThievesPistolsPist3/46d ago0-2Inner CircleUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT10d ago2-0BetclicPistolsPist4/4OvertimeOT10d ago2-0Inner Circle10d ago0-2NAVI JuniorUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL612d ago1-2PUREStompStomp2-1312d ago2-1G2 AresOvertimeOT13d ago2-1EACPistolsPist3/413d ago2-0FaZeOvertimeOT14d ago1-2OGOvertimeOT14d ago2-0NAVI JuniorUpsetUpset15d ago6-13SAW15d ago13-10RBLSPistolsPist2/215d ago13-6

Metizport

GenOnePistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-21d ago2-0ex-RUSTECPistolsPist3/42d ago2-0Younglings9d ago6-13K2715d ago1-2Inner Circle Academy25d ago2-0aimclubPistolsPist5/626d ago2-1HAVUPistolsPist6/627d ago2-1OptibetStompStomp13-227d ago2-1GamerLegionUpsetUpsetPistolsPist2/21mo ago13-5M801mo ago9-13Ninjas in Pyjamas1mo ago8-13LuminosityPistolsPist2/21mo ago9-13B81mo ago8-13NemigaBlew leadBL8OvertimeOT1mo ago0-2ex-Zero TenacityBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT1mo ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Ninjas in Pyjamas#192-20-1
Sangal vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Oct 2WNuke13-4Sep 3LCache13-10Ancient8-13Nuke12-16
Metizport vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Sep 17LNuke8-13
Nemiga#240-21-4
Sangal vs Nemiga
Mar 23LNuke7-13Dust21-13
Metizport vs Nemiga
Sep 14LMirage14-16Nuke8-13Mar 15LNuke13-10Ancient2-13Overpass11-13
JiJieHao#443-21-2
Sangal vs JiJieHao
Sep 25WCache13-9Ancient13-10Aug 8LAnubis13-11Mirage9-13Dust22-13
Metizport vs JiJieHao
Mar 3LInferno5-13Ancient13-11Dust27-13
Betclic#582-00-1
Sangal vs Betclic
Oct 12WMirage13-5Anubis16-13
Metizport vs Betclic
May 21LNuke2-13
ex-Zero Tenacity#671-22-1
Sangal vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Mar 13LMirage13-11Inferno11-13Nuke10-13
Metizport vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Sep 13WCache13-6Nuke14-16Inferno13-9
FORZE Reload#802-01-2
Sangal vs FORZE Reload
Jan 20WMirage13-7Ancient13-10
Metizport vs FORZE Reload
Jan 29LNuke5-13Overpass13-9Ancient9-13
UNiTY#862-04-1
Sangal vs UNiTY
Mar 21WAncient13-9Mirage13-11
Metizport vs UNiTY
Mar 23WAncient13-9Inferno13-11Mar 23WAncient13-7Inferno8-13Overpass13-10
Inner Circle Academy#872-02-0
Sangal vs Inner Circle Academy
Sep 30WNuke13-8Ancient16-13
Metizport vs Inner Circle Academy
Sep 27WAnubis13-9Nuke13-9

Map lab

Sangal60%to win the Bo3 · most likely Sangal 2-1
If the veto goes
Sangal 60%how the series ends40% Metizport
24%2-025%
36%2-115%
Map 1NukeSangal pick
Sangal55%24-12vsMetizport45%30-19
67%Win61%
60%CT53%
52%T52%
58%Pistol45%
88%Conv89%
Map 2AnubisMetizport pick
Sangal44%9-7vsMetizport56%7-4
56%Win64%
45%CT52%
56%T55%
44%Pistol41%
77%Conv78%
Map 3Cachedecider
Sangal71%11-4vsMetizport29%4-4
73%Win50%
60%CT57%
53%T41%
53%Pistol50%
94%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

SangalNukeMetizport
60%CT side53%
52%T side52%
58%Pistol45%
88%After win89%
23%After loss28%
SangalAnubisMetizport
45%CT side52%
56%T side55%
44%Pistol41%
77%After win78%
28%After loss31%
SangalCacheMetizport
60%CT side57%
53%T side41%
53%Pistol50%
94%After win100%
29%After loss38%
Pistol rounds54% · 45% · Sangal win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol87% · 89% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol26% · 29% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Sangal vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSANMET
InfernoSAN ban63%5-361%22-14
Sangal on Inferno
LPassion UA11–137mo agoWTricked13–107mo agoWASTRAL13–37mo agoWPURE13–57mo agoWWildcard13–117mo agoWNOMERCY13–37mo agoLFAVBET8–137mo agoLex-Zero Tenacity11–137mo ago
Metizport on Inferno
Laimclub7–1326d agoWHAVU13–627d agoWex-Zero Tenacity13–91mo agoWLavked13–111mo agoWSashi16–132mo agoWWalczaki13–62mo agoLPCIFIC8–132mo agoWPCIFIC13–72mo ago
Dust2MET ban36%8-1436%5-9
Sangal on Dust2
L100 Thieves5–136d agoWInner Circle16–1210d agoLInner Circle6–1310d agoWFaZe16–1314d agoWOG19–1514d agoLEternal Fire5–1319d agoWENCE13–522d agoLENCE10–1323d ago
Metizport on Dust2
LARCRED5–136mo agoLQWENTRY11–137mo agoLRUSTEC8–137mo agoWK2713–118mo agoLQWENTRY6–138mo agoWLeo13–108mo agoLJiJieHao7–138mo agoWAcend13–118mo ago
NukeSAN pick67%24-1261%30-19
Sangal on Nuke
LBRUTE4–131d agoWAurora Young Blud13–42d agoL100 Thieves8–136d agoWPURE13–312d agoWEAC13–713d agoLFaZe7–1314d agoWOG16–1414d agoWRBLS13–615d ago
Metizport on Nuke
WGenOne13–21d agoWex-RUSTEC13–92d agoWK2713–1115d agoWInner Circle Academy13–925d agoLHAVU8–1327d agoWOptibet13–827d agoWGamerLegion13–51mo agoLNinjas in Pyjamas8–131mo ago
AnubisMET pick56%9-764%7-4
Sangal on Anubis
WBRUTE13–91d agoWBetclic16–1310d agoLInner Circle9–1310d agoLNAVI Junior7–1312d agoWG2 Ares16–1313d agoLNAVI Junior6–1315d agoWLazer Cats13–415d agoWSportsBetExpert13–420d ago
Metizport on Anubis
Wex-RUSTEC13–72d agoLYounglings6–139d agoWInner Circle Academy13–925d agoLM809–131mo agoWWalczaki13–92mo agoWPCIFIC13–72mo agoLASTRAL10–132mo agoWFire Flux13–72mo ago
AncientSAN ban43%9-1258%14-10
Sangal on Ancient
WAurora Young Blud13–112d agoLPURE2–1312d agoLG2 Ares10–1313d agoWInner Circle Academy16–1322d agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–1023d agoWJiJieHao13–1027d agoLAstralis7–131mo agoLNinjas in Pyjamas8–132mo ago
Metizport on Ancient
Waimclub13–726d agoLOptibet9–1327d agoW9INE13–112mo agoLOG7–132mo agoWFire Flux13–62mo agoWPrestige13–23mo agoWPrestige13–103mo agoLJohnny Speeds13–163mo ago
MirageMET ban59%19-1356%15-12
Sangal on Mirage
WBRUTE13–31d agoWBetclic13–510d agoLNAVI Junior2–1312d agoWEAC13–713d agoLHAVU12–1620d agoWXEPT13–720d agoWBBL13–1020d agoLHEROIC8–1326d ago
Metizport on Mirage
LK278–1315d agoWaimclub13–626d agoWHAVU13–1027d agoWOptibet13–227d agoLLuminosity9–131mo agoLNemiga14–161mo agoWLavked16–141mo agoLBushido Wildcats9–132mo ago
Cachedecider73%11-450%4-4
Sangal on Cache
WInner Circle13–1110d agoWNAVI Junior13–412d agoWPURE13–912d agoWG2 Ares13–413d agoLFaZe8–1314d agoWFamalicão16–1315d agoLEternal Fire11–1319d agoWENCE13–1122d ago
Metizport on Cache
WGenOne13–31d agoLK276–1315d agoLB88–131mo agoWex-Zero Tenacity13–61mo agoWSashi16–132mo agoLASTRAL9–132mo agoWColor13–112mo agoLLiquid9–133mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Sangal Inferno · Metizport Dust2.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Sangal

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i30/86 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 86 maps they won, 30 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs Lazer CatsAnubisfrom 9 downvs ENCECachefrom 8 downvs OGDust2from 8 downvs Inner Circle AcademyAncientfrom 6 downvs FORZE ReloadAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/67 (39%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 67 maps they lost, 26 (39%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ASTRALDust2led 8 · lost 11-13vs AstralisAncientled 8 · lost 7-13vs illwillNukeled 7 · lost 17-19vs illwillMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs NAVI JuniorAnubisled 6 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Lazer CatsAnubisfrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ASTRALDust2led 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs HOTUOverpass14-16vs illwillNuke17-19vs NemesisNuke14-16vs DziuseppeAncient16-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasNuke12-16

Metizport

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i37/111 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 111 maps they won, 37 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs PrestigeAncientfrom 11 downvs OGInfernofrom 9 downvs SIXSEVENDust2from 7 downvs ALGOMiragefrom 7 downvs ENCE AcademyOverpassfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/84 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 84 maps they lost, 26 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NemigaMirageled 8 · lost 14-16vs K27Mirageled 7 · lost 8-13vs ex-Zero TenacityNukeled 6 · lost 14-16vs FAVBETNukeled 5 · lost 17-19vs LuminosityMirageled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PrestigeAncientfrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NemigaMirageled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs BebopMirage20-22vs SIXSEVENDust216-14vs AllianceNuke17-19vs Lazer CatsInferno16-13vs AaBOverpass16-13

Sangal vs Metizport FAQ

Who is favored to win Sangal vs Metizport?

Sangal are favored with a 51% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Sangal vs Metizport?

Bookmakers price Sangal at 1.75 and Metizport at 1.95 (implied 53% vs 47%).

When do Sangal and Metizport play?

Sangal vs Metizport is scheduled for 2026-10-22 16:30 UTC at Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier.