Matches / Upcoming / Vitality vs Falcons
Vitality vs Falcons: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2
Vitality
World #2 · 51-12
VS
2026-11-11 05:30 UTC
BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2 · Best of 3 · ★★★
Falcons
World #6 · 42-19
BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2 · Best of 3 · ★★★
75%25%
65%
1.422.66Market · 14 books
35%The call · high confidence
Vitality are favoured: our model gives them 75% against Falcons. Bookmakers lean Vitality at 65%. Strength slightly favours Vitality, record slightly favours Vitality, form clearly favours Vitality, firepower clearly favours Vitality, head-to-head slightly favours Falcons.
Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Firepower
roster ratingsVitality · avg 1.19 · star gap +0.25iStar gap: the best player rates 0.25 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Falcons · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.21iStar gap: the best player rates 0.21 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents17d ago
Vitality2 : 1
Falcons◆ same lineup4mo ago Vitality1 : 2 Falcons◆ same lineup6mo ago Vitality1 : 2 Falcons!9mo ago Vitality1 : 2 Falcons!
Vitality2 : 1 Falcons◆ same lineup4mo ago Vitality1 : 2 Falcons◆ same lineup6mo ago Vitality1 : 2 Falcons!⚠ Different lineup
Falcons
outkyxsan
inkarrigan
Vitality1 : 2 Falcons!⚠ Different lineup
Falcons
outNucleonZ, kyxsan
inkarrigan, kyousuke
Spirit#14-24-10
Falcons vs Spirit
Oct 9LMirage8-13Anubis10-13Sep 5LNuke8-13Ancient11-13Jun 20WAnubis16-14Mirage8-13Dust216-12+3 earlier meetings
FURIA#311-211-3
Vitality vs FURIA
Sep 20WCache13-5Anubis13-8Sep 18WMirage13-8Dust213-5Sep 4WNuke6-13Cache13-11Dust213-4+2 earlier meetings
Falcons vs FURIA
Jun 21WMirage13-8Anubis13-8Inferno13-8May 15WMirage9-13Nuke22-20Dust219-17Apr 19WDust213-11Mirage13-11+2 earlier meetings
MOUZ#49-33-5
Vitality vs MOUZ
Oct 11WCache13-8Inferno13-7Dust216-12Sep 5LDust211-13Mirage7-13Jun 13WMirage13-9Dust27-13Inferno13-4+2 earlier meetings
Aurora#512-44-4
Legacy#72-15-6
Vitality vs Legacy
Aug 30WNuke16-14Mirage9-13Dust213-8Falcons vs Legacy
Aug 29WMirage13-6Ancient10-13Dust213-6Aug 21LMirage7-13Dust210-13May 24LNuke13-11Ancient9-13Mirage6-13Dust26-13+1 earlier meeting
G2#86-34-1
Natus Vincere#1111-35-4
Vitality vs Natus Vincere
Oct 4WAnubis13-5Nuke5-13Mirage13-4May 16LDust213-11Anubis11-13Inferno3-13May 3WNuke16-12Anubis13-11Dust213-3+2 earlier meetings
PARIVISION#137-01-7
Map lab
Vitality67%to win the Bo3 · most likely Vitality 2-0
If the veto goes
Vitality 67%how the series ends33% Falcons
45%2-010%
22%2-122%
Vitality73%31-6vsFalcons27%28-16
84%Win64%
63%CT53%
62%T54%
55%Pistol49%
85%Conv88%
Vitality62%19-9vsFalcons38%19-15
68%Win56%
62%CT57%
46%T45%
54%Pistol62%
90%Conv81%
Vitality50%16-6vsFalcons50%11-4
73%Win73%
72%CT67%
39%T37%
59%Pistol53%
73%Conv88%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
VitalityDust2Falcons
63%CT side53%
62%T side54%
55%Pistol49%
85%After win88%
36%After loss18%
VitalityMirageFalcons
62%CT side57%
46%T side45%
54%Pistol62%
90%After win81%
15%After loss12%
VitalityNukeFalcons
72%CT side67%
39%T side37%
59%Pistol53%
73%After win88%
44%After loss21%
Pistol rounds56% · 54% · level, no edge
After a won pistol84% · 85% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol31% · 16% · Vitality fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Vitality vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Falcons habitually bans Overpass, Vitality's strongest maps (Overpass, Dust2, Inferno, Mirage, Ancient, Nuke, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Overpass 40/61), not an opponent read, so expect Vitality to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapVITFAL
AncientVIT ban100%2-055%12-10
CacheFAL ban88%7-1n/a0g
Vitality on Cache
WMOUZ13–811d agoWAurora13–712d agoW
1win13–519d agoWAurora13–71mo agoWFURIA13–51mo agoWFURIA13–112mo agoL
Inner Circle13–162mo agoW
FaZe13–62mo agoFalcons on Cache
no recent maps
Dust2VIT pick84%31-664%28-16
MirageFAL pick68%19-956%19-15
AnubisVIT ban47%9-1071%12-5
InfernoFAL ban77%17-557%12-9
Nukedecider73%16-673%11-4
Each team's usual first ban: Vitality Ancient · Falcons Overpass.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Vitality
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/116 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 116 maps they won, 36 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 downvs Natus VincereNukefrom 11 downvs AuroraAnubisfrom 9 downvs AuroraMiragefrom 9 downvs FalconsDust2from 9 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/38 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 38 maps they lost, 17 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs FalconsMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs B8Infernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Inner CircleCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs AuroraAnubisled 6 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs EYEBALLERSAnubis19-16vs AuroraAncient25-22vs The MongolZMirage16-13vs PARIVISIONInferno16-13vs The MongolZOverpass16-13
Falcons
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/94 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 94 maps they won, 36 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs 100 ThievesNukefrom 10 downvs 3DMAXInfernofrom 8 downvs The MongolZMiragefrom 7 downvs Lynn VisionDust2from 7 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasDust2from 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/59 (44%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 59 maps they lost, 26 (44%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs VitalityDust2led 9 · lost 4-13vs BetBoomNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs 100 ThievesAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs 9zNukeled 6 · lost 8-13vs FaZeDust2led 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 100 ThievesNukefrom 10 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs VitalityDust2led 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs LiquidNuke16-14vs MOUZInferno14-16vs MOUZDust217-19vs FURIAMirage14-16vs PARIVISIONDust214-16
Vitality vs Falcons FAQ
Who is favored to win Vitality vs Falcons?
Vitality are favored with a 75% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Vitality vs Falcons?
Bookmakers price Vitality at 1.42 and Falcons at 2.66 (implied 65% vs 35%).
When do Vitality and Falcons play?
Vitality vs Falcons is scheduled for 2026-11-11 05:30 UTC at BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 2.