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BASEMENT BOYS vs Spirit Academy: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Closed Qualifier

BASEMENT BOYS
World #64 · 53-50
VS
2026-11-08 09:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Spirit Academy
World #83 · 35-21
NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
51%
Win probability
49%
55%
1.682.06Market · 15 booksBookmakerBASSPIGranaWin1.652.02duelbits1.652.05ivibet1.652.02GGBet1.662.081red1.682.051xBit1.682.061xbet1.682.06ColdBet1.682.06Epicbet1.682.05Shuffle1.682.1Spinbet1.682.06Stake1.682.05Thunderpick Row1.682.05Vivatbet1.682.06betlabel1.682.06
45%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 51–49. Bookmakers lean BASEMENT BOYS at 55%. Record slightly favours Spirit Academy, form slightly favours BASEMENT BOYS.

Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

BASEMENT BOYS · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
kAlash★0.9978.571.8%60%1.16
OWNER1.0479.971.2%53%1.15
Tr0ublE1.1372.470.3%38%1.13
maggent0.9870.973.5%55%1.07
kr1vda0.9166.870.9%56%1.04

Spirit Academy · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Kiryasoo★1.2279.371.3%35%1.21
s1nside1.1276.973.6%66%1.21
Netrix0.9568.372.7%61%1.07
VILBy0.8869.169.2%53%0.98
Tresh0.76458.7%53%0.89

Recent form

BASEMENT BOYS

Johnny Speeds2d ago2-0MisaPistolsPist3/43d ago2-0JiJieHaoPistolsPist3/48d ago0-2Toobisie9d ago2-1ToobisieStompStomp2-139d ago2-13NexusStompStomp13-218d ago1-2Iberian SoulUpsetUpsetStompStomp13-218d ago2-1Eternal Fire18d ago1-2EnvyUpsetUpset19d ago2-0aimclubPistolsPist3/420d ago2-0INFINITE20d ago5-13aimclubComebackCB620d ago13-6Eternal FireOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2Glitch1mo ago13-3BC.GameStompStomp2-131mo ago2-13

Spirit Academy

Leo4d ago2-0PsychoFaceStompStomp1-135d ago1-2Noir VerseUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT6d ago1-2Phantom8d ago0-2Falcons Force9d ago2-0megoshort10d ago2-0ex-INOXComebackCB6OvertimeOT10d ago2-0ex-RUSTECPistolsPist3/412d ago2-0ex-Zero TenacityPistolsPist3/4StompStomp2-1314d ago0-2LFO 10PistolsPist3/4ComebackCB614d ago2-0LavkedComebackCB7OvertimeOT15d ago2-0Inner Circle Academy16d ago1-2GenOneComebackCB6OvertimeOT17d ago2-1LavkedOvertimeOT18d ago2-1Black PhoenixPistolsPist2/219d ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Inner Circle#381-20-2
BASEMENT BOYS vs Inner Circle
Mar 30LDust26-13Anubis13-11Ancient10-13
Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle
Jun 18LNuke7-13Dust21-13
Nexus#552-22-0
BASEMENT BOYS vs Nexus
Oct 21LAnubis13-2Mirage5-13Cache8-13Mar 29WAnubis13-8
Spirit Academy vs Nexus
Sep 18WDust213-1Cache13-8
Betclic#562-13-3
BASEMENT BOYS vs Betclic
Jan 15WAncient13-9Nuke7-13Mirage13-6
Spirit Academy vs Betclic
Oct 19LNuke13-9Mirage10-13Cache9-13Jun 7WMirage8-13Nuke19-17Overpass13-6
Leo#792-02-2
BASEMENT BOYS vs Leo
Aug 4WAnubis13-8Mirage13-7
Spirit Academy vs Leo
Nov 4WDust213-5Nuke13-7Sep 23LCache10-13Nuke1-13
ex-Zero Tenacity#870-20-2
BASEMENT BOYS vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Mar 6LNuke10-13Inferno6-13
Spirit Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Oct 25LCache5-13Nuke2-13
QUAZAR#881-22-0
BASEMENT BOYS vs QUAZAR
Aug 27LDust216-13Anubis6-13Cache6-13
Spirit Academy vs QUAZAR
Jul 17WDust213-2Anubis13-8
Inner Circle Academy#924-21-2
BASEMENT BOYS vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17WAncient13-7Nuke8-13Dust219-17May 17WAncient13-6Nuke7-13Dust213-9
Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle Academy
Oct 23LAncient13-9Anubis6-13Dust29-13
BAKS#962-10-4
BASEMENT BOYS vs BAKS
Aug 15WCache13-5Nuke4-13Dust213-4
Spirit Academy vs BAKS
Oct 13LCache11-13Nuke6-13Sep 15LMirage11-13Cache9-13

Map lab

Spirit Academy59%to win the Bo3 · most likely Spirit Academy 2-1
If the veto goes
BASEMENT BOYS 41%how the series ends59% Spirit Academy
20%2-027%
21%2-132%
Map 1MirageBASEMENT BOYS pick
BASEMENT BOYS60%26-17vsSpirit Academy40%11-11
60%Win50%
56%CT58%
48%T41%
48%Pistol48%
80%Conv90%
Map 2AncientSpirit Academy pick
BASEMENT BOYS33%22-22vsSpirit Academy67%17-8
50%Win68%
54%CT57%
48%T51%
55%Pistol44%
88%Conv91%
Map 3Nukedecider
BASEMENT BOYS39%23-25vsSpirit Academy61%16-11
48%Win59%
52%CT57%
47%T38%
55%Pistol52%
85%Conv79%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

BASEMENT BOYSMirageSpirit Academy
56%CT side58%
48%T side41%
48%Pistol48%
80%After win90%
11%After loss9%
BASEMENT BOYSAncientSpirit Academy
54%CT side57%
48%T side51%
55%Pistol44%
88%After win91%
18%After loss25%
BASEMENT BOYSNukeSpirit Academy
52%CT side57%
47%T side38%
55%Pistol52%
85%After win79%
24%After loss19%
Pistol rounds53% · 48% · BASEMENT BOYS win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol85% · 86% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol17% · 18% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BASEMENT BOYS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBASSPI
InfernoBAS ban41%7-10n/a0g
BASEMENT BOYS on Inferno
LBC.Game8–133mo agoLAlliance7–135mo agoLfnatic5–135mo agoWBy Legends13–25mo agoLJiJieHao12–166mo agoWMASONIC13–46mo agoL100 Thieves2–136mo agoLaimclub5–137mo ago
Spirit Academy on Inferno
no recent maps
AnubisSPI ban63%12-756%5-4
BASEMENT BOYS on Anubis
WMisa13–33d agoWToobisie13–109d agoWNexus13–218d agoWoverTIME13–111mo agoLRBLS3–132mo agoLQUAZAR6–132mo agoWSINQU13–33mo agoWLeo13–83mo ago
Spirit Academy on Anubis
LPhantom10–138d agoWex-RUSTEC13–812d agoLInner Circle Academy6–1316d agoLGenOne9–1317d agoWThe Last Resort13–624d agoLFire Flux20–221mo agoWMai Tai13–112mo agoWDONSTU13–112mo ago
MirageBAS pick60%26-1750%11-11
BASEMENT BOYS on Mirage
WMisa13–63d agoWToobisie13–89d agoLNexus5–1318d agoWIberian Soul16–1318d agoWEternal Fire13–818d agoWaimclub13–820d agoWaimclub13–620d agoWEternal Fire16–121mo ago
Spirit Academy on Mirage
LPsychoFace7–135d agoLNoir Verse4–136d agoWFalcons Force13–59d agoWex-RUSTEC13–612d agoWLavked13–515d agoWLavked16–1418d agoWBlack Phoenix13–619d agoLBetclic10–1320d ago
AncientSPI pick50%22-2268%17-8
BASEMENT BOYS on Ancient
WJohnny Speeds13–112d agoLJiJieHao9–138d agoWIberian Soul13–218d agoLEternal Fire6–1318d agoWEnvy13–1019d agoLINFINITE5–1320d agoLEternal Fire6–131mo agoWPrestige13–111mo ago
Spirit Academy on Ancient
LPsychoFace1–135d agoLNoir Verse12–166d agoLPhantom6–138d agoWmegoshort13–710d agoWex-INOX13–610d agoWLFO 1013–514d agoWInner Circle Academy13–916d agoLLavked18–2218d ago
Dust2BAS ban53%21-1968%15-7
BASEMENT BOYS on Dust2
LJiJieHao4–138d agoWaimclub13–720d agoWGlitch13–31mo agoWMOUZ NXT13–62mo agoLmellren3–132mo agoWVexar13–22mo agoWDark Moon13–62mo agoWQUAZAR16–132mo ago
Spirit Academy on Dust2
WLeo13–54d agoWFalcons Force13–109d agoWmegoshort13–710d agoWLFO 1013–914d agoLInner Circle Academy9–1316d agoWGenOne16–1317d agoWLavked13–518d agoWmellren13–1021d ago
CacheSPI ban41%7-1050%9-9
BASEMENT BOYS on Cache
WJohnny Speeds13–42d agoLToobisie2–139d agoLNexus8–1318d agoLEternal Fire7–1318d agoWEnvy13–819d agoLEternal Fire7–131mo agoLBC.Game2–131mo agoLSashi9–131mo ago
Spirit Academy on Cache
WPsychoFace13–105d agoWNoir Verse13–46d agoLex-Zero Tenacity5–1314d agoLBetclic9–1320d agoLBAKS11–1326d agoWMAYBE13–91mo agoLINOX Division12–161mo agoWPhantom Academy16–131mo ago
Nukedecider48%23-2559%16-11
BASEMENT BOYS on Nuke
LToobisie9–139d agoLIberian Soul10–1318d agoWoverTIME13–111mo agoLRBLS8–132mo agoWMOUZ NXT13–102mo agoWWBT Academy13–62mo agoWmellren13–52mo agoLEAC10–132mo ago
Spirit Academy on Nuke
WLeo13–74d agoWex-INOX19–1710d agoLex-Zero Tenacity2–1314d agoWLavked16–1315d agoWGenOne13–1117d agoWBetclic13–920d agoWmellren13–921d agoLBAKS6–1326d ago
Each team's usual first ban: BASEMENT BOYS Overpass · Spirit Academy Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

BASEMENT BOYS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i47/119 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 119 maps they won, 47 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs MisaAnubisfrom 10 downvs LPAncientfrom 9 downvs AcendAncientfrom 8 downvs PigeonsMiragefrom 6 downvs CSDIILITAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/113 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 113 maps they lost, 29 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs mellrenDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs NexusMirageled 10 · lost 5-13vs EACAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs JiJieHaoInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs EACNukeled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MisaAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs mellrenDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 28Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 28 went to overtime.vs AaBMirage16-12vs ARCREDInferno16-13vs RebelsNuke14-16vs brazylijski luzNuke19-17vs PigeonsMirage16-13

Spirit Academy

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/74 (46%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 74 maps they won, 34 (46%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 46% of their wins were comebacks, not 46% of all games.vs Mai TaiAnubisfrom 8 downvs aimclubDust2from 7 downvs MAYBENukefrom 7 downvs Fire FluxNukefrom 7 downvs LavkedNukefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/50 (46%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 23 (46%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PsychoFaceAncientled 12 · lost 1-13vs Inner Circle AcademyAnubisled 11 · lost 6-13vs Just PlayersMirageled 8 · lost 14-16vs ex-Zero TenacityCacheled 8 · lost 5-13vs INOX DivisionNukeled 7 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Mai TaiAnubisfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PsychoFaceAncientled 12 · lost 1-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs BetclicNuke19-17vs Just PlayersDust213-16vs Young TigeRESDust225-22vs Nuclear TigeRESCache13-16vs ex-RUSTECDust213-16

BASEMENT BOYS vs Spirit Academy FAQ

Who is favored to win BASEMENT BOYS vs Spirit Academy?

BASEMENT BOYS are favored with a 51% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for BASEMENT BOYS vs Spirit Academy?

Bookmakers price BASEMENT BOYS at 1.68 and Spirit Academy at 2.06 (implied 55% vs 45%).

When do BASEMENT BOYS and Spirit Academy play?

BASEMENT BOYS vs Spirit Academy is scheduled for 2026-11-08 09:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 14 Closed Qualifier.