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Predictions / INOX Division vs The Last Resort · match preview
INOX Division vs The Last Resort: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 8
INOX Division
World #63 · 53-22
VS
2026-09-09 11:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
The Last Resort
World #106 · 37-30
85%15%
82%
1.145.26Market · 7 books
18%The call · high confidence
INOX Division are favoured: our model gives them 85% against The Last Resort. Bookmakers lean INOX Division at 82%. Strength clearly favours INOX Division, record slightly favours INOX Division, firepower clearly favours INOX Division, head-to-head clearly favours INOX Division.
Likely mapsInferno · Nuke · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
INOX DivisionpullThe Last Resort
Team strength1685
151182/18 INO
Track record53–22
37–3064/36 INO
Recent formWLWWL
WWLWL52/48 THE
Roster rating1.16
1.0790/10 INO
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 INO
Bookmakers imply 82% for INOX Division (1.14 / 5.26); we land 3 points higher at 85%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (181 maps of INOX Division, 159 of The Last Resort). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: INOX Division leads 1–0.
Bottom line: INOX Division to beat The Last Resort, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
INOX Division
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
INOX Division
Betclic#414-22-4
Nemesis#430-20-2
INOX Division vs Nemesis
May 26LInferno12-16Ancient6-13The Last Resort vs Nemesis
Apr 25LAncient9-13Mirage8-13
Nemiga#461-20-2
INOX Division vs Nemiga
May 9LNuke7-13Anubis13-8Overpass11-13The Last Resort vs Nemiga
Mar 17LNuke5-13Anubis3-13
GenOne#554-10-4
Phantom#592-11-2
INOX Division vs Phantom
Jul 26WAncient13-7Inferno3-13Nuke13-8The Last Resort vs Phantom
Apr 27LAncient13-11Mirage8-13Nuke4-13
ex-Zero Tenacity#778-42-0
INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Sep 5WNuke13-8Cache3-13Dust213-6Aug 30WCache13-7Nuke13-5Aug 30LInferno3-13Cache13-16+2 earlier meetings
The Last Resort vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 23WInferno13-7Overpass13-10EX-ex-RUBY#783-32-0
The Last Resort vs ex-RUBY
Mar 18WNuke13-3Mirage13-11JUSJust Players#964-12-1
The Last Resort vs Just Players
Apr 26WMirage13-4Overpass11-13Nuke13-7Firepower
roster ratingsINOX Division · avg 1.16 · top +0.14
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, INOX Division vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
The Last Resort habitually bans Dust2, INOX Division's strongest maps (Dust2, Ancient, Anubis, Inferno, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 49/68), not an opponent read, so expect INOX Division to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapINOTHE
MirageINO bann/a0g29%5-12
INOX Division on Mirage
no recent maps
Dust2THE ban72%26-1040%4-6
InfernoINO pick67%26-1360%12-8
NukeTHE pick72%28-1154%20-17
AnubisINO ban60%9-663%10-6
AncientTHE ban64%18-1056%18-14
Cachedecider50%5-567%4-2
Each team's usual first ban: INOX Division Mirage · The Last Resort Dust2.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
INOX Division56%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: INOX Division 57% · Nuke: INOX Division 67% clear · Cache: The Last Resort 63%WhyINOX Division hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesINOX Division 56%: 2-0 39%, 2-1 18% · The Last Resort 44%: 2-1 30%, 2-0 14%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
INOX Division 56%It’s nearly a coin-flip. INOX Division only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.44% The Last Resort
Inferno
INOX Division57%The Last Resort43%
26-13record12-8
67%win60%
56%CT win56%
54%T win52%
49%pistol60%
76%convert79%
Nuke
INOX Division67%The Last Resort33%
28-11record20-17
72%win54%
62%CT win60%
55%T win44%
50%pistol55%
79%convert80%
Cache
INOX Division38%The Last Resort62%
5-5record4-2
50%win67%
48%CT win55%
49%T win44%
60%pistol58%
83%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
INOct
INOt
THEct
THEt
INOpistol
INOconv
INOeco
THEpistol
THEconv
THEeco
Infernopool
56%211/380
54%241/446
56%122/218
52%89/170
49%38/78
76%29/38
35%14/40
60%24/40
79%19/24
31%5/16
Nukepool
62%219/352
55%247/451
60%198/329
44%181/409
50%39/78
79%31/39
36%14/39
55%41/74
80%33/41
18%6/33
Cachepool
48%58/120
49%46/94
55%33/60
44%31/70
60%12/20
83%10/12
0%0/8
58%7/12
100%7/7
0%0/5
Mirageban
n/a
n/a
45%92/204
41%59/144
n/a
n/a
n/a
47%16/34
75%12/16
11%2/18
Dust2ban
64%259/406
52%165/318
39%39/101
49%33/68
58%42/72
86%36/42
27%8/30
45%9/20
67%6/9
18%2/11
Anubisban
52%83/161
55%82/148
55%95/174
50%83/167
40%12/30
100%12/12
39%7/18
44%14/32
71%10/14
17%3/18
Ancientban
59%186/316
52%128/248
56%171/304
46%167/361
61%34/56
71%24/34
18%4/22
44%28/64
75%21/28
25%9/36
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
The Last Resort wins more pistol rounds: 57% vs 51%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (79% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → INOX Division fight back to win the next round more often (32% vs 20%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
INOX Division
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/120 (24%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 120 maps they won, 29 (24%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 24% of their wins were comebacks, not 24% of all games.vs SPARTAOverpassfrom 8 downvs MANANukefrom 7 downvs OmegaOverpassfrom 6 downvs HYPERSPIRITInfernofrom 6 downvs MOUZ NXTDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/61 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 61 maps they lost, 23 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYNukeled 7 · lost 19-22vs MANANukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs NemesisInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs LavkedDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs NemigaOverpassled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs SPARTAOverpassfrom 8 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYNukeled 7 · lost 19-22
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs TDKOverpass13-16vs WalczakiDust216-13vs ex-RUBYNuke19-22vs HOTUDust222-25vs SPARTANuke20-22
The Last Resort
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/84 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 84 maps they won, 27 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 downvs QUAZARNukefrom 8 downvs LilmixMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersAncientfrom 6 downvs BetclicCachefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/75 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 75 maps they lost, 23 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs QUAZARAnubisled 10 · lost 10-13vs CTRLMirageled 9 · lost 11-13vs HonvédInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs HEROIC AcademyInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs Young NinjasMirageled 6 · lost 15-19
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs QUAZARAnubisled 10 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs FuzosOverpass16-13vs BUFF3D UPNuke16-13vs CTRLAncient16-14vs Rune EatersAnubis14-16vs HEROIC AcademyInferno14-16