Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / BETBOOM vs BIG · match preview
BETBOOM vs BIG: CS2 match prediction · FISSURE Playground 3
BETBOOM
World #– · 50-22
VS
2026-09-08 09:00 UTC
FISSURE Playground 3 · Best of 3 · ★
BIG
World #23 · 50-23
52%48%
58%
1.582.2Market · 4 books
42%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 52–48. Bookmakers lean BETBOOM at 58%. Firepower clearly favours BIG, head-to-head slightly favours BETBOOM.
Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Mirage
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
BETBOOMpullBIG
Team strength1629
165455/45 BIG
Track record50–22
50–2354/46 BIG
Recent formLLLWW
LWLLL54/46 BIG
Roster rating1.1
1.1580/20 BIG
Head-to-head1 maps
0 maps67/33 BET
Bookmakers imply 58% for BETBOOM (1.58 / 2.2); we land 6 points lower at 52%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (159 maps of BETBOOM, 154 of BIG). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: BIG leads 1–0.
Bottom line: BETBOOM to beat BIG, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
BETBOOM
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
BetBoom
Spirit#10-11-2
BETBOOM vs Spirit
Jun 6LMirage5-13BIG vs Spirit
Aug 15LCache13-9Dust210-13Mirage7-13
G2#94-51-4
Aurora#100-21-0
BETBOOM vs Aurora
Jun 18LNuke6-13Anubis9-13BIG vs Aurora
Aug 12WCache13-9
FaZe#120-32-1
BIG vs FaZe
Apr 5WDust23-13Overpass13-11Anubis13-3
B8#152-13-2
GamerLegion#185-00-2
BIG vs GamerLegion
Jun 4LOverpass14-16Ancient11-13
paiN#192-33-0
magic#201-22-2
BETBOOM vs magic
Feb 6LMirage16-12Ancient11-13Overpass2-13Firepower
roster ratingsBETBOOM · avg 1.1 · top +0.16
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BETBOOM vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBETBIG
InfernoBET bann/a0g72%13-5
BETBOOM on Inferno
no recent maps
NukeBIG ban59%19-1367%10-5
Dust2BET pick78%25-767%12-6
AncientBIG pick67%18-967%24-12
CacheBET ban0%0-171%5-2
AnubisBIG ban50%7-767%6-3
Miragedecider59%19-1354%13-11
Each team's usual first ban: BETBOOM Inferno · BIG Nuke.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
BETBOOM59%to win the seriesiMap edgesDust2: BETBOOM 64% · Ancient: BIG 50% toss-up · Mirage: BETBOOM 55% toss-upWhyBETBOOM hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesBETBOOM 59%: 2-0 32%, 2-1 28% · BIG 41%: 2-1 23%, 2-0 18%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
BETBOOM 59%It’s nearly a coin-flip. BETBOOM only lead because their Dust2 is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.41% BIG
Dust2
BETBOOM64%BIG36%
25-7record12-6
78%win67%
62%CT win63%
56%T win46%
42%pistol47%
89%convert88%
Ancient
BETBOOM50%BIG50%
18-9record24-12
67%win67%
61%CT win58%
48%T win50%
57%pistol53%
84%convert81%
Mirage
BETBOOM55%BIG45%
19-13record13-11
59%win54%
55%CT win59%
47%T win39%
38%pistol50%
71%convert75%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
BETct
BETt
BIGct
BIGt
BETpistol
BETconv
BETeco
BIGpistol
BIGconv
BIGeco
Dust2pool
62%206/331
56%181/325
63%128/204
46%77/169
42%27/64
89%24/27
27%10/37
47%17/36
88%15/17
16%3/19
Ancientpool
61%187/309
48%127/267
58%207/360
50%177/353
57%31/54
84%26/31
9%2/23
53%38/72
81%30/37
12%4/34
Miragepool
55%182/328
47%153/328
59%161/275
39%88/224
38%24/64
71%17/24
18%7/40
50%24/48
75%18/24
25%6/24
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
52%88/170
60%110/182
n/a
n/a
n/a
53%19/36
79%15/19
29%5/17
Nukeban
59%189/321
43%147/344
65%110/168
42%54/129
45%29/64
66%19/29
20%7/35
50%15/30
73%11/15
27%4/15
Cacheban
0%0/3
17%2/12
57%43/76
52%38/73
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
50%7/14
57%4/7
0%0/7
Anubisban
41%63/153
60%95/158
44%35/80
60%61/102
54%15/28
80%12/15
15%2/13
56%10/18
100%10/10
38%3/8
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
BIG wins more pistol rounds: 51% vs 45%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (82% vs 81%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (19% vs 17%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BETBOOM
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i38/98 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 98 maps they won, 38 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs WinnersMiragefrom 8 downvs magicMiragefrom 7 downvs FalconsNukefrom 7 downvs WinnersDust2from 6 downvs GenOneNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/61 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 61 maps they lost, 13 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs WildcardOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13vs KOLESIENukeled 6 · lost 14-16vs HOTUAnubisled 6 · lost 7-13vs HOTUDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs NemesisMirageled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WinnersMiragefrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs WildcardOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs WinnersMirage16-14vs HOTUAncient25-23vs GenOneNuke22-19vs KOLESIENuke14-16vs KOLESIEMirage16-13
BIG
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i30/101 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 101 maps they won, 30 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 downvs Gentle MatesAncientfrom 6 downvs magicOverpassfrom 6 downvs AMMiragefrom 5 downvs AMNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/53 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 53 maps they lost, 15 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HEROICDust2led 9 · lost 9-13vs G2Cacheled 8 · lost 5-13vs B8Dust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs SpiritDust2led 5 · lost 10-13vs NemigaAncientled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HEROICDust2led 9 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITOverpass17-19vs HAVUOverpass16-14vs LeoAnubis16-14vs AMNuke16-12vs NemesisMirage14-16