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Predictions / INFINITE vs INOX Division · match preview
INFINITE vs INOX Division: CS2 match prediction · 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier
INFINITE
World #67 · 33-24
VS
2026-09-07 15:00 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
INOX Division
World #62 · 52-21
45%55%
43%
2.161.63Market · 2 books
57%The call
INOX Division are favoured: our model gives them 55% against INFINITE. Bookmakers lean INOX Division at 57%. Strength clearly favours INOX Division, record slightly favours INOX Division, firepower slightly favours INOX Division, head-to-head clearly favours INFINITE.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
INFINITEpullINOX Division
Team strength1585
169272/28 INO
Track record33–24
52–2163/37 INO
Recent formWWLLW
WWLWW54/46 INO
Roster rating1.09
1.1665/35 INO
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 INF
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 43% for INFINITE (2.16 / 1.63) and we land at 45%, the same read. This read is 96% our own signal (108 maps of INFINITE, 176 of INOX Division). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: INFINITE leads 1–0.
Bottom line: INOX Division to beat INFINITE, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
INFINITE
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
INFINITE
INOX Division
HOTU#280-21-2
INFINITE vs HOTU
Jul 25LMirage9-13Anubis5-13INOX Division vs HOTU
May 12LNuke13-10Dust222-25Ancient6-13
100 Thieves#330-20-1
INFINITE vs 100 Thieves
Aug 9LNuke5-13Dust28-13INOX Division vs 100 Thieves
Aug 24LNuke6-13
Betclic#402-44-2
Nemesis#443-50-2
INFINITE vs Nemesis
Jul 24WMirage13-3Ancient5-13Inferno13-10Jul 22LMirage6-13Ancient13-10Inferno8-13Jun 16LMirage4-13Nuke7-13INOX Division vs Nemesis
May 26LInferno12-16Ancient6-13
Acend#460-33-2
Phantom#562-02-1
INFINITE vs Phantom
Sep 4WInferno13-7Mirage13-10INOX Division vs Phantom
Jul 26WAncient13-7Inferno3-13Nuke13-8
Eternal Fire#700-12-0
INFINITE vs Eternal Fire
Mar 29LMirage9-13INOX Division vs Eternal Fire
Aug 4WInferno13-5Cache13-11EX-ex-RUBY#792-23-3
Firepower
roster ratingsINFINITE · avg 1.09 · top +0.17
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, INFINITE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapINFINO
AnubisINF ban33%1-257%8-6
MirageINO ban59%17-12n/a0g
INFINITE on Mirage
W
QUAZAR13–112d agoWPhantom13–103d agoW
Black Phoenix13–105d agoW
Inner Circle Academy13–116d agoLBetclic9–131mo agoWAogiri13–61mo agoLHOTU9–131mo agoWNemesis13–32mo agoINOX Division on Mirage
no recent maps
Dust2INF pick57%12-974%26-9
InfernoINO pick54%7-667%26-13
NukeINF ban36%5-973%27-10
CacheINO ban50%2-250%5-5
Ancientdecider65%11-663%17-10
Each team's usual first ban: INFINITE Anubis · INOX Division Mirage.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
INOX Division65%to win the seriesiMap edgesDust2: INOX Division 68% clear · Inferno: INOX Division 63% · Ancient: INFINITE 51% toss-upWhyINOX Division hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesINFINITE 35%: 2-1 23%, 2-0 12% · INOX Division 65%: 2-0 42%, 2-1 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
INFINITE 35%INOX Division are the clearer side here: the most likely result is INOX Division 2-0.65% INOX Division
Dust2
INFINITE32%INOX Division68%
12-9record26-9
57%win74%
56%CT win65%
52%T win52%
60%pistol57%
72%convert88%
Inferno
INFINITE37%INOX Division63%
7-6record26-13
54%win67%
51%CT win56%
44%T win54%
35%pistol49%
78%convert76%
Ancient
INFINITE51%INOX Division49%
11-6record17-10
65%win63%
59%CT win59%
50%T win51%
50%pistol61%
76%convert70%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
INFct
INFt
INOct
INOt
INFpistol
INFconv
INFeco
INOpistol
INOconv
INOeco
Dust2pool
56%117/209
52%112/217
65%255/394
52%158/306
60%25/42
72%18/25
24%4/17
57%40/70
88%35/40
27%8/30
Infernopool
51%71/140
44%56/128
56%211/380
54%241/446
35%9/26
78%7/9
41%7/17
49%38/78
76%29/38
35%14/40
Ancientpool
59%88/149
50%95/189
59%179/304
51%122/237
50%17/34
76%13/17
18%3/17
61%33/54
70%23/33
19%4/21
Anubisban
43%13/30
43%15/35
50%75/149
54%77/142
50%3/6
100%3/3
67%2/3
43%12/28
100%12/12
31%5/16
Mirageban
61%176/289
44%136/307
n/a
n/a
47%27/58
89%24/27
19%6/31
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
53%82/154
34%44/131
63%207/329
55%235/427
32%9/28
67%6/9
26%5/19
49%36/74
78%28/36
37%14/38
Cacheban
67%32/48
47%17/36
48%58/120
49%46/94
50%4/8
100%4/4
50%2/4
60%12/20
83%10/12
0%0/8
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
INOX Division wins more pistol rounds: 55% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (75% vs 78%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (27% vs 29%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
INFINITE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/57 (46%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 26 (46%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 46% of their wins were comebacks, not 46% of all games.vs FOKUSMiragefrom 8 downvs HAVUInfernofrom 7 downvs ex-RUBYAncientfrom 7 downvs K27Nukefrom 7 downvs K27Miragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/50 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 15 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RebelsNukeled 9 · lost 14-16vs 3DMAXCacheled 8 · lost 16-19vs aimclubMirageled 5 · lost 7-13vs zajezdzaczeMirageled 5 · lost 14-16vs SPARTADust2led 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FOKUSMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RebelsNukeled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs PrestigeOverpass19-17vs zajezdzaczeMirage14-16vs RebelsNuke14-16vs SPARTADust213-16vs K27Nuke16-14
INOX Division
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/117 (24%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 117 maps they won, 28 (24%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 24% of their wins were comebacks, not 24% of all games.vs SPARTAOverpassfrom 8 downvs MANANukefrom 7 downvs OmegaOverpassfrom 6 downvs HYPERSPIRITInfernofrom 6 downvs MOUZ NXTDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/59 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 59 maps they lost, 22 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYNukeled 7 · lost 19-22vs MANANukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs NemesisInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs LavkedDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs NemigaOverpassled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs SPARTAOverpassfrom 8 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYNukeled 7 · lost 19-22
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs TDKOverpass13-16vs WalczakiDust216-13vs ex-RUBYNuke19-22vs HOTUDust222-25vs SPARTANuke20-22