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Predictions / Bebop vs WBT Academy · match preview
Bebop vs WBT Academy: CS2 match prediction · NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier
BEB
Bebop
World #198 · 45-47
VS
2026-09-10 11:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
WBT Academy
World #– · 1-2
39%61%
42%
2.181.59Market · 2 books
58%The call
WBT Academy are favoured: our model gives them 61% against Bebop. Bookmakers lean WBT Academy at 58%. Strength slightly favours WBT Academy, record slightly favours Bebop, form clearly favours WBT Academy, firepower clearly favours WBT Academy.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Anubis
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
BeboppullWBT Academy
Team strength1419
147963/37 WBT
Track record45–47
1–266/34 BEB
Recent formLLLLL
WLL78/22 WBT
Roster rating1.05
1.1395/5 WBT
Bookmakers imply 42% for Bebop (2.18 / 1.59); we land 3 points lower at 39%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 66% our own signal (231 maps of Bebop, 7 of WBT Academy; thin sample, treat it as a lean, not a lock).
Bottom line: WBT Academy to beat Bebop, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
Bebop
WBT Academy
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Firepower
roster ratingsBebop · avg 1.05 · top +0.08
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lov1kus | 205 | 1.1 | 78 | 72.9% | 54% | 1.13 |
| faydett | 226 | 0.93 | 75.1 | 71% | 54% | 1.05 |
| iDISBALANCE | 191 | 1.1 | 68.9 | 71.3% | 34% | 1.05 |
| redzed | 38 | 0.97 | 68 | 71.2% | 63% | 1.05 |
| wh1teout | 26 | 0.86 | 67.9 | 69.6% | 62% | 0.98 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Bebop vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBEBWBT
InfernoBEB ban45%10-12n/a0g
Bebop on Inferno
L
G2 Ares15–1918d agoL
HYPERSPIRIT6–1324d agoL
Falcons Force5–131mo agoW
RUSTEC16–123mo agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–114mo agoL
Rune Eaters9–134mo agoW
ASTRAL13–94mo agoL
INOX Division6–134mo agoWBT Academy on Inferno
no recent maps
CacheWBT ban40%2-3n/a0g
Bebop on Cache
L
Revise11–1313d agoL
Honvéd14–1623d agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–524d agoWHonvéd13–1125d agoLFalcons Force6–131mo agoWBT Academy on Cache
no recent maps
MirageBEB pick59%40-28100%1-0
Dust2WBT pick47%21-24100%1-0
AncientBEB ban39%9-140%0-1
NukeWBT ban49%24-250%0-2
Anubisdecider40%4-60%0-2
Each team's usual first ban: Bebop Overpass · WBT Academy Inferno.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Bebop51%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: WBT Academy 51% toss-up · Dust2: WBT Academy 53% toss-up · Anubis: Bebop 56%WhyWBT Academy are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Dust2 & Mirage), so Bebop just need to steal one (~73% to grab at least one).OutcomesBebop 51%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 23% · WBT Academy 49%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Bebop 51%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Bebop only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.49% WBT Academy
Mirage
Bebop49%WBT Academy51%
40-28record1-0
59%win100%
53%CT win100%
50%T win75%
57%pistol50%
79%convert100%
Dust2
Bebop47%WBT Academy53%
21-24record1-0
47%win100%
52%CT win50%
48%T win64%
57%pistol50%
86%convert100%
Anubis
Bebop56%WBT Academy44%
4-6record0-2
40%win0%
45%CT win21%
56%T win79%
50%pistol75%
80%convert67%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
BEBct
BEBt
WBTct
WBTt
BEBpistol
BEBconv
BEBeco
WBTpistol
WBTconv
WBTeco
Miragepool
53%345/657
50%385/763
100%4/4
75%9/12
57%78/136
79%62/78
10%6/58
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Dust2pool
52%253/488
48%217/449
50%6/12
64%7/11
57%51/90
86%44/51
8%3/39
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Anubispool
45%54/120
56%51/91
21%5/24
79%19/24
50%10/20
80%8/10
0%0/10
75%3/4
67%2/3
0%0/1
Infernoban
47%122/257
48%102/214
n/a
n/a
55%24/44
83%20/24
10%2/20
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
65%39/60
33%16/49
n/a
n/a
50%5/10
80%4/5
20%1/5
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
44%112/253
50%121/243
42%5/12
50%6/12
59%27/46
81%22/27
21%4/19
0%0/2
n/a
50%1/2
Nukeban
55%264/477
46%249/540
46%11/24
38%8/21
52%51/98
80%41/51
9%4/47
75%3/4
67%2/3
0%0/1
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
WBT Academy wins more pistol rounds: 63% vs 57%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (82% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → Bebop fight back to win the next round more often (8% vs 0%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Bebop
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/114 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 114 maps they won, 32 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 7 downvs HonvédCachefrom 7 downvs HashirasAncientfrom 6 downvs AcendMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i39/117 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 117 maps they lost, 39 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs G2 AresDust2led 7 · lost 8-13vs ex-RUBYDust2led 6 · lost 12-16vs UrsaDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs UrsaInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 33Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 33 went to overtime.vs ALLINNERSMirage16-14vs MetizportMirage22-20vs Bushido WildcatsMirage19-15vs AcendOverpass12-16vs AcendMirage16-14
WBT Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/2 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 1 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs GothicDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/5 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 5 maps they lost, 1 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GothicDust2from 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini3.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi71% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT71% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs OLDBOYS PLAnubis17-19vs PermittaAnubis13-16