Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / Color vs Honvéd · match preview
Color vs Honvéd: CS2 match prediction · NODWIN Clutch Series 12
COL
Color
World #57 · 16-8
VS
2026-09-16 11:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
Honvéd
World #129 · 29-28
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
69%31%
The call · high confidence
Color are favoured: our model gives them 69% against Honvéd. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Color, record slightly favours Color, firepower slightly favours Honvéd.
Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
ColorpullHonvéd
Team strength1617
149075/25 COL
Track record16–8
29–2863/37 COL
Recent formWWWLL
WLWWW52/48 COL
Roster rating1.14
1.1157/43 HON
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 93% our own signal (57 maps of Color, 135 of Honvéd).
Bottom line: Color to beat Honvéd, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsColor · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Honvéd · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.22iStar gap: the best player rates 0.22 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Color
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
INOX Division#592-00-2
Color vs INOX Division
Sep 13WInferno13-4Dust216-14Honvéd vs INOX Division
Aug 22LAncient4-13Inferno9-13
Inner Circle Academy#1282-02-6
Color vs Inner Circle Academy
Aug 21WDust213-4Anubis13-9Honvéd vs Inner Circle Academy
Aug 23LAncient7-13Cache11-13Aug 15LAnubis4-13Mirage11-13Jul 5WMirage13-6Nuke13-10+1 earlier meeting
The Last Resort#1342-02-0
Color vs The Last Resort
Aug 18WAncient16-13Dust213-2Honvéd vs The Last Resort
Aug 14WDust216-12Inferno13-11
SPARTA4-40-4
CYBERSHOKE Prospects2-00-2
Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Aug 25WAncient13-5Dust213-8Honvéd vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 24LDust210-13Ancient5-13Map lab
Color72%to win the Bo3 · most likely Color 2-0
If the veto goes
Color 72%how the series ends28% Honvéd
45%2-010%
28%2-118%
Color60%11-6vsHonvéd40%21-18
65%Win54%
54%CT51%
55%T46%
56%Pistol53%
95%Conv90%
Color75%8-2vsHonvéd25%18-18
80%Win50%
53%CT56%
57%T41%
55%Pistol58%
91%Conv79%
Color61%6-3vsHonvéd39%9-8
67%Win53%
60%CT53%
54%T45%
61%Pistol65%
73%Conv73%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
ColorDust2Honvéd
54%CT side51%
55%T side46%
56%Pistol53%
95%After win90%
13%After loss14%
ColorMirageHonvéd
53%CT side56%
57%T side41%
55%Pistol58%
91%After win79%
33%After loss10%
ColorAncientHonvéd
60%CT side53%
54%T side45%
61%Pistol65%
73%After win73%
14%After loss0%
Pistol rounds57% · 57% · level, no edge
After a won pistol88% · 82% · Color keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol19% · 10% · Color fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Color vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapCOLHON
NukeCOL bann/a0g60%3-2
Color on Nuke
no recent maps
AnubisHON ban57%4-357%4-3
Dust2COL pick65%11-654%21-18
MirageHON pick80%8-250%18-18
InfernoCOL ban57%4-331%4-9
CacheHON ban29%2-536%4-7
Ancientdecider67%6-353%9-8
Each team's usual first ban: Color Nuke · Honvéd Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Color
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/35 (17%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 35 maps they won, 6 (17%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 17% of their wins were comebacks, not 17% of all games.vs FORZE ReloadDust2from 6 downvs The Last ResortAncientfrom 4 downvs FORZE ReloadMiragefrom 4 downvs SPARTAMiragefrom 4 downvs EACAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/22 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 22 maps they lost, 7 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTADust2led 7 · lost 11-13vs SPARTADust2led 5 · lost 19-22vs SPARTAMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs B8Ancientled 5 · lost 10-13vs MetizportCacheled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FORZE ReloadDust2from 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTADust2led 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs SPARTADust219-22vs The Last ResortAncient16-13vs HOTUAnubis22-25vs EACAnubis14-16vs INOX DivisionDust216-14
Honvéd
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i20/63 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 63 maps they won, 20 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs RUSTECDust2from 10 downvs The Last ResortInfernofrom 8 downvs brazylijski luzMiragefrom 6 downvs PrivateerNukefrom 6 downvs Noir VerseDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/68 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 68 maps they lost, 23 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyMirageled 10 · lost 3-13vs BebopCacheled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-MANADust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs MisaMirageled 6 · lost 8-13vs TeletubisieDust2led 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs RUSTECDust2from 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyMirageled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs PUREDust216-14vs brazylijski luzAncient19-17vs TNCAncient15-19vs ex-MANAMirage13-16vs GenOneDust213-16