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Predictions / B8 vs BET-M · match preview
B8 vs BET-M: CS2 match prediction · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier
B8
World #15 · 34-31
VS
2026-09-09 11:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Best of 3 · ★
BET-M
World #118 · 41-35
70%30%
The call · high confidence
B8 are favoured: our model gives them 70% against BET-M. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours B8, firepower clearly favours B8.
Likely mapsMirage · Nuke · Dust2
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
B8pullBET-M
Team strength1656
155671/29 B8
Track record34–31
41–3552/48 BET
Recent formWWWWL
WWWLW52/48 B8
Roster rating1.08
1.1572/28 B8
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 97% our own signal (139 maps of B8, 180 of BET-M).
Bottom line: B8 to beat BET-M, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
B8
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
GamerLegion#182-12-0
B8 vs GamerLegion
Jun 7WInferno13-11Mirage8-13Nuke13-11BET-M vs GamerLegion
Jan 27WNuke13-8Mirage13-7
BIG#232-31-2
Inner Circle#242-02-1
B8 vs Inner Circle
Apr 7WDust213-11Mirage13-6BET-M vs Inner Circle
Feb 10WAncient13-8Dust210-13Mirage13-7
HOTU#282-02-0
B8 vs HOTU
Sep 3WCache13-5Mirage13-10BET-M vs HOTU
Apr 4WNuke13-7Dust213-8
EYEBALLERS#422-02-1
B8 vs EYEBALLERS
Sep 2WInferno13-9Nuke13-11BET-M vs EYEBALLERS
Feb 10WAncient6-13Dust216-13Inferno13-8
Nemesis#440-13-4
B8 vs Nemesis
Jul 2LAncient10-13
Virtus.pro#511-20-2
B8 vs Virtus.pro
Jul 10LDust211-13Ancient13-7Mirage10-13BET-M vs Virtus.pro
May 27LNuke12-16Ancient6-13
Nuclear TigeRES#542-02-6
B8 vs Nuclear TigeRES
Sep 4WInferno13-11Mirage13-4Firepower
roster ratingsB8 · avg 1.08 · top +0.07
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, B8 vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapB8BET
AnubisB8 ban0%0-257%8-6
CacheBET ban100%2-0n/a0g
BET-M on Cache
no recent maps
MirageB8 pick47%18-2069%20-9
NukeBET pick46%6-771%25-10
InfernoB8 ban44%8-1058%15-11
AncientBET ban59%19-1332%12-26
Dust2decider58%14-1042%16-22
Each team's usual first ban: B8 Anubis · BET-M Overpass.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
BET-M65%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: BET-M 70% clear · Nuke: BET-M 73% clear · Dust2: B8 65%WhyBET-M hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesB8 35%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 8% · BET-M 65%: 2-0 51%, 2-1 14%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
B8 35%BET-M are the clearer side here: the most likely result is BET-M 2-0.65% BET-M
Mirage
B830%BET-M70%
18-20record20-9
47%win69%
60%CT win60%
46%T win55%
55%pistol55%
90%convert81%
Nuke
B827%BET-M73%
6-7record25-10
46%win71%
62%CT win65%
38%T win52%
62%pistol59%
81%convert85%
Dust2
B865%BET-M35%
14-10record16-22
58%win42%
55%CT win48%
49%T win50%
48%pistol53%
52%convert75%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
B8ct
B8t
BETct
BETt
B8pistol
B8conv
B8eco
BETpistol
BETconv
BETeco
Miragepool
60%216/363
46%202/439
60%181/301
55%157/283
55%42/76
90%37/41
6%2/34
55%32/58
81%26/32
4%1/26
Nukepool
62%93/151
38%54/141
65%194/300
52%208/401
62%16/26
81%13/16
20%2/10
59%41/70
85%35/41
17%5/29
Dust2pool
55%155/282
49%107/220
48%201/418
50%172/345
48%23/48
52%12/23
28%7/25
53%40/76
75%30/40
14%5/36
Anubisban
35%7/20
19%3/16
59%89/152
48%61/126
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
61%17/28
71%12/17
20%2/10
Cacheban
63%15/24
61%11/18
n/a
n/a
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
52%108/206
39%67/173
52%129/248
52%149/288
53%19/36
89%17/19
12%2/17
63%33/52
82%27/33
16%3/19
Ancientban
62%194/313
45%157/350
46%191/413
42%161/382
42%27/64
85%22/26
17%6/36
45%34/76
74%25/34
19%8/42
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (B8 54%, BET-M 55%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (78% vs 81%). Lose the pistol → B8 fight back to win the next round more often (16% vs 12%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
B8
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/71 (41%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 71 maps they won, 29 (41%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 41% of their wins were comebacks, not 41% of all games.vs BESTIAMiragefrom 7 downvs GamerLegionNukefrom 7 downvs PhantomMiragefrom 6 downvs BIGDust2from 6 downvs VitalityInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/68 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 68 maps they lost, 23 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 3DMAXNukeled 9 · lost 11-13vs AuroraMirageled 5 · lost 13-16vs PhantomNukeled 5 · lost 14-16vs Natus VincereInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13vs FUTDust2led 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BESTIAMiragefrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 3DMAXNukeled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs paiNDust212-16vs The MongolZNuke17-19vs AuroraMirage13-16vs Natus VincereAncient19-17vs Natus VincereMirage14-16
BET-M
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/96 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 96 maps they won, 22 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs NemesisDust2from 8 downvs ex-RUSTECNukefrom 7 downvs SINNERSAncientfrom 5 downvs OramondAncientfrom 4 downvs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/84 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 84 maps they lost, 18 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs WalczakiNukeled 8 · lost 13-16vs NemigaAnubisled 7 · lost 16-19vs 1winInfernoled 6 · lost 19-22vs GenOneInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs 1winAncientled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NemesisDust2from 8 down · won 19-16
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs WalczakiNukeled 8 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs FAVBETInferno16-13vs OramondAncient19-17vs EYEBALLERSDust216-13vs FORZE ReloadNuke19-16vs JiJieHaoDust215-19